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PostPosted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 8:36 pm 
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This weekly wagering contest will reward the best football prognosticator with a $100 gift certificate from a meat/steak company. New guys can still join in any time and you don't have to make a pick every week. You can post your plays any time, but they must be posted before a game you are playing kicks off. You must make your picks in this thread and you must provide at least one reason for each pick. Minimum 50 picks to qualify by the end of the contest.

***Note: There are 3 weeks left of NFL regular season games. The final week of the contest will be college only, Jan.1-Jan.7. The final game is the beatdown of the Luckeyes at the hands of the very deep Tigers of LSU, who is down to -4 from a -5 1/2 open from what I see. Good Luck everybody!


.........................ThisWeek.....Season...........%
Mitch Cumstein........3-4............65-29-2.........69
At Large.................4-1.............21-15-1.........58
Matt Murton's Beard.3-1............12-9..............57
Nas.......................24-19........141-119-4.......54
Evergreen Tommy..16-13-1......51-43-2.........54
a retard..................0-0............21-19-1.........53
Uga4Prez................5-3-1..........14-13-1.........52
Chus......................5-7...........172-170-9........50.3
buryman.................0-0............10-10............50
Bud Dude................0-0............49-50-1.........49.5
Gloopan Kuratz........0-0............18-19-3.........49
muman89................3-3............41-45-1.........48
Hawkeye Vince.........0-0............37-40-3.........48
FarveFan.................0-0............36-39-3.........48
good dolphin............0-0............31-33-1.........48
newper...................0-0............11-13-2.........46
Irish Boy.................0-0............38-46-4.........45
schmitty1211...........5-3............52-66-4.........44
donspiracy...............2-2............37-47...........44
reents.....................2-1............68-89-8.........43
Boilermaker Rick......0-0............14-22...........39
Darren-Tinley Park...8-7............29-48-1.........38
hootmon..................0-0.............9-18-2.........33
Chuckle Nuts...........0-0.............2-7..............22
Coasttocoast...........0-0.............0-2................0



Overall_________997-1029-57______49.2%
ThreeWeekTrend_
NFL Week 14_____80-64-2_________55.6%
NFL Week 13_____52-79-1_________39.7%
NFL Week 12_____86-65-1_________56.95%


Please let me know if any of the totals are incorrect. Thank you.



Early NFL Games

Thursday, December 13, 2007 7:15 PM CT
Denver (6-7, 2-4 away)
Houston (6-7, 4-2 home)


Saturday, December 15, 2007 7:15 PM CT
Cincinnati (5-8, 1-5 away)
San Francisco (3-10, 1-5 home)

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Beardown wrote:
I'm declaring a victory without research.


Last edited by donspiracy on Wed Dec 12, 2007 6:16 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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PostPosted: Tue Dec 11, 2007 9:35 pm 
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I actually went 5-7, not 5-6, and my yearly record is 172-170-9.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 1:16 pm 
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Texans +1 Texans win at home against inconsistant Broncos.
Bengals -8.5 Bengals offense too much for Niners.
Cardinals +3.5 Cards are slightly better than the Aints.
Bucs -13.5 Falcons couldn't beat Aints at home, won't beat Bucs on road.
Browns -5.5 Browns have a chance to tie for 1st in North with a win.
Patriots -23.5 Jets have no chance.
Colts -10.5 Raider have no chance.
Lions +10 Lions showed life against Cowboys, who are much better than the Chargers.
Cowboys -10 Eagles have no chance in Dallas.


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 1:20 pm 
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Not that it really matters, but I believe I was 8 - 7 last week (I picked Washington for the Thursday night game). Being over .500 (for a week)would really boost my morale :roll: .


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 1:25 pm 
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Broncos +1 over Texans Selvin Young is coming into his own, The Texans beat a depleted Tampa squad last week. Shanny gets his teams to finish the season.

Texans vs. Broncos Over 47


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PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 1:30 pm 
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Texans +1 against Broncos

Changing my position on this. Rosenfels has played well and Denver has been a poor road team. The public is backing Denver to the point that Texas is now a home dog, which I always like on Thursday night.

49ers +8 against Bengals

I am holding my nose and taking this. This seems contrary to everyone but Chus. I agree with his reasoning though. The Bengals have really not been good this year and they are on the road in a prime time game. Watch for Gore to go off tonight.

Bears +10.5 at Vikings

The Bears are not good. At the same time, with all the injuries, they have only lost by double digits once, against the Cowboys. At the same time the Vikings have been doing well against a soft schedule, and have relied on defensive TDs to pull away from teams. Vasher and Tillman will cause 2 fumbles, Hester will return one and the beloved will straight up win. ARRRF!

