Chicago Fanatics Message Board
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/

Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 11
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=16479		 Page 1 of 3
Author:  donspiracy [ Wed Nov 14, 2007 12:48 am ]
Post subject:  Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 11
Start posting now for these games. Sorry, if you missed out on the Toledo-Ball St. game Gloopan :(

This weekly wagering contest will reward the best football prognosticator with a $100 gift certificate from a meat/steak company. New guys can still join in any time and you don't have to make a pick every week. You can post your plays any time, but they must be posted before a game you are playing kicks off. You must make your picks in this thread and you must provide at least one reason for each pick. Minimum 50 picks to qualify by the end of the contest.

............................This Week....Season.......%
Mitch Cumstein.........6-0...........50-17-2.........75
Evergreen Tommy.....9-2...........20-13-1........61
Nas........................20-11-1.......66-49-4........57
a retard....................2-1...........17-14-1........55
Mustang Rob.............0-0...........15-14-2........52
Bud Dude.................7-11..........37-37-1........50
Hawkeye Vince..........0-0...........30-30-3........50
good dolphin.............1-1...........29-29-1........50
buryman...................0-0...........10-10..........50
At Large....................2-5............9-9............50
Matt Murton's Beard....3-1...........6-6.............50
Chus.......................15-13-1.....137-143-8.....49
Gloopan Kuratz..........0-0...........18-19-3.......49
FarveFan...................0-0...........30-33-3.......48
newper.....................0-0............11-13-2.......46
reents.......................7-3...........51-62-8.......45
Irish Boy...................0-0...........38-46-4.......45
muman89..................3-2...........21-27-1......44
schmitty1211.............4-4...........28-38-2......42
donspiracy.................7-7...........19-29.........40
Boilermaker Rick........0-1...........14-22.........39
Darren-Tinley Park.....3-3...........19-38-1......33
hootmon....................0-0...........9-18-2.......33
Chuckle Nuts.............0-0...........2-7.............22
Coasttocoast.............0-0...........0-2.............0



Overall___________689-729-51_____48.6%
Three Week Trend__
NFL Week 10_______89-65-2_______57.8%
NFL Week 9________99-105-7______48.5%
NFL Week 8________79-58-1_______57.7%

Please let me know if any of the totals are wrong. Thank you.
Author:  donspiracy [ Wed Nov 14, 2007 4:27 am ]
Post subject: 
The leaderboard is up. Next Week CFB Tues and Thurs. 3 NFL Games on Turkey Day.

- Tuesday, November 20, 2007 6:00 PM CT
Middle Tennessee (5-6, 4-2 S. Belt)
Troy (7-3, 5-0 S. Belt)


- Thursday, November 22, 2007 7:00 PM CT
(11) USC (8-2, 5-2 Pac-10)
( 8) Arizona St (9-1, 6-1 Pac-10)

Turkey Day NFL

11:30 AM CT
Green Bay (8-1, 4-0 away)
Detroit (6-3, 4-0 home)
FOX

3:15 PM CT
New York Jets (1-8, 0-4 away)
Dallas (8-1, 3-1 home)
CBS

7:15 PM CT
Indianapolis (7-2, 4-1 away)
Atlanta (3-6, 2-2 home)
NFL
Author:  Evergreen Tommy [ Wed Nov 14, 2007 9:46 am ]
Post subject: 
Miami (OH) -8.5.....I like Miami of OH at home...should run all over akron.
Author:  Mustang Rob [ Wed Nov 14, 2007 11:43 am ]
Post subject: 
Nas wrote:
Mitch is on steroids. I'm 17 games over .500 and I have absolutely no chance of winning. I hope you are placing bets Mitch because it would be a waste of talent if you didn't.


The man needs to hook himself up with a 1-900 hotline and spread his knowledge for $4.99/minute. After his season he should be able to pony up more than $350/night for a hotel in Zihuatenejo :wink:
Author:  M_C [ Wed Nov 14, 2007 11:59 am ]
Post subject: 
Yes I have bet enough to cover the x-mas present budget and a majority of a TBD Mexico trip. As all runs I am sure this will end abrubtly so I am severaly pulling back my weekly wager (not here but the real $$). My strategy I have been using this year is simple:

