Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Dignified Rube wrote:
Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Dignified Rube wrote:
What kind of rigged bs odds was Gulfstream offering in the Holy Bull?
Three 3-1s and a 9-5, in addition to the odds on the rest of the field. That's well more than 1.
Jesus Christ 3 years and you still don't know what the fuck parimutuel is?
And you still don't understand the mathematics of odds. With parimutuel the sum of the odds should still be close to 1 or 100%. That did not happen yesterday.
Because the sum of the odds exceeded 100%, the track is skimming off the win pool.
Huh? Of course they are. That's how they make their money. It's called takeout.
Here is a chart that shows you the takeout for each pool at each track. You can see where you are getting the most bang for your buck:
http://www.horseplayersassociation.org/ ... table.htmlWalt is an old school guy who attempts to pick winners rather than evaluate chances. For someone like myself who makes his own line and will not bet unless I get what I consider value+, the takeout doesn't really matter practically except that obviously a higher takeout will naturally result in me making less bets. Beyond that, I prefer to play tracks that aren't trying to gouge the shit out of me.
Anyway, does anyone think the Kentucky Derby winner ran yesterday?
Thanks for the chart. I get the takeout, but it seemed egregious yesterday at GP in this race. Will have to do the math to compare.
Audible was quite impressive. When I first looked at the race, I had him as my winner, which I put in my original post. But I figured that he may not hold up class-wise, because he had only won one lesser race. I was wrong. Then again, I almost got Free Drop Billy right. If Audible was not in the race, Free Drop Billy wins.
I don't think this was Free Drop Billy's best race, because of the fast pace. 23 and change in the opening 1/4 and 47 for the 1/2 mi. That left him empty down the stretch after being 3rd off the pace. He was better in the Breeder's Futurity last Oct.