Coast always said that only the elite teams cover more than 7 points at a great rate. The Vikings are not an elite team.


Last edited by good dolphin on Mon Dec 17, 2007 5:43 pm, edited 3 times in total.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 6:24 pm 
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Thanks for the help guys. I try to get it right since being wrong means going and editing the numbers.

There are still 160 plays (spreads and totals) to be made. 96 NFL and 64 CFB. Still plenty of time to get below 45% :twisted: :evil: :twisted: .

New players or existing ones with different monikers only need to go 35-15 to qualify with the 50 pick minimum to get Mitch Cumsandra's 70% clip. Good luck with all that.

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PostPosted: Wed Dec 12, 2007 8:54 pm 
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Broncos -1
Chiefs +4
Rams +10
Ravens -3
Saints -3.5
Steelers O37
Patriots O46


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 13, 2007 1:52 pm 
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Houston -1

Denver is bad on the road. . .


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PostPosted: Thu Dec 13, 2007 5:12 pm 
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Denver/Houston over 47 L
San Francisco +8 W
Jacksonville +3.5 W
NY Jets/New England over 40.5 L
Buffalo +5 L
Miami +3.5 W
Dallas -7 (2nd half) L
Washington +7 W
Washington/NY Giants over 17 (2nd half) L

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way


Last edited by Chus on Tue Dec 18, 2007 6:56 am, edited 8 times in total.

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PostPosted: Thu Dec 13, 2007 5:28 pm 
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Location: The EP
yahoo.com

Houston +1.5....I like home dogs
Over 47.5

SF +8...see comment above
Under 43...will only come in if Bungles don't score more than 24

Baltimore -3.5...I will never like miami homedogs or not
Under 37.5

Buffalo +5.5...i like the bills this year, I hope they make the playoffs
Over 43.5

Dallas -10.5
Under 48.5

GB -9.5...StL no qb
over 45...I am looking for a lot of pts by the pac's

Indy -10.5...Oakland still suck
over 45...I am looking for a lot of pts by indy

NE -23...should win by 60
Over 46...I think NE will score 60

NO -3.5...AZ not good on the road
under 48...az has no skill players

NYG -4.5...washington sucks
over 36.5...

Jack +3.5
over 37

Det +10...too many points to pass up
over 45.5

Seattle -7.5
over 37...seattle must score the 37...i think they will shutout carolina

TB -13.5...playing atlanta
under 39

KC +4...again home dog
under 34...kc d better show up

Bears +10...Orton area begins...3 passing tds
Over 43


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 15, 2007 4:07 pm 
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Cincinatti -8 over 49ers


Bengals vs. Niners OVER 42 1/2


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 15, 2007 5:15 pm 
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Bengals -8

Cincinnati offense should put up plenty of points against the woeful 49ers.


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 15, 2007 5:49 pm 
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San Francisco +8
Betting against the Bengals laying more than a touchdown on the road is a good way to increase bankroll.

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That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way


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PostPosted: Sat Dec 15, 2007 8:17 pm 
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Jacksonville +3.5

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way


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 Post subject: Sunday
PostPosted: Sat Dec 15, 2007 11:15 pm 
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Cardinals and Saints over 49- The Saints could lose this game and for the Cardinals to win, they will need to score in the 30's.

Buccanneers-12.5 vs Falcons- THe Bucs clinch the division with a dominating performance.

Jaguars +3.5 vs Steelers- The Jaguars need to prove they are for real with a good showing here.

Seahawks -9 vs Panthers- The only way this isn't a cover is if the Seahawks feel they have the playoffs clinched and it doesn't matter to them if they are a 3 or 4 seed.

Chargers -10 vs Lions- I think the Chargers are making their playoff run here and after a tough loss for the Lions last week, just put the needle in them.

Redskins +4.5 vs Giants- Redskins still need the game and COllins didn't look too bad last week.


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 1:27 am 
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0-4 this week, why not


Saints -3 1/2

Falcons +13 1/2

Ravens -3 1/2

Bills +6

Rams +8


Patriots -21

Lions +9 1/2


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 9:13 am 
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5dimes

NO -3.5 over AZ
Saints show there is still life in the Crescent City

CAR +9 over SEA
Flat 'Hawks and their east coast travel help Panther keep it close

IND -10 over OAK
Colts good, Raiders bad

SD -9.5 over DET
Lions flat after heartbreaker loss, Chargers improving weekly

Sportsbook


MIN -10 over beloved
Bears in disarray; Orkman runs for his life; Viqueens playoff pushing

GB -8 over STL
Favre tosses the ball everywhere; Pack still trying for home field throughout


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 11:21 am 
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From WSEX

Miami +3.5 vs Baltimore

Dolphins find a way to get their first victory

Buffalo +5.5 @ Cleveland

Bad weather keeps this game low scoring and tight.

