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FWC Week 4
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=37542
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Author:  Coast2Coast [ Thu Sep 24, 2009 10:01 am ]
Post subject:  FWC Week 4

I hope IB won't mind me starting a new thread.

There is ball tonight and the ole ball coach, aka Evil Genius, aka Steve Superior, aka Arrogant Asswipe ...is in action tonight as his South Carolina Gamecocks are home dogs on Thursday night to the ranked Ole Miss Rebels. Home dog, Thursday night, SEC,...you know what to do. My favorite Steve Spurrier line (after the Auburn library fire). "It's a tragedy. Some of the books weren't even colored in yet."

Thursday: Evil Genius and his Cocks +4, -110, -44/40 (Greek) W

Friday: Missouri -7, -112 -56/50 (Matchbook) W

Saturday:
So Miss-Kansas OVER 58, -110 (Greek) -44/40 W
Michigan State-Wisconsin over 53.5, -104 (Matchbook) -41.60/40 W
Minnesota PICK vs. Northwestern +102(Matchbook) 50/+51 W
Wake Forest-BC UNDER 20.5, 1st half, -110(Greek), -33/30 L
UAB-Tx AM over 63.5, -111 (Matchbook) -44.40/40 W
Notre Dame-Purdue over 60, -101 (Matchbook) -40.40/40 L
Penn State-Iowa UNDER 40, +104 (Matchbook) 40/+41.60 W
California -6, 2nd half -110 (Greek) -44/40 L

I like the way Chus thinks.
Moneyline parlay: Ohio State, Georgia, Boise St (Greek) -50/31.70 W

Bad weather under play. Torrential downpour in Athens, Ga. and rain expected all game long. It's a natural grass surface between the hedges. Could be a mudbowl.
Georgia-Arizona State UNDER 50, -120 -60/50 W

College Football: 9-3, +266.90

Sunday NFL
Betting against the Bears is a great bet today, but i'm going to wait for a 3 to show. Laying 3 on the road is ridiculous, yet the public is over 75% on the Bears. It's a predictable, classic situation. Bears beat the SB champ, Seattle is without its QB, and Joe Square thinks the Bears are a lock in this situation. Most square bettors overestimate the previous week -- they remember most the last game and think that is a predictor for the next game. They also underestimate the impact of playing on the road. When Joe Square lines up on one side to back a road favorite, who is overpriced by at least 3 points, we know what to do. Bears may win, sure...but taking 3 (if it shows) is a great bet.

Backing a few over teams again today -- Tampa and the NY Giants. Baltimore with their new offense is also now an over team, rather than the under team we have known for years. And the Niners look like an under team.

Baltimore-Cleveland OVER 38.5 -103 (MB) -51.50/50 L
NY Giants-Tampa Bay OVER 45.5 +104 (MB) 50/+52 L
SF - Minn Under 39 -105 (MB) -52/50 L
Seattle +3, -116 (MB), -58/50 L
St. Louis +7, -114 (MB), -45.60/40 L
SF +7 -108 (MB) -43.20/40 W
Arizona-Indy OVER 24, 2nd half -110 -55/50 L

Monday night: Sunday was brutal. GIve me 4-5 plays with a different result and I could have turned 1-6 into a possible 3-4, 4-3 or even 5-2. The real damage was worse than this contest would indicate, but if I keep my bets at about 5% of bankroll, there's always $$ to play another day.

Dallas -8, +102 (Matchbook) -55/50
Line value play. The LVSC sendout to books was 10.5. Most books opened this at 10, and a few at 9.5. The LVSC lines were pretty much on the money yesterday, with only a few games landing outside a narrow range of variability. They've gotten these two teams right so far this year, so if they're right again, Dallas wins by doubles. A little extra motivation for the Pokes also, considering they lost their home opener last week, but motivation means very little to the line in week 3 of the NFL. If any player even talks about motivation in week 3, they need a different job.

