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PostPosted: Sun Jul 24, 2011 7:38 pm 
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Alabama 10 (-120 over)

Oklahoma 10 (even)

Boise St. 10.5 (-120 over)

LSU 9.5 (-160 over)

Stanford 9 (-150 under)

S. Carolina 9 (-150 under)

Arkansas 8.5 (even)

Texas A&M 8.5 (-120 under)

Georgia 8.5 (-160 over)

Ok State 8.5 (even)

Nebraska 9.5 (-140 over)

Florida State 9.5 (-130 over)

Virginia Tech 10 (even)

Wisconsin 9.5 (-120 over)

Arizona St. 8 (-120 over)

West Virginia 9.5 (-140 under)

Florida 7.5 (-130 under)

USC 7.5 (-130 over)

Notre Dame 8.5 (-130 over)

Texas 8 (even)

Miss State 7.5 (-130 under)

Miami 8 (-120 under)

Oregon St. (-130 under)

TCU 9 (-130 under)

BYU 8.5 (-150 over)

Missouri 7.5 (-120 over)

Michigan State 7.5 (-120 over)

Auburn 6 (-155 over)

Tennessee 6.5 (-120 over)

Penn St 7.5 (-155 over)

North Carolina 8 (-130 over)

Michigan 7 (-130 over)

Utah 7.5 (-120 under)

Nevada 8 (-125 under)

Only regular season games count, so conference championship games and bowls are excluded. First thoughts:

I would jump on the Penn State under with both feet, then do a merry jig. Alabama, at Wisconsin, and at Ohio State (even with the QB issues) are all touchdown underdog games. Nebraska will be favored in Happy Valley as well. All you need after that is one loss between Iowa, Illinois, or at Northwestern. And you get +135 for doing it. Yes, please.

Texas over 8 looks appealing. There's only one tough OOC game, and that's at home against BYU. Even assuming they go 2-1 OOC, they'd need to lose to Oklahoma, Texas A&M, and two other teams to lose money. Much better chance of getting to nine wins than falling flat and getting seven.

Florida over 7.5 gets you $110 for $100. I'll spot you five wins: Florida Atlantic, UAB, Furman, at Kentucky, and Vanderbilt. Tennessee at home and at Auburn should be wins. Now, just get one more between Alabama, at LSU, neutral against Georgia (who they've dominated), and at South Carolina.

Auburn under 6 +135: Hinges on the game at Clemson for me, which I have them losing despite beating Clemson something like 57 times in a row. Won't make it out of their division without three more losses, maybe four, plus at South Carolina, at Florida, and Georgia. 5-7 looks very, very possible. No more than 6 wins feels safe.

Miami over 8 even: Have to either win out OOC (including over Ohio State) or win one of three at NC, FSU, and VT. I think they win one of those four games, and the rest of the schedule is pretty soft.

Tennessee over 6.5 -120: Just win one of these games--Georgia, LSU, at Alabama, South Carolina, at Arkansas, at Florida. They won't be favored in any except maybe South Carolina, but if they win one, they'll hit seven.

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PostPosted: Sun Jul 24, 2011 8:43 pm 
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I dont know how good the Pac 10 will be, but I'd be going under on Stanford.


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PostPosted: Sun Jul 24, 2011 9:58 pm 
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I like that Oregon State line. How could you miss?

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PostPosted: Mon Jul 25, 2011 6:38 am 
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My first thought was that Michigan has to win over 7 games next year. However, they end with @Iowa, @Illinois(tougher than expected), Nebraska, Ohio State.

At best, we are looking at 3 losses there.

Therefore, you have to look at only one loss out of Notre Dame, Minnesota, @Northwestern, @Michigan State, Purdue. Minnesota and Purdue will be wins, but the others are tough.

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