NY Jets +21 @ New England

Despite the bad blood, the weather too keeps this one closer than it should be.

Indy -10.5 @ Oakland

Indy juggernaut continues as they wrap up the #2 seed in the AFC.

Vikings -10 vs Bears

Orton won't be enough to stop a Vikings team looking to secure a wild card spot.


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:31 pm 
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Colts -10 1/2

Dolphins +3 1/2

Packers -7 1/2

Jaguars +3

Giants -6

Seahawks -7 1/2

Edit from Washington to N.Y.G -6


Last edited by At Large on Sun Dec 16, 2007 4:41 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:44 pm 
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NY Jets/New England over 40.5
Buffalo +5
Miami +3.5

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:56 pm 
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Week 16 Four Days Until Poinsettia Bowl (Noon Action)

AZ @ NO -4 (49)

Cardinals have injures to keys players, NO @ home is a lock. Take the under.

AZ 14 NO 34

ATL + 12 1/2 @ TB (37 1/2)

Falcons are bad and will lose, but TB will not be firing off the butt pirate ship TOO often. Take the under.

ATL 10 TB 16

BAL -3 @ MIA (37 1/2)

Not this week losers! Ravens score twice on defense. The 72 'Fins are rolling over in their graves. Take the over.

BAL 24 MIA 17

BUF +5 @ CLE (36 1/2)

Nobody covers the wagons like THE Buffalo Bills. Hey, that's my Dick Jur-uon!. Bad weather. Take the over.

BUF 24 CLE 23

GB -7 @ STL (46)

This line is off by 2TD's, just like the ad on the Score on Mondays. Dome allows for lots of points even with GB stout defense. Take the over.

GB 37 STL 16

JAX @ PIT -3 1/2 (34 1/2)

Scrappy grinders festival here sports fans. More bad weather. Playoff preview :roll: . Take the under on that awful Ketchup Patch field.

JAX 3 PIT 7

NYJ @ NE -20 1/2 (41)

Colin Powell is jealous of the scorched earth policy employed by Hoodie aka Double Wang Bill. J-E-T-S, suck-suck-suck! Take the over.

NYJ 0 NE 42

SEA -9 @ CAR (37)

It is amazing that CAR is 1-5or6 at home. No help today. Panthers won't score 10 points. Take the under.

SEA 20 CAR 9

TEN -3 1/2 @ KC (34)

Titans are good, but not yet ready for prime time. KC is almost as bad as the Bears. Take the over.

TEN 24 KC 11

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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 12:56 pm 
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New Orleans -3.5

New Orleans/AZ Under 49

Cleveland -4.5

Oakland +10

Eagles +10

New England -20.5

Patriots/Jets Over 41

Pittsburgh -3.5

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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 1:45 pm 
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Week 16 Part II Afternoon De-light

IND -9 1/2 @ OAK (44 1/2)

Colts trying to keep #2 playoff position. Raiders try not to get embarrassed at home. Take the over.

INDY 34 OAK 11

DET + 9 1/2 @ SD (45 1/2)

Chargers overcome Norv Turner's playcalling. Mike Martz and the holy ghost get plenty of chances to screw it up. Take the over.

DET 21 SD 27

PHI @ DAL -10 (48 1/2)

I heart the Eggles. Too bad they are playing America's Team. Take the over.

PHI 24 DAL 35

WASH @ NYG -6 (35 1/2)

Someone please telegraph Joe Gibbs and tell him the game has passed him by. NYG a playoff team. G-men could be favored on the road at TB in Wild Card game. Take the under.

WASH 9 NYG 24

BEARS + 10 1/2 @ MIN (42 1/2)

How the mighty have fallen. And I'm talking about the clownbags in the booth. Tony Komb-over, please go back to Long Island as soon as possible!
Purple Jesus prays to a vengeful God. Only Icarus Hester keeps the cover.
Take the under.

CHI 16 MIN 26

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CSFMB: Home of the small minded
Beardown wrote:
I'm declaring a victory without research.


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 5:48 pm 
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Dallas -7 (2nd half)

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 6:45 pm 
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Giants -6
Giants O35


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 7:30 pm 
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Not a good week, lets continue the pain...

Washington +6
Over 35


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PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 8:15 pm 
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Washington +7 (-130)

small play on the ML as well (+230)

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Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

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Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 10:16 pm 
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Washington/NY Giants over 17 (2nd half)

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way


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 Post subject: mONDAY
PostPosted: Sun Dec 16, 2007 11:29 pm 
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Vikings -10.5 vs Bears- VIkings are playing well and the Bears look like they have about quit on the seson.


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