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Indiana Derby
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Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 7:30 am ]
Post subject:  Indiana Derby

Who can beat Cupid? Indiana with bigger purses than Arlington! See what Raceino's can do?

Author:  W_Z [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 10:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

Here's the Equibase picks:

#1 - Star Hill (12) 6-1
#2 - Cherry Wine (2) 5-2
#3 - Cocked and Loaded (6) 30-1

The logic of picking Star Hill (12) has to do with the speed figure, the trainer's entries post at the distance and surface favors the horse. Cherry Wine has a high average speed as well. at 8.5 furlongs distance will obviously be a factor too. Cocked and Loaded has "overall good stats" but...ehhh...take it with a grain of salt.

Here's the PP:

Indiana Grand R9

#1 - Discreet Lover 20-1
#2 - Cherry Wine 5-2
#3 - Pilot House 10-1
#4 - Takeittotheedge 15-1
#5 - The Player 6-1
#6 - Cocked and Loaded 30-1
#7 - Seeking Blame 15-1
#8 - Whateverybodywants 12-1
#9 - Torrontes 20-1
#10 - Call the Colonel 20-1
#11 - Cupid 3-1
#12 - Star Hill 6-1

I've heard good things about Star Hill other than just Equibase.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 11:53 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

W_Z wrote:
Here's the Equibase picks:

#1 - Star Hill (12) 6-1
#2 - Cherry Wine (2) 5-2
#3 - Cocked and Loaded (6) 30-1

The logic of picking Star Hill (12) has to do with the speed figure, the trainer's entries post at the distance and surface favors the horse. Cherry Wine has a high average speed as well. at 8.5 furlongs distance will obviously be a factor too. Cocked and Loaded has "overall good stats" but...ehhh...take it with a grain of salt.

Here's the PP:

Indiana Grand R9

#1 - Discreet Lover 20-1
#2 - Cherry Wine 5-2
#3 - Pilot House 10-1
#4 - Takeittotheedge 15-1
#5 - The Player 6-1
#6 - Cocked and Loaded 30-1
#7 - Seeking Blame 15-1
#8 - Whateverybodywants 12-1
#9 - Torrontes 20-1
#10 - Call the Colonel 20-1
#11 - Cupid 3-1
#12 - Star Hill 6-1

I've heard good things about Star Hill other than just Equibase.

Zach Indiana is a speed bias track ...so I don't like closers ....The Player to WP and The Player and Cupid exacta Bejarano isn't here for the food!

Author:  W_Z [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 2:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

isn't cupid's position kind of unfavorable though?

i'm going back and forth on star hill and the player but if you're sure that closers don't do well here, i can lean toward the latter.

think cocked and loaded can show? 5-11-6?

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 5:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

W_Z wrote:
isn't cupid's position kind of unfavorable though?

i'm going back and forth on star hill and the player but if you're sure that closers don't do well here, i can lean toward the latter.

think cocked and loaded can show? 5-11-6?

watch the earlier races

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 7:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

Let's see what Rocket Time does in the 7th

Author:  W_Z [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 7:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

Finished 2nd. Really wanted to put a play on Dothraki Queen in the next race but the odds are now 3/2. Useless.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 9:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

did you learn anything

Author:  W_Z [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 9:53 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

broke even with the WP bet on the player. i should've put an exacta on 11-5 because it was looking that way but couldn't pull the trigger. i've learned that this is a game of could've/would've/should've already. no big deal.

did you box 5-11 or did you go exacta 5-11? or did you go 11-5?

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 10:32 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

W_Z wrote:
broke even with the WP bet on the player. i should've put an exacta on 11-5 because it was looking that way but couldn't pull the trigger. i've learned that this is a game of could've/would've/should've already. no big deal.

did you box 5-11 or did you go exacta 5-11? or did you go 11-5?

I boxed ...I box all my gimmicks

Author:  W_Z [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 10:48 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

Cool. I'm sure there will be more action upcoming that hopefully i can take advantage of.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 11:04 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Indiana Derby

W_Z wrote:
Cool. I'm sure there will be more action upcoming that hopefully i can take advantage of.

you will :D

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