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PostPosted: Sun Mar 24, 2019 1:16 pm 
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Steve Asmussen all day all night....Been doing this for 50 years saw lots of "systems" if one worked everyone would be using it :lol:

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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PostPosted: Sun Mar 24, 2019 2:34 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Steve Asmussen all day all night....Been doing this for 50 years saw lots of "systems" if one worked everyone would be using it :lol:


Who are you to say, as someone that doesn't rely on math and wouldn't know a good model even if he had access to it, that there isn't one that works? You can speak only from your frame of reference, which is very limited.

What do you think the guys do at Citadel downtown or where I used to work at Allston, sit around and play solitaire all day?


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PostPosted: Sun Mar 24, 2019 5:32 pm 
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Sunland Oaks Prison of Love.....it's not for me to say.....Johnny Mathis

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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PostPosted: Sun Mar 24, 2019 5:50 pm 
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Dignified Rube wrote:
Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Steve Asmussen all day all night....Been doing this for 50 years saw lots of "systems" if one worked everyone would be using it :lol:


Who are you to say, as someone that doesn't rely on math and wouldn't know a good model even if he had access to it, that there isn't one that works? You can speak only from your frame of reference, which is very limited.

What do you think the guys do at Citadel downtown or where I used to work at Allston, sit around and play solitaire all day?

Here you go CHAMP pick a race card any model you'd like see how many winners they have on TOP it's easy it's math and you can use it until it justifies exsistence…..just as a small sample I haven't seen it do any good :D

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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PostPosted: Sun Mar 24, 2019 6:54 pm 
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The local track handicapper gentleman called it with the Pletcher horse. Good job.

Very fast time for 1 1/8 mi under 1:47 and a new track record at Sunland.


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PostPosted: Sun Mar 24, 2019 11:29 pm 
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Wow, was really disappointed in how how Mucho Gusto ran. That ain't gonna get it done.


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 25, 2019 6:59 am 
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OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Wow, was really disappointed in how how Mucho Gusto ran. That ain't gonna get it done.

In Search of Another War Emblem

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 25, 2019 9:38 pm 
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Walt Williams Neck wrote:
Steve Asmussen all day all night....Been doing this for 50 years saw lots of "systems" if one worked everyone would be using it :lol:


I'll say this one time, Walt. In my most recent run, which has been a couple of months, my ROI has been 400% and as high as 600%. I banked 75% of the proceeds and started again.

So, yes, there are strategies and programs that work, when applied correctly. Patience and waiting for the right setups with odds is key. Being lucky doesn't hurt either.

How would you ever know what the fair-value of a horse is, if you you didn't use math? You do know that at least half of the single wagering bets for any race are losers a majority of the time, that is, not fair bets? It can be shown mathematically. So if you're taking these horses and many are at short odds, even if you win once or twice, over time you will lose and give it all back. The quants have an advantage, in that they know which bets are fair and have value and which don't. That is as long as the odds don't change much after post-time, which unfortunately does happen, causing distortions.

Mucho Gusto at 4-5 in the Sunland Derby was not a fair bet. Neither was War of Will at 1 in the Louisiana Derby. However, Core Beliefs at 9-1 in the New Orleans Handicap had odds more than twice its fair value.


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 26, 2019 6:24 am 
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ROI of 400% means the horse goes of 4-1 bfd

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I'm going to bounce from the spot for awhile but I will be back at some point to argue with you about this hoops stuff again. Playoffs have been great this season. See ya up the road.

I'm out.


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PostPosted: Tue Mar 26, 2019 6:29 am 
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Eddie Olczyk is the best handicapper I've seen, guy routinely gives out winners, if I were a horse guy.. I'd piggyback all his plays.

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Laurence Holmes is a fucking weirdo, a nerd in denial, and a wannabe. Not a very good radio host either.


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