NFL: 2-6, -222.30
Week: 11-9, +44.60

Author:  good dolphin [ Thu Sep 24, 2009 10:16 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

I'm of the same mindset. Fresno crapped out at the end last week but I will continue to ride the home dog on a nationally televised weekday night theory

South Carolina +3.5 against Ole Miss: $250 W

Miami -2.5 at Virginia Tech: $500

TCU +2.5 at Clemson: $500

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Thu Sep 24, 2009 4:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

Ol Miss -4 $50

Author:  Irish Boy [ Thu Sep 24, 2009 5:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

Coast2Coast wrote:
I hope IB won't mind me starting a new thread.

There is ball tonight and the ole ball coach, aka Evil Genius, aka Steve Superior, aka Arrogant Asswipe ...is in action tonight as his South Carolina Gamecocks are home dogs on Thursday night to the ranked Ole Miss Rebels. Home dog, Thursday night, SEC,...you know what to do. My favorite Steve Spurrier line (after the Auburn library fire). "It's a tragedy. Some of the books weren't even colored in yet."

Evil Genius and his Cocks +4, -110, -44/40 (Greek)


Thanks Coast, don't mind a bit.

I'll have the tallies up by tomorrow at noon, not counting tonight's games.

Author:  Coast2Coast [ Fri Sep 25, 2009 7:56 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

I guess I'm confused about the rules of this game. I thought we started with 1,000 and could only bet what we had available in our bankroll? Is this correct? As I look through the last few weeks, I'm seeing that's not the case with some of the bets. Has something changed?

Author:  Irish Boy [ Fri Sep 25, 2009 8:17 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

Coast2Coast wrote:
I guess I'm confused about the rules of this game. I thought we started with 1,000 and could only bet what we had available in our bankroll? Is this correct? As I look through the last few weeks, I'm seeing that's not the case with some of the bets. Has something changed?


You are correct. This didn't happen the first two weeks. I'm just about to go through week 3 right now. I'll try to figure out a fair solution to the problem. But yes, you can only bet with money you have.

Author:  Irish Boy [ Fri Sep 25, 2009 8:40 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

Week 4 standings:

Newper- $1,167.38 (17-14)
Boilermaker Rick- $1,086.35 (5-1)
Rogers Park Bryan- $1,018.18 (2-1)
Irish Boy- $906.91 (2-4)
Chus- $834.90 (11-13)
Coast2Coast- $901.30 (15-15)
Walt Williams Neck- $681.82 (2-6)
BigFan $576.82 (3-4)
Good Dolphin- $0 (2-6) (out of money before winning bets were made)
At Large- $0 (10-8)

New participants can join at any time.

Author:  The Bookie Priest [ Fri Sep 25, 2009 9:05 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

Had the Jets +5 last week ya mick

Author:  The Bookie Priest [ Fri Sep 25, 2009 9:06 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

What, I can't say M I C K?

Author:  Irish Boy [ Fri Sep 25, 2009 9:10 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

Gotta register, BP.

Author:  Chus [ Sat Sep 26, 2009 10:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

[314] Temple -2.5 (-138) matchbook $55.20 to win $40
[327] Fresno State +17 (+103) matchbook $40 to win $41.20

Author:  Chus [ Sat Sep 26, 2009 1:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

[314] Temple -2.5 (-138) $55.20 to win $40
[327] Fresno State +17 (+103) $40 to win $41.20
[352] Kentucky +21.5 (-103) $41.20 to win $40
[365] Pittsburgh +1 (-112) $44.80 to win $40
[368] Stanford -9 (-104) $41.60 to win $40
[375/376] Notre Dame/Purdue over 60 (-105) $42 to win $40
[379] Iowa +10 (-120) $48 to win $40

all plays from matchbook

Author:  Chus [ Sat Sep 26, 2009 2:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

