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Kentucky Downs
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=130507		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  Rod [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 8:40 am ]
Post subject:  Kentucky Downs
A lot of players boycotting this meet because they raised takeout one percent. I understand the argument, but they still have lower takeout than almost every other track. I'll be playing.

First Race: NORM Casse has been hotter than a pistol. He saddles the 9 in the opener.

Second Race: 8 Hidden Class class looks legit in this one.

Fifth Race: 13 Elegant Trip may just be faster than these.
Author:  W_Z [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 9:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Big fields, lots of great names…weird payouts. What’s not to love.
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 11:19 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
I totally agree with the takeout anger, it really is misplaced,

Love this place, evn though it is really difficult to win in the exotics (Trifecta, Superfecta) and especially in the horizontals (Pick,3 Pick 5).

Favorites win 28.7% over the last 5 years (31% Maidens, 27% in Stakes). Jockey's to watch include Brian Hernandez and Julian Leparoux (12-23 last 5 years). He's going to catch some big prices based on his recent struggles. If he rebounds here it will pay handsomely. I like him in Race 3, the 8-Shad Nation.

Trainer Brian Lynch has a ridiculous $3 ROI in turf Sprints here, winning 6 of 14 races. Race 4 he has the 4-Static Fire who has won off the bench before

Trainer Mark Maker has been making a lot of money on Turf MIles here at KD, having scored in 22 races, while no other active trainer has more than 7. In Race 5 he saddles Metallurgic, who has a morning line of 15-1! His dad, Cairo Prince has had multiple winners here in the last few years, and jock Florent Geroux gets it done today.

Make some money people
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 12:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
1st race, small Win/Place on both JORR's the 9...and I like how this sets up up for the 3-Backwoods Barbie...McPeek who is another trainer that does well here...there was a fair bit of WAY early money
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 12:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Early P5 at KD
1, 3, 5, 9 / 3, 8, 12 / 3, 8 / 4, 9, 10 / 7, 9

I have to go to work but a great day of quality racing at Saratoga, and Del Mar as well. Hope we have safe trips all around. Kick some ass
Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 12:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
I like the other Casse MARK gets it done with the 1
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 1:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Fuck it I'm working from home today :wink:
Author:  Rod [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Trainer Brian Lynch has a ridiculous $3 ROI in turf Sprints here, winning 6 of 14 races. Race 4 he has the 4-Static Fire who has won off the bench before



We got the shaft with the late money there. I guess I'm glad I wasn't paying attention since he won. But betting 8/1 shots at 3/1 isn't a good strategy long term.
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Had him Boxed with the 9 and 10, Exacta paid nice, but you're not wrong...fucking CAW's are evil
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Race 5 I still like the 9-Metallurgic...WPS bet as well as an Exacta Key Box (9 with 1,4,7,11,12 and 1,4,7,1,12 with 9)
Author:  Rod [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
It's an interesting race. 7 just looks faster than everyone else. But I hate betting losers, especially at 9/5. I guess they may have been waiting to break his maiden for $150,000.
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
he ain't gonna be 9/5 either with our off shore friends
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 2:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
3/5 :roll: ...the 9 pays over $6 for 3rd
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Aug 31, 2023 3:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Race 6 Keying the 6-Chisparrajos (Spanish for "Fucking CAW's) in exacta key box-1 with my old friend the ALL BALL ($14)...as well as a WPS bet on him as well
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Sep 02, 2023 10:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
1st Race, I really like what trainer Kelsey Danner is doing. The 5-Danka will be a huge price and could be the start of a great day. She also has the 8-Glenbrook Gerry in the 5th
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Sep 02, 2023 4:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Race 7 Sat ...
Rusty Arnold Trainer stats shouting out here...4 Elagant Trip Exacta Key box...4/all and all/4
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Sep 02, 2023 4:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Any Major Dude would tell you now to bet on the 10 here
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Sep 02, 2023 5:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
aaaaand he'd be wrong
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Sep 02, 2023 5:28 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Race 10 keying the 3-Stitched at a huge pice with the logical favorites 2,6,8,10,12
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Sep 02, 2023 6:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
$2 paid $358 :alien:
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Sep 02, 2023 6:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
8,12,13/ALL Exacta in the Finale
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Sep 02, 2023 7:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
8,12,13/ALL Exacta in the Finale


OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Jockey's to watch include Brian Hernandez and Julian Leparoux (12-23 last 5 years). He's going to catch some big prices based on his recent struggles. If he rebounds here it will pay handsomely.
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Sat Sep 02, 2023 7:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
$2 Exacta paid $349
Author:  Rod [ Wed Sep 06, 2023 6:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
$2 Exacta paid $349



I think your man has a REALLY good chance to win the Juvenile on Sunday.
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Sep 07, 2023 12:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Thursday the 7th...some horses I'm looking at

1st race seems wide open....interesting that trainer Rivelli's horse the 5-Bizee Channel has run this course 4 times finishing in the money on 3 occasions...like the 2,3,4,6 and 10 as well...not sure how I'm playing

Again keep an eye on Jockey Leparoux and his odds in races 2 (15/1), 4 (8/1), 8 (8/1),10 (8/1)...I really like his chances in the 4th with the 7-He's got swagger

Race 5-Candy Corn out of Twirling Candy whose offsprings do quite well here
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Sep 07, 2023 2:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Thursday the 7th...some horses I'm looking at

Again keep an eye on Jockey Leparoux and his odds I really like his chances in the 4th with the 7-He's got swagger

Darn he gets up for 3rd and its a huge trifecta :evil:
Author:  Hawg Ass [ Thu Sep 07, 2023 2:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Thursday the 7th...some horses I'm looking at

Again keep an eye on Jockey Leparoux and his odds I really like his chances in the 4th with the 7-He's got swagger

Darn he gets up for 3rd and its a huge trifecta :evil:

I had him across the board.
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Sep 07, 2023 2:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Sorry if I mislead you
Author:  Hawg Ass [ Thu Sep 07, 2023 2:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
Sorry if I mislead you

No need to EVER do that!!!!
Author:  OscarTangoEcho [ Thu Sep 07, 2023 3:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Kentucky Downs
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
OscarTangoEcho wrote:
$2 Exacta paid $349



I think your man has a REALLY good chance to win the Juvenile on Sunday.


yeah I think that morning line is out of whack...Block/Ortiz out of Palice Malice...not 20-1 at all
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