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 Post subject: Service Plays 10/4
PostPosted: Sat Oct 04, 2008 9:55 am 
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Joined: Wed Apr 12, 2006 9:14 pm
Posts: 1158
pizza_Place: Suparosa on Central between Irving and Montrose. Forget about the rest!!!
If anyone is interested...

Lenny Del Genio's 25* SEC Game of the YEAR!!Play on South Carolina at 2:00 ET. Whenever you bet an underdog you always want to believe that they have a chance to win outright, but never in our wildest dreams could we have imagined that Ole Miss, our #1 CFB Underdog of the Month, would beat #4 Florida OUTRIGHT in Gainesville at +23.5. We have already made a ton of cash this year betting underdogs in SEC play as we've noticed that, like in the NFL, parity is the rule of the day in this conference. The talent game between the best and worst teams is no longer what it once was and the linesmakers simply have failed to adjust. Thus, although it's only a short number, we're going with the Ole Ball Coach over Ole Miss this week. Off the big Florida win, this is clear letdown spot for Houston Nutt's Rebels. They are off, not one, but two straight very physical contests as they came up just short against unbeaten Vandy the week prior. Had Mississippi not beaten Florida last week, South Carolina may very well have been favored in this game. Now, we get the Gamecocks at an underdog price, where Spurrier is 7-2-1 ATS since taking over this program. Granted, he doesn't have USC where he wants them to be, but they have a much better defense than Ole Miss and the team is coming off two creampuff wins over Wofford and UAB, leaving them fresh for what will be their third conference game of the year. They are off to a 0-2 start, but they did play Georgia tough in a 14-7 loss in Columbia. The defense will be able to contain Miss QB Jevan Snead, who has a completion percentage of just 46.7% on the season. The SC stop unit has allowed more than 14 points in just one game this season. This is also a very important game to the South Carolina program as they have lost five straight to the Rebels (last win came in 1979). South Carolina is our 25* SEC Game of the Year.

DR BOB


4 Iowa
3 Utah St
3 Baylor
3 Okla St
3 Tulsa
3 GT
3 Stanford
2 W Va
2 Hawaii
2 NC
2 Zona

SportsInsights

Kansas st. + 7.5
Wisconsin +1.5
Nebraska + 10.5

Ben Burns

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Dog Goy Kent St


Glen Mcgrew Cfb Trifecta Of The Year

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Miami Ohio, Utep And Ok St


Jim Feist Mismatch Gom

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Fresno St


Dave Cokin Pac 10 Goy

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California


Big Al- (cfb early releases)

4* Iowa
3* Tulsa
3* Vandy
3* Kentucky
3* Colorado
3* Nebraska
3* Notre Dame

maddux sports


looks like a win on friday on utah st +29. here's the one update from yesterday. there should be one more tomorrow morning and i will try to post that. these lines are from the beginning of the week. i believe the line now for iowa is dropped below 7 so i bought it up to 7. hopefully we won't need it.


Football
#321 - NCAA - 5 units on Iowa +8
#358 - NCAA - 3 units on California -9
#383 - NCAA - 3 units on UTEP +8
#394 - NCAA - 3 units on Tulsa -14

Scott Spreitzer

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Home Chalk Goy West Virginia

Marc Lawrence 100% CFB Super Super Pick Super Play! - Saturday 10/4:

Play On: Stanford

Note: Notre Dame returns home to host Stanford Saturday afternoon with the Cardinal looking to avenge a 7-point home loss last year. While the Irish appear to have turned things around the fact of the matter is they are still being outgained on the playing field, allowing 51 YPG more than they gain this season. With the Dame 0-8 ATS against avenging opponents, look for Stanford to get their revenge against the Irish.

