Sorry for all the failed-to-return text messages from everyone, the last few hours have been hectic. I had a few bad beats today I'm still stewing over.
I give the #1 in the first race as a live longshot. That was my best pick of the day, but appearantly word got off, he went off the board at 5-2, and I didn't play him.

I then played the Pick 3 Races 2-4 with the 2-3-4-8/2-5-6-7-9/10-11 (a little different than I posted here) and watched Larry Sterling Jr. throw away my pick three in the final leg by taking the 11 horse, Cavan Thunder, about 6 wide on each turn. The 10 had a decent trip and placed but never really threatened.
Race 5 was pretty much a non-play. I pinned my hopes on the #1, seemingly, in the 6th, and lost quite a bit in the process (that was probably my worst play of the day). I sat out the seventh when I saw that St. Joe was going to be favored with Sebastian County right behind him. That was a good move on my part. Then I played $80 worth of Pick 3's for the Grade I stakes races.
Race 8 didn't go according to plan, but there was some indication that Winchester could improve with the addition of Lasix, and he won with little trouble in the Secretariat. I was still OK in the Pick 3s so long as no other real longshots came in. Maurakulana in the 9th helped my chances, and I came into the 10th with two live tickets on Archipenko and one on Einstein; either one would have paid about $160 bucks.
Alas, it was not to be; with the scratch of Sudan and the bad break of Einstein, no one decided they wanted to head out towards the lead, leaving the opening pace to Spirit One, who then decided to just stay at the front for the whole damn thing. Archipenko looked like he was going to come through in the final furlong but simply could not squeeze through the opening between Spirit One and Mt. Nelson (a replay of the Dubai Duty Free), was rated, and didn't have a move left.
By one disappointing measure I thought that I handicapped well, or at least, I handicapped better than the morning line setter. I had a handful of live chances who I loved at big prices who were being consistently bet down; the #1 in the first race from 20-1 to 5-2; St. Joe from 9-2 to 9-5; Cavan Thunder from 8-1 to 4-1; Stream Cat from 8-1 to 4-1. Alas, all but the first ended up losing, and they don't give out cash for betting along with the betting public. It was a sobering day, but there were a few lessons. First, the European horses did really well (or the American ones did really poorly; take your pick.) The Secretariat was a Euro exacta, the first three finishers in the Million were shippers, and even Maurakulana is a French-bred, although with plenty of American experience by this point. Second, pace does matter on the turf; both the sixth race and the 10th featured horses winning from in front- the sixth because no one decided to go out and challenge a lone runner for the lead, and the 10th because everyone sorta figured thed make their move at the end, but the pace had just been too soft. Had Einstin broken well, Archipenko wins that race; had Sudan been entered, either Sudan or Archipenko wins that race. That's why they run the races.
Fourth; there really needs to be a better way for handicapping foreign horses. Racing Post Ratings don't help much, times don't help at all, and "class" is nebulous; where was Spirit One's class? The races are tough to find online, even at a price (the Arlington Website did post a race or two for each horse, but that only takes you so far.) I also wish that there was some indication whether foreign horses had ever bled; one of the handicappers in the foreign seminar mentioned that there were rumors Winchester had bled before, and Spirit One's record has some signs that he may had bled before. But looking at PPs only tells you so much (pretty much, the finishing position and a few vague words) so you're left with very little to grasp at. So in the end, you're left either downgrading horses for no reason or upgrading them for no reason. Very frustrating.
Despite that, a very enjoyable day indeed.