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 Post subject: Preakness
PostPosted: Fri Oct 02, 2020 9:38 am 
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I think this is a great spot for NY Traffic. I am against Authentic in here. I will be trying to get live in horizontals to Max Player, Jesus' Team, Thousand Words, and NY Traffic with extra tickets to Thousand Words and especially NY Traffic.

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Fri Oct 02, 2020 9:46 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I think this is a great spot for NY Traffic. I am against Authentic in here. I will be trying to get live in horizontals to Max Player, Jesus' Team, Thousand Words, and NY Traffic with extra tickets to Thousand Words and especially NY Traffic.

Is this tomorrow? :shock:

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Fri Oct 02, 2020 10:00 am 
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Swiss Skydiver. The only reason, which I guess is pretty valid, is that the rider change is Robby Alborado. But if he keeps her near the front, she can beat the boys.

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Fri Oct 02, 2020 12:03 pm 
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I meant to say that the only reason that she is 6-1 is because most people hate the jock change. I am thinking that Robby will try his hardest to shut people up. I could see a wire to wire job here.

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Fri Oct 02, 2020 12:57 pm 
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Hawg Ass wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I think this is a great spot for NY Traffic. I am against Authentic in here. I will be trying to get live in horizontals to Max Player, Jesus' Team, Thousand Words, and NY Traffic with extra tickets to Thousand Words and especially NY Traffic.

Is this tomorrow? :shock:



Yes.

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Fri Oct 02, 2020 12:59 pm 
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spmack wrote:
I meant to say that the only reason that she is 6-1 is because most people hate the jock change. I am thinking that Robby will try his hardest to shut people up. I could see a wire to wire job here.



I think there's too much speed in here for that. Authentic needs the lead and John R. will try to get it.

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Fri Oct 02, 2020 2:12 pm 
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I love this clip.



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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Fri Oct 02, 2020 4:00 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I think this is a great spot for NY Traffic. I am against Authentic in here. I will be trying to get live in horizontals to Max Player, Jesus' Team, Thousand Words, and NY Traffic with extra tickets to Thousand Words and especially NY Traffic.


I like NY Traffic. The only problem is that Baffert has never lost the Preakness with a horse that won the Kentucky Derby for him. And he has another star in Thousand Words.

Spmack may be onto something. I am seeing a similar statistical pattern with Swiss Skydriver component figs. in simulation that I saw in Authentic in the Kentucky Derby, where Authentic was superior to Tiz the Law. She rates like a 2-1 according to the metric, which gives her value against the 6-1 M/L.

I'm conflicted in this race, because I had Thousand Words in the Kentucky Derby before the untimely scratch. If I go with the numbers, then Swiss Skydiver's the one, but her performance against Authentic in the Blue Grass, when she went against the boys, was not inspiring. I will bet NY Traffic for being my heart-of-hearts horse, who should get nice odds at 15-1 or thereabouts. Don't know yet about the others, but probably Swiss Skydiver and Thousand Words, too. Geroux is looking for revenge for being left out of the Derby.


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 6:54 am 
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The danger of this race is to overthink it. Ny Traffic would have to run a very big race to win, and he has not done that yet. I don't think a Thousand Words can hang on the last 1 1/16 mi. Art Collector is not fast enough.

So I will go with Authentic, Swiss Skydiver and Pneumatic.


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 10:15 am 
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If anyone wants to understand the inner workings of the "real world" and see the elite speaking to each other in an esoteric encoded language look no further than horse racing i swear to god yall are really dictating the future with these seemingly innocuous messages about horses.

It also warms the cackles of my heart to envision uncle Terry out there being that shady guy at the racetrack who knows a thing or two about a horse or two. I hope to god he's wearing a trenchcoat when he's telling the young/er generation about a horse.

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 10:16 am 
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If anyone wants to understand the inner workings of the "real world" and see the elite speaking to each other in an esoteric encoded language look no further than horse racing! i swear to god yall are really dictating the future with these seemingly innocuous messages about horses.

It also warms the cackles of my heart to envision uncle Terry out there being that shady guy at the racetrack who knows a thing or two about a horse or two. I hope to god he's wearing a trenchcoat when he's telling the young/er generation about a horse.

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 10:17 am 
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incidentally, some day I've gotta step up to the plate and go to a racetrack. Does anyone wanna take me under their wing and introduce me to the indelible world of horseracing someday?

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 11:59 am 
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sinicalypse wrote:
incidentally, some day I've gotta step up to the plate and go to a racetrack. Does anyone wanna take me under their wing and introduce me to the indelible world of horseracing someday?

I'll teach you some of the jargon " Come on motherfucker " you'll fit in nicely and be a quick learner

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 1:00 pm 
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Say it with me...

"Are you fucking kidding me?
"Are you FUCKING kidding me!"

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 1:52 pm 
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Historically, The Preakness is a smaller field than either The Derby or the Belmont, with heavy favorites on top. I think were looking at the same thing here...except that I think the Trifecta could be blown up by a big price.

So for your consideration I give you...the 11-Liveyourbeastlife a local closer who will get a ton of pace to finish into...plus he gets Trevor McCarthy who tears it up at this track, at least his return on investment...hoping he stays in that 30-1 range as I will do a trifecta key box (meaning he just needs to finish 1,2,or 3rd) along with with 7 other horses for about $60

and at Keeneland the 10th race is the Shadwell Turf mile and I like a couple of longshots in there as well, although their price will drop with the scratch of Halladay...the 3-Without Parole (12-1) and the 6-Raging Bull (6-1) are both formidable and offers great price, as does to a lesser extent the 4-Bowie's Hero (15-1)


Good luck!


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 4:05 pm 
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ok children of thalidomide The Black Eyed Susan gave me a hint Art Collector and Thousand Words not getting to him good luck

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 4:13 pm 
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Whose got 2 thumbs and can't pick a winner at Pimlico? This guy :roll:


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 4:45 pm 
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spmack wrote:
Swiss Skydiver. The only reason, which I guess is pretty valid, is that the rider change is Robby Alborado. But if he keeps her near the front, she can beat the boys.


nice call, hope you cashed big


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 4:48 pm 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
spmack wrote:
Swiss Skydiver. The only reason, which I guess is pretty valid, is that the rider change is Robby Alborado. But if he keeps her near the front, she can beat the boys.


nice call, hope you cashed big

+1

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 4:56 pm 
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My favorite kind of losses: two separate bets that combined would have won.

Oh well...I cheaped out on this hoping stupid N.Y. Traffic would have pulled through.


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 6:19 pm 
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Giving credit where credit is due my wife nailed both the winner and the exacta. Plus 25% funding bonus from Twin Spires so all in all a good day here in the shadows of Arlington Park.

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sat Oct 03, 2020 9:07 pm 
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blackhawksfan wrote:
I love this clip.



I always wanted to get a nice, framed picture of that shot where he's looking back and nobody is there. It's great.

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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 8:10 am 
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You're welcome to the tiny, tiny, little one to the left here.


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 Post subject: Re: Preakness
PostPosted: Sun Oct 04, 2020 9:32 am 
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Great Pick Spmack, and congrats to all the winners!!!!!!!!!!

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