NELLY

6-gtech
4-scar
3-smiss
2-conn
2-af
1-kentucky
1-iowa


BURNS
UNDERDOG GAME OF YEAR

I'm taking the points with KENT STATE. These instate rivals have played each other every year since 1992 and 51 times overall. This will be the 37th time that they have played for the "Wagon Wheel." With the schools just 14 miles apart, it's no surprise that there is big rivalry between them. That rivalry gained some added intensity back in August when Akron fans vandalized Kent State's newly renovated stadium. The vandals sprayed grafitti on the walls saying things like "Go Zips" and making reference to the missing wagon wheel. I expect the Golden Flashes to have their revenge on the field this afternoon. It's true that the Golden Flashes are just 1-4 on the season. However, three of those losses came on the road and they're 1-1 here at home. The lone home loss was against Boston College back in Week 1, so we can cut them a bit of slack for that one. As for the Zips, their two victories came vs. Syracuse and Army. The Orange and Black Knights are a combined 1-8 this season and they were a combined 5-19 last year. In other words, there's nothing particularly impressive about beating those teams. The Zips, who were blown out in their lone conference game, fought hard last week. They still lost though, blowing a second half lead vs. another instate rival (Cincinnati) and losing a heart-breaker. I feel that type of loss will be difficult to recover from, as the players are still thinking about what could/might have been. Overall, Kent State comes in as the healthier team. However, running back Eugene Jarvis is currently doubtful. While the Golden Flashes will hope that the 5-foot-4 Jarvis can go, they've got some other very solid backs on the roster and I expect them to have success on the ground, no matter who is running the ball. Note that Jarvis didn't play last week and the Golden Flashes still gained 176 yards on the ground, including 70 by QB Edalman. Jarvis was also out the previous week and the Golden Flashes gained 227 yards on the ground. In other words, they're still very capable of running the ball even without Jarvis. That should be particularly true against a soft Akron run defense which is allowing 215.4 yards per game on the ground. Akron was home for last season's meeting and knocked off the Golden Flashes by a score of 27-20. However, a closer look at that game shows that Kent State was actually leading 17-7 entering the fourth quarter and that the Zips needed an interception in the end zone on the final play to seal the win. In fact, the Golden Flashes had a 375-245 edge in total yards. Kent State was a small (-2.5) favorite for that game. This year, the Golden Flashes are getting more than a field goal AND playing at home. Note that Kent State returned 16 starters from last year's team while Akron returned only 13. Additionally, note that last time the teams met here (2006) the Zips were also slight favorites. However, the Golden Flashes hammered them by a score of 37-15! The Golden Flashes have had this game circled since the schedule came out. While I'll take the points, I look for them to reclaim the Wagon Wheel earning some payback from last year's tough loss and last summer's "prank." *Underdog GOY


BURNS
BIG TEN GAME OF WEEK

I'm taking the points with PURDUE. I successfully played against both these teams last week. I played against the Nittany Lions because I respected their opponent (Illinois) and I felt that the line on Penn State had become too high. The Nittany Lions won but didn't cover. I played against Purdue because they were playing on the road and I felt that their opponent (Notre Dame) was much better than the betting public believed. Purdue hung tough for a half but got blown out in the second half. There are some differences for the Boilermakers this week, which I feel will work in their favor. This time, Purdue is playing at home. This time, Purdue plays with "revenge" instead of facing an opponent which is playing with revenge. This time, Purdue is getting a large handful of points, rather than playing a game which was roughly a "pick'em." The Boilermakers are 14-5 SU their last 19 games at home and two of the five losses, including one to Penn State here in 2006, came by 12 points or less. The Boilermakers are 8-4 ATS thee last 12 times they were underdogs of greater than eight points, including 3-0 ATS the last three times that they were home underdogs of more than eight. It's also worth noting that the Boilermakers are 10-1 their last 11 Big 10 Openers. The Nittany Lions won and covered their only road game. However, that was at Syracuse, a team which is 3-15 its last 18 games. Even including that cover, Penn State is still just 3-8 ATS it's last 11 road games. During the same stretch, after failing to cover last week, the Nittany Lions are also a money-burning 4-13 ATS their last 17 games against conference opponents. It should also be noted that Penn State could easily get caught looking past Purdue as Michigan, Ohio State and Wisconsin are all on deck. Look for Tiller's Boilermakers to give Paterno's team its toughest test yet, with a shot at the outright win. *Big 10 GOW


ballin picks

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3* illinois
3* florida st
2* navy
2* oregon
2* wash st.
__________________

