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Indiana Derby https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=101447 |
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Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 7:30 am ] |
Post subject: | Indiana Derby |
Who can beat Cupid? Indiana with bigger purses than Arlington! See what Raceino's can do? |
Author: | W_Z [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 10:42 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
Here's the Equibase picks: #1 - Star Hill (12) 6-1 #2 - Cherry Wine (2) 5-2 #3 - Cocked and Loaded (6) 30-1 The logic of picking Star Hill (12) has to do with the speed figure, the trainer's entries post at the distance and surface favors the horse. Cherry Wine has a high average speed as well. at 8.5 furlongs distance will obviously be a factor too. Cocked and Loaded has "overall good stats" but...ehhh...take it with a grain of salt. Here's the PP: Indiana Grand R9 #1 - Discreet Lover 20-1 #2 - Cherry Wine 5-2 #3 - Pilot House 10-1 #4 - Takeittotheedge 15-1 #5 - The Player 6-1 #6 - Cocked and Loaded 30-1 #7 - Seeking Blame 15-1 #8 - Whateverybodywants 12-1 #9 - Torrontes 20-1 #10 - Call the Colonel 20-1 #11 - Cupid 3-1 #12 - Star Hill 6-1 I've heard good things about Star Hill other than just Equibase. |
Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 11:53 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
W_Z wrote: Here's the Equibase picks: #1 - Star Hill (12) 6-1 #2 - Cherry Wine (2) 5-2 #3 - Cocked and Loaded (6) 30-1 The logic of picking Star Hill (12) has to do with the speed figure, the trainer's entries post at the distance and surface favors the horse. Cherry Wine has a high average speed as well. at 8.5 furlongs distance will obviously be a factor too. Cocked and Loaded has "overall good stats" but...ehhh...take it with a grain of salt. Here's the PP: Indiana Grand R9 #1 - Discreet Lover 20-1 #2 - Cherry Wine 5-2 #3 - Pilot House 10-1 #4 - Takeittotheedge 15-1 #5 - The Player 6-1 #6 - Cocked and Loaded 30-1 #7 - Seeking Blame 15-1 #8 - Whateverybodywants 12-1 #9 - Torrontes 20-1 #10 - Call the Colonel 20-1 #11 - Cupid 3-1 #12 - Star Hill 6-1 I've heard good things about Star Hill other than just Equibase. Zach Indiana is a speed bias track ...so I don't like closers ....The Player to WP and The Player and Cupid exacta Bejarano isn't here for the food! |
Author: | W_Z [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 2:07 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
isn't cupid's position kind of unfavorable though? i'm going back and forth on star hill and the player but if you're sure that closers don't do well here, i can lean toward the latter. think cocked and loaded can show? 5-11-6? |
Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 5:12 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
W_Z wrote: isn't cupid's position kind of unfavorable though? i'm going back and forth on star hill and the player but if you're sure that closers don't do well here, i can lean toward the latter. think cocked and loaded can show? 5-11-6? watch the earlier races |
Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 7:37 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
Let's see what Rocket Time does in the 7th |
Author: | W_Z [ Sat Jul 16, 2016 7:58 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
Finished 2nd. Really wanted to put a play on Dothraki Queen in the next race but the odds are now 3/2. Useless. |
Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 9:47 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
did you learn anything |
Author: | W_Z [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 9:53 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
broke even with the WP bet on the player. i should've put an exacta on 11-5 because it was looking that way but couldn't pull the trigger. i've learned that this is a game of could've/would've/should've already. no big deal. did you box 5-11 or did you go exacta 5-11? or did you go 11-5? |
Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 10:32 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
W_Z wrote: broke even with the WP bet on the player. i should've put an exacta on 11-5 because it was looking that way but couldn't pull the trigger. i've learned that this is a game of could've/would've/should've already. no big deal. did you box 5-11 or did you go exacta 5-11? or did you go 11-5? I boxed ...I box all my gimmicks |
Author: | W_Z [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 10:48 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
Cool. I'm sure there will be more action upcoming that hopefully i can take advantage of. |
Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sun Jul 17, 2016 11:04 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Indiana Derby |
W_Z wrote: Cool. I'm sure there will be more action upcoming that hopefully i can take advantage of. you will |
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