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Risen Star
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=110894
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Author:  Rod [ Thu Feb 15, 2018 8:14 am ]
Post subject:  Risen Star

I think High North has a big shot at a big price. Lot of speed in this race and he figures to get a good set up in here. A little short on the figs but these horses have every right to improve at this stage of their careers.

Also, look out for Torrent in the Bayakoa at Oaklawn.

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Thu Feb 15, 2018 6:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Risen Star

What about the 6th at San Anita today?

Nice $75K claiming race with this field.

1 Hot Sean 2/1 -
2 Infobedad (ARG) 5/1 - (Mike Smith)
3 Seattle Serenade 6/1 -
4 Cat Burglar 9/5 -
5 Dressed in Hermes 12/1 -
6 Dalmore 7/2 (Desormeaux)

Cat Burglar has the edge.

But, Dalmore coming back after a 7 month layoff with Kent aboard. And a sharp 5f work in Feb. Very interesting.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Thu Feb 15, 2018 6:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Risen Star

Dignified Rube wrote:
What about the 6th at San Anita today?

Nice $75K claiming race with this field.

1 Hot Sean 2/1 -
2 Infobedad (ARG) 5/1 - (Mike Smith)
3 Seattle Serenade 6/1 -
4 Cat Burglar 9/5 -
5 Dressed in Hermes 12/1 -
6 Dalmore 7/2 (Desormeaux)

Cat Burglar has the edge.

But, Dalmore coming back after a 7 month layoff with Kent aboard. And a sharp 5f work in Feb. Very interesting.

WHAT DOES YOUR FUCKING SOFTWARE TELL YOU?

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Thu Feb 15, 2018 6:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Risen Star

Dalmore by 7 lengths over Cat Burgler. Wow!

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 8:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Risen Star

Noble Indy might be the "real deal" in this race. Drew a good post and has Velasquez aboard.

His last effort was very quick for 1 1/16 mi on dirt at GP, the same distance as this race.

The other horse to watch is Instilled Regard. Horse has a lot of class.

Author:  Rod [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 8:42 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Risen Star

Dignified Rube wrote:
Noble Indy might be the "real deal" in this race with Velasquez aboard. Drew a good post.

His last effort was very quick for 1 1/16 mi.

The other horse to watch is Instilled Regard. Horse has a lot of class.



I think Noble Indy is going to have to run on the lead here and there's a lot of speed to press him. Instilled Regard has a big chance sitting right behind the leaders. If he's a square price I may go that way. Otherwise, I'm looking at High North and hoping for a complete pace meltdown.

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 6:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Risen Star

Had Snapper Sinclair at 41-1. Weren't getting any odds on the favorites.

Image

They never showed the photo in the race. When you look at the replay, they just gave the top view, not the close-up view from the side.

Author:  Dignified Rube [ Sat Feb 17, 2018 8:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Risen Star

Snapper Sinclair was totally underestimated in the race. If you watched his races, he was a good horse with a lot of speed, as he showed.

Horse had the highest WP, after a $350K G1 win last Oct over 7f. There was certainly something there class-wise.

This race goes to show how much the live odds are speed figure biased.

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