I do not know whether this analysis is helpful in picking winners, because this is the first time I've done this. But it would seem to me the house knows the horses better than the public and therefore, sets these horses at a premium in terms of the odds.

Four horses the house is giving fair or better odds:

Wild About Deb (10/1)
Titanium Heart (20/1)
Cocked and Loaded (15/1)
Abiding Star (15/1)

Easy. The 6 Sticksstatelydude. Rosario was sent to PA to ride him and he needs to do something after his bad ride on Frosted the other day.

Did you think he gave Frosted a bad ride? The horse broke bad. I'm not sure if that was the jock's fault. But he put in a huge race. At the eighth pole I thought for sure he was gonna win it. I'm more impressed with Frosted than I was before the race. I actually think he has a shot at California Chrome in the Cup if they can get him to relax. He seemed pretty wild in the Whitney.

I wouldn't presume to tell you how to handicap a race, but I'm not sure what you mean by "the house setting the odds". This is parimutuel gambling. The house isn't setting any odds. It's all a function of what is bet into the pools. If you're talking about the morning line, that's just some goof's approximation at what the off odds might be. It's not a real line at all since it never adds up to 100%. Some tracks have a better morning line than others. I believe Blackjackcat was 15/1 or something on the ML in the Del Mar Derby yesterday and he went off as the 3/1 favorite.

I wouldn't presume to tell you how to handicap a race, but I'm not sure what you mean by "the house setting the odds". This is parimutuel gambling. The house isn't setting any odds. It's all a function of what is bet into the pools. If you're talking about the morning line, that's just some goof's approximation at what the off odds might be. It's not a real line at all since it never adds up to 100%. Some tracks have a better morning line than others. I believe Blackjackcat was 15/1 or something on the ML in the Del Mar Derby yesterday and he went off as the 3/1 favorite.

that's what i've gathered from watching the odds change in a race...the pools are real-time, and the favorite seems to be who has the most money put in the pot from the bettors.

i'm assuming the fast track heavily benefits #14 and #6. i like WWN's idea of tri box too.

every time i heard the name "Smarty Jones" i couldn't help but think of "Marty Jones"-- some chick who did traffic reports for uhhh... i wanna say WCPT 820AM ~5-10 years ago when i used to listen to the thom hartmann show a bunch from 2-5pm (for whatever reason it synced up with b&b real well, like after the first segment you could pretty much hear a b&b segment, jump over to thom hartmann and ride it out til a commercial, then flip back to b&b as they'd be coming out of commercials. IIRC this "Synergy" would last all the way up til the final 5-10mins of the hour.

AHEM! anyways yeah, whenever i heard "Smarty Jones" i'd alwasy chuckle like they were calling some poor hapless traffic lady a horse (which is a term you tend to reserve for only deserving recipients, such as Beth Ostrosky-Stern =)

Well, the method was not a complete bust. I had two out of the four. If I had bet across all four horses, I would have broken even.

Doesn't look like there will be any other good races until the end of the month.

Love the harness race tracks. I've watched a lot from Mohawk.

Thanks for the tip! He's slotted in Race 2, and he will be up against Marion Marauder. Southwind Frank will be in Race 3.

i also noticed another horse, Warrawee Roo, in Race 3. I remember coming across that horse a little while ago...loved the name.

Race 2 has some good names. Tony Soprano, and Merchandiser.

I'll keep an eye out...busy day that day but I'll have the app ready.

so these are qualifiers then? is the final the following week?