i wasn't around this morning to monitor line moves, but did Washington really get up to 12.5? Wow. Somebody steamed the Skins today? They must be feeling scorched about now.

That would have been a nice moneyline to hit....

In that same vein, someone next to me at the sportsbook told me his friend had 40K on the A's in game 3. As I sat there with my $200 Tiger bet down 3-0 I cursed a guy for speaking up only after I went to the window. After Maggs hit a walk off HR I thought what 40K could do for a lot of people (including me).

Chicago -12 over Arizona

This game will be won up front as the Bears should dominate both sides of the ball. Bears will have their medicore games on D this year but I dont think this will be one of them. Each Sunday I do my own lines and I had the Bears at 14 so for it to still be below that number is fine with me. Throw out the Bears brutal past on MNF for this one. I like Bears 31-10.

Chicago vs. Arizona under 41

I think this opened at 38. This is a pretty good number. I don't see the Cardinals scoring more than 10, with the Bears in the 20's.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

The line is up to 13.5 at some places. Still 12.5 at Pinny though. It's a betting avalanche on the Bears. If one of our official line casinos moves to 14, I'll post the play on Zona +14 tonight. In the meantime, I'll play it at +14 if/when it hits that number at one of my other outs.

I won't be betting Zona because I think they will win the game. I will do it based on what I perceive to be value. Based on the Bears' performance on the road thus far this season (vs. GB & Minny), and based on home/road performance disparities historically in the NFL, the Bears should not be double digit favorites tonight. Laying 14 on the road in the NFL historically is something only Super Bowl caliber teams do when playing winless quality teams. The Bears may be a SB caliber team, but Zona is much better than a winless team. There is a difference between home/road performance for most NFL teams. If the Bears show tonight that their road performance this year is going to be equal to their home performance, then fine...I'll lose. But they didn't show that in one of their other previous road games at Minny (a game in which the Bears failed to cover as 3.5 point favorites, by the way). I'll take that bet that they don't show it tonight either.

You're right, Coast. That number is insane. I bought it at 10, where it opened, on a 7 pt teaser with San Diego. I like the Bears at -3 tonight, but 14 on the road is usually reserved for Colts/Texans games as far as I'm concerned.

I did find a 14 and played it, but not at one of our two "official" casinos, so it won't count on the "official" record here. Go Bears (by 13 and we all win).

Bears -7-1/2 2nd half (Pinnacle)
Playing a big favorite who is down at half is one of my favorite kinds of 2nd half plays. Bears can't possibly play as badly in the second half as they did the first can they? Grossman hopefully gets his stuff together and the Bears at least make something of a game of this..