OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Saturday Race 12 Classic- I really think that the previous race in the Derby Tiz the Law had were more indicative of his talent and do believe he’s going to win. I’m not sure how Baffert is going to send his 3 horses all stuck outside and two of them looking for a front end trip (and the 7 is also a speed type). Baffert’s horses are logical, but I guess it depends on how much cheating he’ll get away with on the biggest stage. I think Authentic might actually be the best of the 3. Global Campaign’s last was his best in a while and could definitely snag a share underneath at a very tasty price
2-9-10-7
It would be justice if Tiz the Law wins. Square trainer and great horse. Here's the mental profile of the horse by Thomas Herding Technique heading into the Derby:
This is our 10th year profiling horses for the Kentucky Derby,
and after studying hundreds of three-year-olds, we have never
seen a horse like Tiz the Law.
Already a winner of the first leg of the 2020 Triple Crown, the
Belmont Stakes (G1), Tiz the Law enters the Derby at the top of
his game -- an elite physical talent with a powerful, maximized
psychology.
Tiz the Law pairs a brilliant emotional energy, lightning
fast sensory system and huge forward projection with elite
efficiency, body control, speed and stamina. Those traits aren’t
normally present all in one horse.
He was awesome from day one. Debuting in a maiden race for
New York-breds on August 8 at Saratoga, Tiz the Law exited
the gate in a straight line, with great body control. In a pocket
on the turn, he was under strong restraint from rider Junior
Alvarado, but showing massive forward projection and good
space awareness.
When a horse is under a stranglehold, but stays forward
mentally and does not lose position, that is an indication of a
profound forward energy.
Steered in the clear in the lane, Tiz the Law drew off to win
by 4 lengths while under mild encouragement. His mind was
clearing physical space way out in front of him, pulling his
body forward.
Tiz the Law proceeded to the Champagne Stakes (G1) in start
#2, where he was paired with his Derby rider Manuel Franco.
Tiz the Law stumbled slightly at the start – this is an intense
horse who had minor hiccups at the start early in his career.
Franco checked him and took him inside behind horses. Held
up behind the leaders, Tiz the Law was almost jumping out
of his shoes to assert himself. He eventually settled in traffic.
The other horses were in his way physically, but he wasn’t
concerned about them on the Herd Dynamic level. Big City
Bob tried to keep him hemmed in, but Tiz moved him out of his
way with his presence. He still had so much energy to unleash
once in the clear. He won by 4 lengths, looking stress-free on
the gallop-out.
Tiz the Law’s only career loss occurred over a sloppy surface
at Churchill Downs in the Kentucky Jockey Club Stakes (G2).
He did a little shuffle at the start and got pinned along the
rail behind the leaders. Being restrained behind horses was
certainly not his favorite thing to do, but here he was again. It
hurt his chances in this race, but it might have helped teach
patience.
Tiz the Law was blocked for most of the KJCS. He didn’t get
free until almost the 1/8 pole, and he had no right to get free
even then. He created that opening with his presence, moving
South Bend out of his way and skillfully coming through the
hole. Tiz the Law was trying very hard to influence the winner
Silver Prospector’s motion, but he couldn’t do it from his
compromised position in the amount of time he had to do it.
He finished third, but it was a great effort. He was the best
horse on Herd Dynamics by far, and he got a good education.
Tiz the Law made his three-year-old debut in the Holy Bull
Stakes (G3) at Gulfstream Park. He was ready for the start this
time -- he looked like he had been shot out of a cannon when
the gate opened!
Tiz the Law immediately went to the lead, but Franco took a
hold of him and let horses pass on the outside. Yet again Tiz
the Law was pinned on the inside behind horses! Realizing
the spot he was in, Franco wrestled TIz the Law back a couple
lengths and steered him to the outside. It is almost unfair to
be able to maneuver a horse in that manner and still have so
much forward energy remaining.
Tiz the Law blew by Ete Indian turning for home, took over his
lane and then cocked his head, daring his opponent to run at
him. He won by three lengths, ears scissoring then flopping as
he crossed the wire.
Tiz the Law finally got a clean trip in the Florida Derby (G1).
Sitting third on the outside, stalking the leaders on the
backstretch, he was moving purposefully. His sensory system
was clearing space while his ears were flopping like a dishrag.
There was absolutely no stress in his body. He loves competing,
and it is getting easier for him.
He blew through those horses, taking out poor Ete Indian, who
drifted out four paths in his wake. Again Tiz the Law didn’t
release him cleanly because he was still looking for a fight , but
there was no challenge.
Tiz the Law dominated the first leg of the 2020 Triple Crown,
the Belmont Stakes, which was run at 1 1/8 miles this year.
He broke cleanly, sat three-wide in third place, just off the
leaders, with a poised, determined look in his eye. With minimal
encouragement, he powered home by 3 ¾ lengths.
Tiz the Law continued this historic year in the Travers Stakes
(G1). His efficiency at the starts has been improving, and here
he broke fast and straight again. He quickly took up what is
becoming his customary early herd positon – pressing or
stalking the pace on the outside.
Tiz the Law was putting immediate pressure on Shivaree, eyeing
him from close range and intimidating him. He then moved up a
slot on the backstretch and started chewing up the pacesetter
Uncle Chuck. Tiz the Law was in complete charge of the herd
by the time they reached the top of the far turn.
With Uncle Chuck finished and no one else piercing his space,
Tiz the Law gave one more look back for a challenge. Feeling
none, he released from the field and drew off to win by 5 ½
lengths. He was eased at the wire.
We have never seen a horse with Tiz the Law’s intensity level
be so easy on his body. He looks so light on his feet. None of
this looks hard on him.
Tiz the Law enters the Kentucky Derby an extremely confident
horse. We feel he has completed his Herd Dynamic growth
curve. He has reached his maximum IHD power and GHD
efficiency – something we rarely see when the Derby is held
the first Saturday in May.
How long can he perform at this level? The natural cycle dictates
that colts only stay on top of the herd for so long. Tiz the Law
has just recently reached his apex and he has shown no signs
of mental or physical decline so far. We expect he can stay on
top for a while.
Login
Register
FAQ
Search