[314] Temple -2.5 (-138) $55.20 to win $40
[327] Fresno State +17 (+103) $40 to win $41.20
[352] Kentucky +21.5 (-103) $41.20 to win $40
[365] Pittsburgh +1 (-112) $44.80 to win $40
[368] Stanford -9 (-104) $41.60 to win $40
[375/376] Notre Dame/Purdue over 60 (-105) $42 to win $40
[379] Iowa +10 (-120) $48 to win $40

ML Parlay $40 to win $28
Ohio State
Tennessee
Georgia
BYU

Author:  Chus [ Sat Sep 26, 2009 4:54 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

[314] Temple -2.5 (-138) $55.20 to win $40 WIN
[327] Fresno State +17 (+103) $40 to win $41.20 WIN
[352] Kentucky +21.5 (-103) $41.20 to win $40 LOSS
[365] Pittsburgh +1 (-112) $44.80 to win $40 LOSS
[368] Stanford -9 (-104) $41.60 to win $40 WIN
[375/376] Notre Dame/Purdue over 60 (-105) $42 to win $40 LOSS
[379] Iowa +10 (-120) $48 to win $40 WIN
[363] Colorado State +17.5 (+124) $40 to win $49.60 LOSS

ML Parlay -- $40 to win $28 WIN
Ohio State W
Tennessee W
Georgia W
BYU W

NCAA: 5-4 +$21.20

Author:  bigfan [ Sun Sep 27, 2009 9:34 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

Another REAL play!

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OAKLAND +2.0 (+6.0) DENVER AT OAKLAND
CHICAGO -2.5 (+6.0) CHICAGO AT SEATTLE
MINNESOTA -7.0 (+6.0) SAN FRANCISCO AT MINNESOTA

Author:  Chus [ Sun Sep 27, 2009 11:08 am ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

$48 to win $40
3 team - 10 point teaser
Jacksonville/Houston over 37.5
Green Bay/St. Louis over 32.5
Oakland/Denver under 48

$44 to win $40
6 point teaser
Atlanta +10.5
Atlanta/New England over 40

Author:  Chus [ Mon Sep 28, 2009 6:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

$48 to win $40 WIN
3 team - 10 point teaser
Jacksonville/Houston over 37.5
Green Bay/St. Louis over 32.5
Oakland/Denver under 48

$44 to win $40 LOSS
6 point teaser
Atlanta +10.5
Atlanta/New England over 40

Carolina/Dallas under 48 (-110) bookmaker $44 to win $40

6 pt teaser $44 to win $40
Dallas -2.5
Carolina/Dallas under 54.5

Author:  Chus [ Mon Sep 28, 2009 11:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: FWC Week 4

[314] Temple -2.5 (-138) $55.20 to win $40 WIN
[327] Fresno State +17 (+103) $40 to win $41.20 WIN
[352] Kentucky +21.5 (-103) $41.20 to win $40 LOSS
[365] Pittsburgh +1 (-112) $44.80 to win $40 LOSS
[368] Stanford -9 (-104) $41.60 to win $40 WIN
[375/376] Notre Dame/Purdue over 60 (-105) $42 to win $40 LOSS
[379] Iowa +10 (-120) $48 to win $40 WIN
[363] Colorado State +17.5 (+124) $40 to win $49.60 LOSS

ML Parlay -- $40 to win $28 WIN
Ohio State W
Tennessee W
Georgia W
BYU W


$48 to win $40 WIN
3 team - 10 point teaser
Jacksonville/Houston over 37.5
Green Bay/St. Louis over 32.5
Oakland/Denver under 48

$44 to win $40 LOSS
6 point teaser
Atlanta +10.5
Atlanta/New England over 40

Carolina/Dallas under 48 (-110) bookmaker $44 to win $40 WIN

6 pt teaser $44 to win $40 WIN
Dallas -2.5
Carolina/Dallas under 54.5


NCAA: 5-4 +$21.20
NFL: 3-1 +$76
8-5 +$97.20

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