I don't listen to anyone's predictions, especially the so called experts, before Sunday I absorb enough info on any key injuries to factor into my decision making. If you have been watching the NFL closely for decade(s) as I have you look at the matchups and just bet from your gut feel calling out the 6-8 games you feel strongest about. For me I single out the NFC North games more than anything. In terms of my real wagering I've been putting 200/game on ones I feel really strongly about and 100 on the ones less so, this is usually a 50/50 split in a given week. I actually have a better record in the 100 games so far but both are well above .500 :wink:
In the end its all luck!
Author:  M_C [ Wed Nov 14, 2007 12:05 pm ]
Post subject: 
Two other slightly humorous things I have noticed

1) It seems when people type in multiple paragraphs supporting their pick they tend to lose more
2) If you are on the fence on a pick and the outcome of you winning will most likely adversely effect your fantasy football team I say go for it, that has worked for me a couple times :wink: nothing wrong w/hedging
Author:  good dolphin [ Wed Nov 14, 2007 12:22 pm ]
Post subject: 
Nas is the one to be really impressed with. 57% over an almost two year period is professional level.
Author:  Chus [ Wed Nov 14, 2007 7:07 pm ]
Post subject: 
NCAA
Toledo +7 L
Arizona +11 W
Nevada +7 W
Hawaii/Nevada under 77.5 W
Mississippi +19 W
Michigan +4 L
Arkansas -11 W
Cincinnati +6 W
Clemson -8 L
Oregon State/Washington State under 49 L
Oregon State +3 W
Southern Mississippi -2.5 W
South Florida -9 W

NFL
NY Giants -2.5 W
Cincinnati -3 L
Houston pk W
NY Giants/Detroit under 49 W
Baltimore +3 PUSH
Seattle -5.5 W
Oakland +3 (1st half) W
San Diego +3 L
Seattle -3 (1st half) L
Buffalo +17 (-120) L
Denver pk W

NCAA: 9-4
NFL: 6-4-1
Total: 15-8-1
Author:  reents [ Wed Nov 14, 2007 9:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Thursday
Oregon -11 vs Arizona- Oregon is the best team, not many people have seen play, they'll show people on Thursday how good they are.
Author:  a retard [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 6:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday
Don: A correction to the leaderboard please. I believe I was 3-0, not 2-1. St. Louis won, Dallas won, and Indy lost by 2 points.

Thanks for doing this.

a retard wrote:
5Dimes

STL +13.5 @ NO
Divisional game, two dome teams, could be closer than 13.5

Dallas 0 @ NYG
'Boys keep rolling; maybe Plexiglass out?

Indy +3.5 @ SD
Peyton and the gang bounce back
Author:  At Large [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 9:09 am ]
Post subject: 
Oregon -11

The Ducks remember last year when they lost big at home to AZ and tonight they easily reciprocate.

Packers -9 1/2

Carolina's bad. Packers roll at Lambeau.

Rams at 49ers Under 40

2 of the NFL's worst fail to put up points against each other.
Author:  Evergreen Tommy [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 1:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
Oregon -11....hopefully ducks run up the score to earn BCS cred.
Author:  schmitty1121 [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 2:05 pm ]
Post subject: 
Oregon U67
Oregon -11
Author:  Matt Murton's Beard [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 4:53 pm ]
Post subject: 
Oregon -10 over Arizona Oregon continues to march toward a BCS championship in a laugher.


www.thegreek.com

305 Oregon -10 66½ -380 38½ -115 -115
Author:  Chus [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 5:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Thursday
a retard wrote:
Don: A correction to the leaderboard please. I believe I was 3-0, not 2-1. St. Louis won, Dallas won, and Indy lost by 2 points.

Thanks for doing this.

a retard wrote:
5Dimes

STL +13.5 @ NO
Divisional game, two dome teams, could be closer than 13.5

Dallas 0 @ NYG
'Boys keep rolling; maybe Plexiglass out?

Indy +3.5 @ SD
Peyton and the gang bounce back


Indy was -3.5
Author:  Darren - Tinley Park [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 5:37 pm ]
Post subject: 
You all may want to re-think your Oregon play because I'm going with the Ducks as well (-10.5 thegreek.com) over Arizona. Oregon has got too much to lose to play poorly tonight.
Author:  Evergreen Tommy [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 5:40 pm ]
Post subject: 
Darren - Tinley Park wrote:
You all may want to re-think your Oregon play because I'm going with the Ducks as well (-10.5 thegreek.com) over Arizona. Oregon has got too much to lose to play poorly tonight.