THE SPORTS ADVISORS



N.L. DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS

Philadelphia (2-0) at Milwaukee (0-2)
On the brink of their first trip to the National League Championship Series since 1993, the Phillies hand the ball to ageless Jamie Moyer (16-7, 3.71 ERA) as this best-of-5 series shifts to Miller Park. Meanwhile, the Brewers turn to the inconsistent Dave Bush (9-10, 4.18) to save their season.
Philadelphia on Thursday did what no other National League team was able to do this year, roughing up Brewers ace CC Sabathia en route to a 5-2 home victory. Shane Victorino’s grand slam sparked a five-run second inning against Sabathia, who lasted just 4 2/3 innings, his shortest stint since joining the Brewers in mid-July.
The Phillies, who got swept in last year’s divisional round, are on runs of 15-3 overall run, 5-1 on the road, 8-0 against the N.L. Central, 5-0 on Saturdays, 11-1 following a day off and 20-7 against right-handed starters. Additionally, since losing the season’s first meeting in Milwaukee, Philly has now won seven straight games against the Brewers. Those seven wins have come by the combined tally of 37-14, and the Phillies have held Milwaukee to three runs or fewer in each victory.
Milwaukee, which is back in the playoffs for the first time since the 1982 World Series, is 3-13 in its last 16 against winning teams and has lost nine straight contests to N.L. East foes. On the bright side, the Brewers went 49-32 at home this year (6-1 in the last seven), and they’re on positive runs of 11-4 on Saturdays and 8-2 when hosting Philadelphia at Miller Park.
Moyer won his final six decisions in the regular season, and Philadelphia went 7-0 in his last seven starts overall and 6-0 in his last six on the road. The 45-year-old lefty allowed one run on six hits in six innings in each of his final two outings – a 4-3 home win over the Nationals and 5-2 road victory at Florida.
Moyer went 10-3 with a 2.92 ERA in 17 starts on the highway this season, with the Phillies winning 13 of those contests. He’s also 9-5 with a 3.63 ERA in 22 career appearances (17 starts) against the Brewers, including 1-0 with a 3.09 ERA in two games this season (both Philly wins). Finally, Moyer is 3-1 with a 2.43 ERA in five playoff stats, including a no-decision in the Phillies’ season-ending 2-1 loss at Colorado in Game 3 of last year’s NLDS.
Bush pitched three innings of scoreless relief in last Saturday’s 7-3 home loss to the Cubs, and Milwaukee was just 1-4 in his last five starts. He gave up three earned runs or fewer in nine of his 10 starts after Aug. 1, including each of his last four. Bush, who is pitching in the postseason for the first time, went 6-4 with a 3.50 ERA in 17 games (16 starts) at Miller Park. Also, he has a 5.88 ERA in six career starts against the Phillies, failing to get a decision in any of those contests, with Milwaukee going 4-2 (1-1 this year).
The under is 3-0 in the last three meetings between these teams and is on further runs of 6-1 for the Brewers overall, 4-1 for the Brewers at home, 39-17-4 for the Brewers against the N.L. East, 7-3 for the Phillies overall, 4-1 for the Phillies on the road, 4-1 for the Phillies in the playoffs, 15-6 in Moyer’s last 21 starts overall and 16-5 in his last 21 outings on the road. However, with Bush on the mound, Milwaukee has over steaks of 5-0 overall, 16-5-1 at home and 12-5-1 against the N.L. East, and all six of his starts against the Phillies have topped the total.
ATS ADVANTAGE: PHILADELPHIA and UNDER

