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2009 Kentucky Derby Pool 1
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=29500		 Page 1 of 1
Author:  Irish Boy [ Tue Feb 10, 2009 7:03 pm ]
Post subject:  2009 Kentucky Derby Pool 1
Quote:
1. Beethoven 15-1

2. Big Drama 30-1

3. Capt. Candyman Can 10-1

4. Chocolate Candy 50-1

5. Flying Pegasus 30-1

6. Friesan Fire 12-1

7. Giant Oak 15-1

8. Haynesfield 50-1

9. Hello Broadway 50-1

10. I Want Revenge 50-1

11. Midshipman 12-1

12. Notonthesamepage 30-1

13. Old Fashioned 10-1

14. Papa Clem 20-1

15. Patena 20-1

16. Pioneerof the Nile 12-1

17. Silver City 50-1

18. Stardom Bound 12-1

19. Taqarub 30-1

20. The Pamplemousse 30-1

21. This Ones for Phil 12-1

22. Vineyard Haven 12-1

23. West Side Bernie 50-1

24. Mutuel field (all other 3-year-olds) 5-2


Some observations:

I'd never trust a horse just off a win in a futures pool. I like Stardom Bound, but 12-1 is a serious underlay. Same for Friesan Fire. Given how much more difficult Flying Pegasus had it in the Risen Star Stakes, I'm a but surprised he is as high as 30-1.

If you're in the mood for a lottery, you could do a lot worse that 50-1 for Haynesfield.

I don't trust Midshipman. Big win on synthetics + Dubai training plan = DEATH for Derby horses.
Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Tue Feb 10, 2009 7:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2009 Kentucky Derby Pool 1
Giant Oak will keep getting better and better
Author:  Hawkeye Vince [ Fri Feb 13, 2009 12:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2009 Kentucky Derby Pool 1
Friesen Fire ran a very professional race in the Risen Stae considering many had him pegged for a bounce. Giant Oak did have some trouble and ran credibly. Might improve with distance.
Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Mon Feb 16, 2009 9:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2009 Kentucky Derby Pool 1
Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 1
(Program No., Horse, Odds, $2 will-pay)

1. Beethoven, 31-1, $65.00

2. Big Drama, 48-1, 99.00

3. Capt. Candyman Can, 25-1, 53.80

4. Chocolate Candy, 28-1, 59.00

5. Flying Pegasus, 28-1, 58.80

6. Friesan Fire, 18-1, 39.40

7. Giant Oak, 24-1, 51.40

8. Haynesfield, 32-1, 66.80

9. Hello Broadway, 30-1, 62.80

10. I Want Revenge, 54-1, 111.80

11. Midshipman, 19-1, 41.00

12. Notonthesamepage, 40-1, 83.00

13. Old Fashioned, 7-1, 16.40

14. Papa Clem, 44-1, 90.20

15. Patena, 22-1, 46.50

16. Pioneerof the Nile, 13-1, 29.20

17. Silver City, 35-1, 72.80

18. Stardom Bound, 22-1, 46.60

19. Taqarub, 46-1, 94.40

20. The Pamplemousse, 29-1, 60.40

21. This Ones for Phil, 44-1, 90.80

22. Vineyard Haven, 36-1, 75.60

23. West Side Bernie, 40-1, 83.20

24. Mutuel field (all other 3yos), 9-5, 5.80

Handle: $478,721
I went with Giant Oak and the fillie Stardom Bound
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