All the usual suspects Wesley Ward in the opener
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| Keeneland Opener https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=129691 |
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| Author: | Walt Williams Neck [ Fri Apr 07, 2023 8:10 am ] |
| Post subject: | Keeneland Opener |
All the usual suspects Wesley Ward in the opener
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| Author: | Rod [ Fri Apr 07, 2023 8:49 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Walt Williams Neck wrote: All the usual suspects Wesley Ward in the opener He'll probably scratch a bunch of them. |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Fri Apr 07, 2023 9:36 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
He cooled off last meet a bit. Hancock horses have done well in the 2yo's. kinda like the 6-Early Munny |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Fri Apr 07, 2023 10:28 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Early pick5 3 6/9 11/1 3/2 5 7 9/6 7 8 11 Race 3 Cox runners at 1 1/16 win 31% (3) Love the 9-Forenoon in the 2nd |
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| Author: | Rod [ Fri Apr 07, 2023 10:32 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
I wouldn't leave the 15 in the 2nd off your ticket. |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Fri Apr 07, 2023 12:02 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Thanks, little bastard almost snuck by...did this before scratches and didn't think he'd get in Love the speed of the 8 Candidate in the 8 Wire to wire!!!! |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Wed Apr 12, 2023 2:32 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Beautiful day in Lexington hit the early P5 for couple hundred....alive to the late Pick5 (only 8 races today)...to 6,7,9/2,4,8/1,7,10 Race 6 the 6 -Money run will be over bet....lots of value in the 7 and especially 8 and 9 Race 7 the 11-Flirting Bridge is logical, but I'm throwing in the 8-Sister Lou Ann and the 2-Sweet Serenade, who finished a strong 3rd at this distance, level and course (and is 15/1 ml  )Race 9....1 7 10 in the Pick 5..the 7's trainer stats are intriguing Go make some money |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Wed Apr 12, 2023 2:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Beautiful day in Lexington hit the early P5 for couple hundred....alive to the late Pick5 (only 8 races today)...to 6,7,9/2,11*,8/1,7,10 Race 6 the 6 -Money run will be over bet....lots of value in the 7 and especially 8 and 9 Race 7 the 11-Flirting Bridge is logical, but I'm throwing in the 8-Sister Lou Ann and the 2-Sweet Serenade, who finished a strong 3rd at this distance, level and course (and is 15/1 ml )Race 9....1 7 10 in the Pick 5..the 7's trainer stats are intriguing Go make some money *fixed |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Wed Apr 12, 2023 2:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Race 7 Trifecta 2,8,11/All/2 8 11 $27 |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Wed Apr 12, 2023 3:25 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Race 7 Trifecta 2,8,11/All/2 8 11 $27 Nope OscarTangoEcho wrote: Beautiful day in Lexington hit the early P5 for couple hundred....alive to the late Pick5 (only 8 races today)...to 6,7,9/2,4,8/1,7,10 Race 6 the 6 -Money run will be over bet....lots of value in the 7 and especially 8 and 9 Race 7 the 11-Flirting Bridge is logical, but I'm throwing in the 8-Sister Lou Ann and the 2-Sweet Serenade, who finished a strong 3rd at this distance, level and course (and is 15/1 ml )Race 9....1 7 10 in the Pick 5..the 7's trainer stats are intriguing Go make some money Payouts 1-$152, 7-$577, 10-$307 pretty Meh |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Wed Apr 12, 2023 3:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Little chalky but I'll take winning both sides of the Pick 5 $$ Working next 4 days but hope to throw up ideas for Keeneland this weekend...would love to hear anyone else's misguided thoughts
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Wed Apr 12, 2023 4:36 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Also, if Disarm sneaks his way into the Derby this weekend, look out |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Apr 13, 2023 11:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Thursday, beautiful day today, rain coming in this weekend Early P5 3, 7, 10 / 1, 4, 7, 9 / 7, 13 / 3, 7 / 1, 3, 9, 10 $96 |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Fri Apr 14, 2023 3:13 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Late Pick 5 1 5 3,4,5,6,11 2,7 3,4,7 8,10 Modern games is by far the best in the 9th but no pace levels it open for two earlier speed horses to take advantage |
