The Matt Winn I love Ny Traffic and I expect Maxfield to be positioned a lot closer today.In the 3rd JORR blow the doors off race I like 1st timer Wartime Hero been working since February and that name on this weekend
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| Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=121670 |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Fri May 22, 2020 7:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Race 10 MattWinn G3 1-Mystic Guide…loved his maiden win 2nd time out, price…2-Pneumatic, 2/2 fast, Santana/Asmussen, won’t be 4/1…6-Ny Traffic…now here’s the guy whose most interesting..Paco Lopez could go to the lead to attempt to wiretowire, or presses…love the jock, and will probably key…7-Neker Island and 8-Crypto Cash will blow up you exotics underneath…10-Maxfeld will be waaay overbet; will probably will spill into the exotics, but you can make money betting against him..11-Atachment Rate is the real deal but will have to work a trip from that post…same story for the 12 –Major Fed who gets Rosario, but will have to work the trip from the outside 6-12-11-1/7-8-10 also… Race 5- The 6-Just Howard is a tremendous finisher at this distance…trainer Motion is highly skilled with horses off a long layoff, plus Rosario will finish ITM at a hefty price Maybe more to follow. Any thoughts? |
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| Author: | Rod [ Fri May 22, 2020 10:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
10th- I think Pneumatic will be very, very difficult to beat in here. I'll probably be using 1, 9, and 12 underneath. Also possibly using 5 for 3rd and 4th. I may go to 9 Shake Some Action on top if Pneumatic is too short. Great song too. Flamin' Groovies! 4th- Altaf is legit in here but I'm looking to 12 Ithaca Falls. He got stopped cold in the upper stretch in his debut and had a very strong gallop out. Big field so it will be important for him to get away better than he did last time. 8th- Alms looks legit in here. I'm against Sharing. Interested in 3, 8, and 10 to hit the ticket. 9th- This looks like a good spot for Mr. Money. |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat May 23, 2020 9:21 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
I'm rooting for #1 Mystic Guide in the Matt Winn. Outside chance he can win at 15-1 on the M/L, but his LP strength stacks up better than #10 Maxfield's, when Mystic Guide was hand ridden out in his last while putting up a 108 LP. Otherwise, it will be either #10 Maxfield and #2 Pneumatic or Maxfield and #6 NY Traffic. |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat May 23, 2020 9:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Dignified Rube wrote: I'm rooting for #1 Mystic Guide in the Matt Winn. Outside chance he can win at 15-1 on the M/L, but his LP strength stacks up better than #10 Maxfield's, when Mystic Guide was hand ridden out in his last while putting up a 108 LP. Otherwise, it will be either #10 Maxfield and #2 Pneumatic or Maxfield and #6 NY Traffic. I don't like Maxfield in this spot. The pace shouldn't be very hot and he's going to have a long way to go and a short time to get there. Mystic Guide is somewhat of an unknown. I'm not sure what he's beaten. This will be a real test for him. Working strong though. |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat May 23, 2020 9:37 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Also, I expect 4 Bubba Caballo in the third race to blow the doors off this field. I can't imagine he will be anywhere near his morning line though. |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat May 23, 2020 11:14 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
The Matt Winn I love Ny Traffic and I expect Maxfield to be positioned a lot closer today.In the 3rd JORR blow the doors off race I like 1st timer Wartime Hero been working since February and that name on this weekend
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat May 23, 2020 12:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote: Also, I expect 4 Bubba Caballo in the third race to blow the doors off this field. I can't imagine he will be anywhere near his morning line though. Nobody's listening to JORR. That makes JORR very 
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat May 23, 2020 12:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Race 4-Take Charge Glenda...Take the 6/1 odds and run with it... |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat May 23, 2020 12:52 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Joe Orr Road Rod wrote: Also, I expect 4 Bubba Caballo in the third race to blow the doors off this field. I can't imagine he will be anywhere near his morning line though. Nobody's listening to JORR. That makes JORR very Yeah, I figured he'd be close to the favorite. I'm ecstatic with 5/1 or better. Maybe this Runhappy horse is just going to crush this field. Those works are something. But I know Bubba is a good bet in here at this price. |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat May 23, 2020 1:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Bobby's Golden Girl 9-11 exacta box |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat May 23, 2020 1:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Caught the place with the maiden in #7 Majorette. I didn't believe in Altaf and he beat me with the other two I had to win. |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat May 23, 2020 1:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Walt Williams Neck wrote: Bobby's Golden Girl 9-11 exacta box Tough snap on the wire, Walt. |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat May 23, 2020 1:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Had the #5 Remember the Maine, but to show at 32-1. Wow. Another favorite bites the dust. |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat May 23, 2020 1:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
wow Mr. Misunderstood 5 of 6 at Churchill |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat May 23, 2020 2:07 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Spooky Channel. Had him place with First Premio to place. Very good ride by Leparoux. Didn't think he was going to get there, but he ran him just right. |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat May 23, 2020 2:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Race 5- The 6-Just Howard is a tremendous finisher at this distance…trainer Motion is highly skilled with horses off a long layoff, plus Rosario will finish ITM at a hefty price It doesn't happen often but Joel gave us a real bum steer there. |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat May 23, 2020 2:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
#2 High Crime and #10 Smart Time to win in the 6th |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat May 23, 2020 2:59 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
I'm actually having a good day. Legendary Prince in the 7th at GP. |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat May 23, 2020 3:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
unlike rube i am not having a good day..unless there is a contest for identifying 4th place finishers...looking to beat the 14-Alms with the two foreigners and a Kenneally horse ...2,3 and7 |
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| Author: | Ed_from_Lisle [ Sat May 23, 2020 3:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Was perilously close to having to add money to my TVG account but I bought some time by hitting the 5-8 exacta and 5-7-8 tri at TB Downs/race 4. Tri paid $66.55. Exacta paid $94. The 5 went off at 7-1. The 7 and 8 were heavily favored. |
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| Author: | Dignified Rube [ Sat May 23, 2020 4:00 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Having a good feeling about Everfast for this one. |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat May 23, 2020 4:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: unlike rube i am not having a good day..unless there is a contest for identifying 4th place finishers...looking to beat the 14-Alms with the two foreigners and a Kenneally horse ...2,3 and7 only takes one OTE if not for Owendale my ass would be at the ATM |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat May 23, 2020 4:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
lots to choose from here to beat the favorite...the 12-Major Fed is a huge overlay, the 2 is for real and I still like the 6-NY Traffic to avoid traffic by going to the front and running away |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat May 23, 2020 4:45 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: lots to choose from here to beat the favorite...the 12-Major Fed is a huge overlay, the 2 is for real and I still like the 6-NY Traffic to avoid traffic by going to the front and running away ditto |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Sat May 23, 2020 5:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Maxfield would have picked up and thrown Ny Traffic out the way...wo geared down Heironymus to close it out. |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat May 23, 2020 5:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
yeah he ran much better off the layoff than i anticipated...loved the 12_Pixalated in the last and got cute and tried to bring him into a trifecta...should have just gone across the board Walt Williams Neck wrote: The Matt Winn I love Ny Traffic and I expect Maxfield to be positioned a lot closer today. nice call Dignified Rube wrote: Spooky Channel. Had him place with First Premio to place. Very good ride by Leparoux. Didn't think he was going to get there, but he ran him just right. also, nice |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat May 23, 2020 5:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Saturday Stakes/Churchill 5.23 |
Walt Williams Neck wrote: Maxfield would have picked up and thrown Ny Traffic out the way... No question and I don't even think he was tight. Major Fed is a real racehorse too, just wants more ground. He'll run all day. |
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