SHIT!!!!! But I will change it to the Ducks -10.5
Author:  Darren - Tinley Park [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 5:42 pm ]
Post subject: 
Oh no, no, no. You're locked in for -11 :P .
Author:  Matt Murton's Beard [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 6:25 pm ]
Post subject: 
It's -10 now.
Author:  Evergreen Tommy [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 6:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
Then I'll change it to the duck's -10...Thanks,matt murton's beard
Author:  Chus [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 6:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
Evergreen Tommy wrote:
Then I'll change it to the duck's -10...Thanks,matt murton's beard

How do you change a wager once it has been placed ?
Author:  Chus [ Thu Nov 15, 2007 6:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
Arizona +11
Nevada +7
Author:  Matt Murton's Beard [ Fri Nov 16, 2007 1:42 am ]
Post subject: 
Thank God I don't play with real money, my picks are brutal.
Author:  a retard [ Fri Nov 16, 2007 7:08 am ]
Post subject: 
WSEX

JAX -3 vs SD
4-0 this year against PDT teams playing in EDT. Can we go 5-0?

BUF +16.5 vs NE
Bill avoids embarrassment in divisional match
Author:  Evergreen Tommy [ Fri Nov 16, 2007 9:15 am ]
Post subject: 
Darren you suck!
Author:  Darren - Tinley Park [ Fri Nov 16, 2007 9:36 am ]
Post subject: 
Matt Murton's Beard wrote:
Thank God I don't play with real money, my picks are brutal.

Your picks are brutal :? . Take a look at my "winning" percentage :oops: .




And shut up Evergreen Tommy :P .
Author:  Hawkeye Vince [ Fri Nov 16, 2007 10:54 am ]
Post subject: 
Wisconsin @ Minnesota OVER 57 Win
Western Michigan +14 @ Iowa AND UNDER 46.5 Win, Loss
Utah State @ New Mexico State -9.5 Loss
Boston College @ Clemson -8.5 Loss
NC State @ Wake Forest UNDER 49 Loss
Bowling Green @ Buffalo OVER 60 Loss
Kent State @ Temple UNDER 47.5 Win
Pitt @ Rutgers -11.5 and OVER49 Loss, Loss
Oklahoma @ TT UNDER 66.5 Win
Missouri -7 @ KSU and OVER 68.5 Win, Win
Iowa State +27 @ Kansas Loss
NIU @ Navy -16.5 Loss
Purdue -1.5 @ Indiana Loss


NFL:

Philly -9.5 Win

7-10 week won't cut the mustard
Author:  Evergreen Tommy [ Fri Nov 16, 2007 4:18 pm ]
Post subject: 
College

Hawaii -6....even if they have shitty fans...there offense is still awesome.

Kansas -26.5...i don't think I have ever laid this many points before.

N. Ill @ Navy Over/Under 72.5...Under please..

Va Tech -16...I like Va Tech at home and Miami is not very good..

Wisconsin -13.5....Minn really sucks!!


Pro

Buffalo +16 ... I need to take a dog and they were getting a lot of pts.

Sorry guys I just not feeling it this week...I really don't like many spreads.
Author:  muman89 [ Fri Nov 16, 2007 4:34 pm ]
Post subject: 
Lines from WSEX

NCAA

Northwestern +13.5 @ Illinois

Coming off a huge win, a slight let down for the Illini (who still win outright).

Notre Dame -6 vs Duke

If the Irish can't cover against Duke at home, Charlie Weis needs to go.

Virginia Tech -16 vs Miami

Back to back blowout losses for the Canes.

Kansas -26 vs Iowa St.

Kansas needs to cement it's spot as #2 in the BCS with a blowout.

Ohio St. -4 @ Michigan

Buckeyes rebound from loss to the Illini by pounding Michigan.

NFL

Buffalo +16.5 vs New England

Bills in a primetime home game vs a tough opponent equals enough to keep it within 17.

St. Louis -3 @ San Francisco

Break up the Rams, they get their second win in as many weeks.

Dallas -11 vs Washington

Cowboys steamroll the Skins at home.

Oakland +4.5 @ Minnesota

Culpepper seeks some revenge against the Vikes.

New Orleans +1 @ Houston

Seems like a sucker bet, but I'll take the Saints on the road.

Cleveland -2.5 @ Baltimore

Sucker bet #2 perhaps? Ravens might not score in double digits the rest of the year.

Green Bay -9.5 vs Carolina

No reason for Packers not to blow out a bad Panters team at home.
Author:  Chus [ Fri Nov 16, 2007 4:53 pm ]
Post subject: 
Mississippi +19
Page 1 of 3 All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group
https://www.phpbb.com/