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| Author: | Rod [ Fri Apr 14, 2023 3:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Modern games is by far the best in the 9th but no pace levels it open for two earlier speed horses to take advantage Could Chez Pierre wire that field? |
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| Author: | Rod [ Fri Apr 14, 2023 4:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
BOOM! |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Apr 15, 2023 2:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Modern games is by far the best in the 9th but no pace levels it open for two earlier speed horses to take advantage Fucking 3 billion to one ruined my P5 |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Apr 15, 2023 9:38 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Lexington Race 9...While I hope the 6-Disarm wins and gets to the Derby, Cox's entries need to be considered given his ridiculous win rate at this distance on this course. Think the pace is going to come from the outside and set up for someone making the move top of the short stretch...closers and long prices in the last 7 iterations of this event... Race 10-Jenny Nas favorites have won lt 3 and 7 of last 10...which sets up nicely for the 7/5 ml 2In Italian...if anyone can knock her off it's the 3-Queen Goddess who has been mowing down G3 company in Florida, California and Oaklawn |
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| Author: | Rod [ Sat Apr 15, 2023 10:22 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
I think the Lexington is a pretty wide open race. If the plan for Disarm is really the Derby they aren't going to want to blow him out here. They're just going to be shooting for the points they need. That can be a tough needle to thread but McPeek and Geroux were able to do it last week with Sun Thunder. I think Asmussen would be happy with an easy second here. Transect and Prairie Hawk are pretty interesting in this race. I'm against In Italian, though the way the turf course has been playing she looks very legit. I'll be leaning on Skims. Late PK-5: 7th- 3,4 8th- 3,6,4,10 9th- 4,9,11 10th- 5,6 11th- 7,9,12 Also, in the fifth, I think Baby Billy should be very strong. I'll have him and Classic Creation on all my tickets. Trying to get Clever Thought out of the super. |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Apr 15, 2023 11:41 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Early pick 5 3,7 2,6 3,11,12 6,7,8 6,7,8 Late p5 Race 7 1,4,6 3,4,10 3,5,6 2,3,5 6,7,8 (big fan of 4's trainer Mark Glat from out west, should stay a big price) Back to work...good luck |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Apr 15, 2023 10:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Man, I thought I had one there with Glatt's 4 in the last...hit a modest late pick 5 |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Apr 15, 2023 10:49 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
OscarTangoEcho wrote: Race 8- Cox's entries need to be considered given his ridiculous win rate at this distance on this course. Race 10-Jenny Nas favorites have won lt 3 and 7 of last 10...which sets up nicely for the 7/5 ml 2In Italian... Blah Blah blah |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Sun Apr 16, 2023 12:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Late P5 Sunday Race 5 1, 2, 8 / 3, 8, 10 / 4, 5, 6 / 2, 7 / 1, 2, 6 Off to a movie date to see Renfield... you go win some money |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Wed Apr 19, 2023 1:38 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Wednesday L:ate Pick 5 7, 8, 9 / 1, 7 / 3, 9, 11 / 2, 5, 6 / 1, 5, 8 
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Fri Apr 21, 2023 12:44 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Normally only been playing Pick 5's but this carryover of +800k in the Pick 6 is too tempting 3,4/1/5,6,9/1,3,8/2,4/3,5,9 for $108 Also a late pick 5 |
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| Author: | OscarTangoEcho [ Wed Apr 26, 2023 12:20 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Keeneland Opener |
Final week of the spring meet starts today... Race 2...curious stat..in turf sprints (less than a mile) with large fields (11 or more, which is common here)...the posts 3-4-5 when at an alarming rate, regardless of the horse, jockey or trainer...this has been going on for years..this year trhere have been 9 such races and those post won 4 of them paying an average of 6-1 Next race in a few minutes...The 5 is down to 5-2...but the 3-Alibi Ike, running for Ward is a HUGE vbalue...currently 12-1 
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