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| The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Bluegrass https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=117141 |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Fri Apr 05, 2019 10:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Bluegrass |
Who really needs this weekend, that is the question and should inform your wagers. Interested in your thoughts.... Looking forward to seeing Instagrand and Roadster out West. Sir Winston won't get the pace at Keeneland but I still like him and Signalman...and in the Wood , I want to believe against both Haikael and Tacitus, because it would make everything easier in my analysis going forward. It doesn't work that way. Thoughts? Does the winner of the KD race and or win this weekend? I'm saying no. |
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| Author: | Rod [ Fri Apr 05, 2019 11:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Even with Hidden Scroll gone I still think the strongest group was in Florida with the best being Bourbon War and Code of Honor. I think the Pletcher horses have chances that will be better than their odds in KY and NY. I might try Nolo Contesto at SA, but I expect Game Winner to be strong tomorrow. I'm not sure Roadster is a horse for the classic distance. |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Fri Apr 05, 2019 11:14 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Well I've believed in Bourbon War all along. What do you think of Plus Que Parfait?...distance won't be a problem going forward |
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| Author: | spmack [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 6:00 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Bluegrass - Somelikeithotbrown. Look at the race that Irap won in either 2016 or 2017, I can see that happening here. Horse is in the 1 hole, will be forced to blast out. Wood - Not that Brady SA Derby - Instagrand |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 7:01 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Well I've believed in Bourbon War all along. What do you think of Plus Que Parfait?...distance won't be a problem going forward I can't really see anything coming out of that Dubai race even contending in the Derby. I'm not even sure you can take that route with a really good horse and get it done. I think Mendelssohn was about as good as we've seen come out of that race and he couldn't get it done. |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 7:05 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
spmack wrote: Bluegrass - Somelikeithotbrown. Look at the race that Irap won in either 2016 or 2017, I can see that happening here. Horse is in the 1 hole, will be forced to blast out. Wood - Not that Brady SA Derby - Instagrand I definitely think that Not That Brady has a much better pace scenario here than he did in his last race. If they let him get a slow 1/4 and/or 1/2 he may be tough to catch. He has a heart the size of a whale. I have some distance questions with Instagrand, but I would not be even slightly surprised if he won this race. I'm not sure there's going to be any value on any horse there in that short field. Like I said, I might try Nolo Contesto, but I don't want to be betting him here at 7/2. I'm not sure I'd take 7/2 on him if Game Winner wasn't in the race. |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 8:15 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Wood - Haikal Santa Anita - Game Winner Blue Grass - (The most interesting of the preps) Vekoma or Win Win Win. Longshot play: So Alive. Win Win Win worked 4f, Mar 23rd, in 48.00 (b) finsihing 1/26 |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:58 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Does the winner of the KD race and or win this weekend? No, he won the Florida Derby last week or the 1st division of the Rebel. But Haikal could be interesting, if he wins the Wood today. It's not going to be a California horse this year. |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 10:18 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Wood-Pletcher's Outshine SAD-Instagrand Blue Grass-Signalman, Somelikeitbrown and Sir Winston charging late despite the tepid pace. In the 2nd I think you're spot on JORR with Kneedeepinsnow 4th-Almitharr although he won't be anywhere near 3-1 7th-Shakhimat Bombs away $$$ 9th-Lady Kate out of Tampa at a price, but Chocolate kisses is a pretty good runner. Won't be part of the conversation until tonight, so best of luck gentlemen. |
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| Author: | spmack [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 10:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote: spmack wrote: Bluegrass - Somelikeithotbrown. Look at the race that Irap won in either 2016 or 2017, I can see that happening here. Horse is in the 1 hole, will be forced to blast out. Wood - Not that Brady SA Derby - Instagrand I definitely think that Not That Brady has a much better pace scenario here than he did in his last race. If they let him get a slow 1/4 and/or 1/2 he may be tough to catch. He has a heart the size of a whale. I have some distance questions with Instagrand, but I would not be even slightly surprised if he won this race. I'm not sure there's going to be any value on any horse there in that short field. Like I said, I might try Nolo Contesto, but I don't want to be betting him here at 7/2. I'm not sure I'd take 7/2 on him if Game Winner wasn't in the race. You're right JORR, and I'm actually leaning more Roadster than anything in the SA Derby. |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 4:33 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Not that Brady is dirt cheap. Going the distance is the question. Tax and Haikal Exa box. |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 4:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
I lied. Lieutenant Dan in the 6th at S.A.! Couldn't help myself. |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 5:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Hit the exacta in the BG, but it doesn't pay anything. Hard enough to hit an exacta as it is with 14 horses. 14 horses!! That's total bullshit. |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 8:12 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
we all have had days like this I'm getting bitch slapped all over....down like a buck seven  Now I like Ray Miland in Lost Weekend.....Hawthorne's has 2 races left ….stop yourself man....Turf Paradise has 2 left tomorrows my b'day so I play a 4/7 double it comes in and I win $316 so I flip to the Cubs...Virginia Auburn game....then back to TP's last why not ? box the 4/7 again it hits again $120 something …...sometimes just being lucky is what you need 
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 8:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
I had 5 of 6 in the Rainbow. I got busted in Leg 4. |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Apr 06, 2019 9:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote: I had 5 of 6 in the Rainbow. I got busted in Leg 4. damn |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sun Apr 07, 2019 1:41 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
I'm not a big fan (bigfan?) of the Rainbow. Takeout is ridiculous and so hard to beat the syndicates. I actually like to make 6 .20 quick picks, (for $1.20) because thats the only way you're going to have the only ticket. Luck is everything, right. |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sun Apr 07, 2019 2:45 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
Happy Birthday Walt  39 again? |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sun Apr 07, 2019 3:46 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Happy Birthday Walt 39 again? thank you |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sun Apr 07, 2019 8:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: I'm not a big fan (bigfan?) of the Rainbow. Takeout is ridiculous and so hard to beat the syndicates. I actually like to make 6 .20 quick picks, (for $1.20) because thats the only way you're going to have the only ticket. Luck is everything, right. I NEVER play jackpot bets except on the forceout. Yesterday was the forceout at Santa Anita. For me it was actually close to being a zero takeout wager since I hadn't previously bet into it and it was starting with over $800,000 of dead money in the pool. Last week's forceout at Gulfstream was actually negative takeout for those of us who hadn't played up until that point. Yesterday I invested $115 in the PK-6. I was alive through the first three and I had what I thought was pretty good coverage in the fourth leg (3 horses) But I got popped by that crazy longshot, then I ended up beating McKinzie and had the 15/1 in the final leg. It came back $53,000. It would have been less if one of my guys had won the ninth race, but it still would have been a 5 figure score. No consolation either. |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Mon Apr 08, 2019 2:24 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The Penultimate Prep weekend-Wood, Santa Anita and Blueg |
#8 True Blue is running today at Parx in the 7th, coming up. Was excellent last time out a few weeks ago. |
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