Chicago Cubs (0-2) at L.A. Dodgers (2-0)
Needing a victory to keep their season alive, the scuffling Cubs hand the ball to Rich Harden (5-1, 1.77) in Game 3 of a best-of-5 divisional series at Dodger Stadium, while Los Angeles will counter with rookie Hiroki Kuroda (9-10, 3.73).
The Dodgers stunned the Cubs at Wrigley Field in Games 1 and 2, outscoring Chicago 17-5 after scoring only three runs in three previous games this year at the old yard. Los Angeles, which hasn’t won a postseason series since capturing the 1988 World Series, is on hot streaks of 21-8 overall, 24-9 at home, 7-0 against winning teams, 13-6 against right-handed starters, 5-0 on Saturdays and 4-0 after an off day. However, they’re still just 3-12 in their last 15 postseason outings dating to 1993.
Chicago has now dropped eight straight playoff games. On the positive side, the Cubs are on runs of 21-8 on the highway, 39-20 against right-handed starters, 22-11 against the N.L. West, 4-1 on Saturdays and 8-1 behind Harden this year.
Los Angeles is now on a 4-1 roll against Chicago, but the teams split four-regular season meetings at Dodger Stadium.
Harden was brilliant in his 12 starts with the Cubs after being traded from Oakland in July, giving up two earned runs or fewer in 11 of those 12 contests, including allowing one or no runs nine times. In his final start on Sept. 25 at the Mets, he allowed three runs (two earned) on two hits and five walks, failing to get a decision in his team’s 7-6 loss.
Including his time with the A’s, Harden was 10-2 with a 2.07 ERA this year, including 5-2 with a 2.50 ERA on the road. Tonight marks his first career start against the Dodgers, and in his only playoff outing back in the 2006 A.L. Championship Series, Harden surrendered three runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 3-0 loss to the Tigers.
Kuroda, whom the Dodgers acquired from Japan in the offseason, was sharp in his final regular-season start, giving up two hits in five scoreless innings at the Giants on Sunday. He didn’t register a decision, as Los Angeles lost 3-1, ending a 4-0 run with Kuroda on the hill.
The right-handed Kuroda was 6-2 with a 3.68 ERA in 14 home starts this season, including a complete-game 3-0 shutout of the Cubs on June 6, as he scattered four hits, walked none and struck out 11. He also pitched at Wrigley Field 10 days earlier, giving up two runs (one earned) on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings, losing 3-1.
The first two games of this series topped the total, and the over is on runs of 7-2 for Chicago overall, 5-2 for Chicago on the road, 9-3 for Chicago in the playoffs, 6-2 for the Dodgers overall, 4-1 for the Dodgers at home, 4-1 for the Dodgers in postseason play, 4-1-1 with Kuroda on the hill overall and 5-2 when Kuroda works in Los Angeles.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. DODGERS and OVER

Brandon Lang

SATURDAY

20 Dime Navy

5 Dime Florida St
5 Dime Vanderbilt

FREE - Nebraska

good luck guys.Bob has been on fire.he has a 20* today,,

20* Ohio + 6 1/2

10* Mich st
10* Temple
10* Ball St
10* Kansas


PPP--5*Auburn--4*FLST--4*Nebraska--

Eddie Roman

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Game Of His Career Ohio St


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 Post subject: Re: Service Plays 10/4
PostPosted: Sat Oct 04, 2008 10:15 am 
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Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 12:33 am
Posts: 5039
"Game of his career". That's a good one. So if he loses, can we call an end to his "career"?

The number of touts on Iowa this week has to ring some alarm bells.

I guess I'm going head on against Lenny Del Genio's 25** SEC GAME OF THE YEAR!! I just want to know who the hell is Lenny Del Genio? Never heard of him. I suspect it's a new name for an old tout. Some of these touts who have losing records find out they can't sell much, so they create new names and new marketing ploys. There is one guy who actually has four different names he uses, all with different picks every week. That way, he is sure to have at least one identity with a winning record. So far this year, I think all four are losing, so maybe he created this new Lenny moniker. My play on ole miss is just a normal play. But I could put three exclamation points on it, if that would help. :lol:


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 Post subject: Re: Service Plays 10/4
PostPosted: Sat Oct 04, 2008 10:46 am 
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Joined: Fri Mar 31, 2006 3:29 pm
Posts: 34795
pizza_Place: Al's Pizza
Since Brandon Lang likes Navy, I may put a small play down on Air Force.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way


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 Post subject: Re: Service Plays 10/4
PostPosted: Sat Oct 04, 2008 12:46 pm 
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Joined: Fri Jul 22, 2005 12:33 am
Posts: 5039
I'm also going against Mark Lawrence's 100% super pick. I feel much better about my Notre Dame pick now. Lawrence is the definitive trends guy. I actually think his stuff is funnier than hell because it's so irrelevant. I wonder what the 100% angle is...knowing Mark Lawrence, it's probably something like this: Stanford is 4-0 against the spread since 1965 when Tiger Woods is home watching his Cardinal play on TV, a Republican is in the white house, Stanford is wearing red jerseys and it's not raining in Timbuktu.


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