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Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5
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Author:  donspiracy [ Tue Oct 06, 2009 4:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

This weekly wagering contest will reward the best football prognosticator with a $100 gift certificate from a meat/steak company. New guys can still join in any time and you don't have to make a pick every week. Post them all at once or in separate posts, but they must be posted in the current week's contest thread. Post your plays any time, but they must be posted before a game you are playing kicks off. You must make your picks in this thread and you must provide at least one reason for each pick. Minimum 50 picks to qualify by the end of the contest.

___________ThisWeek _ Overall ___%
ExclamationMoint_3-0___3-0 ______100
FavreFan _______4-4 ___18-6 ______75
MattMurtonsBeard_0-0 ___5-3 ______63
Hawkeye Vince __0-2 ___3-2 _______60
muman89 _______2-4 ___15-11 _____58
RFDC ___________3-1 ___16-13 _____55
DegenerateDave__7-5 ___25-22 _____53
Killer V __________0-2 ___8-7 _______53
good dolphin _____6-8 ___27-31 _____47
BoilermakerRick____0-0 ___7-8 ______47
Bud Dude ________4-4 ___17-20 _____46
Hawg Ass _______2-0 ___18-22 _____45
WaltWilliamsNeck__10-8 _18-23 _____44
newper _________0-0 ___4-5 _______44
reents __________1-5 ___17-23 _____43
handicapper _____0-0 ___2-3 _______40
Chus ___________2-4 ___6-10 ______38
Colonel Angus ___2-3 ___13-21-1 ___38
schmitty1121 ___2-7 ___13-27 _____33
donspiracy _____2-0 ___12-24-1 ___33
snake pliskin ____3-3 ___4-17 ______19

Overall Standings
CFB Week 1 ______23-37_____38.3
NFL Week 1 ______49-57 _____46.2
NFL Week 2 _____51-65-1_____44.0
NFL Week 3 _____72-78-2 ____48.0
NFL Week 4 _____53-60 ______46.9
Total __________248-297-3 ___45.5

Please let me know if any of the totals are incorrect. Thank you.
---------------------------------------
Today's Games 7:00 PM ESPN2
Mid Tenn St (3-1, 1-0 Sun Belt)
Troy (2-2, 1-0 Sun Belt)

Thursday, October 8 2009 7:00 PM ESPN
21 Nebraska (3-1, 0-1 away)
24 Missouri (4-0, 2-0 home)

Friday, October 9 2009 7:00 PM ESPN
Louisiana Tech (2-2, 1-0 WAC)
Nevada (1-3, 1-1 home)

Author:  RFDC [ Tue Oct 06, 2009 6:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Georgia + 2

Wisconsin +16.5

LSU +7.5

_________________

Colts -3.5

Author:  FavreFan [ Tue Oct 06, 2009 7:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

bad week last week. I'll start this week with my first college pick. As much as i like lsu i dont think they have the offense to stay within single digits of florida. Florida - 7.5

Author:  good dolphin [ Wed Oct 07, 2009 4:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Missouri +3 against Nebraska L
going after that home dog/ranked opponent/weekday night thing, which hasn't been great this year

Illinois +4 against Michigan State L
Sneaky line. MSU is odd as a road favorite coming off an OT win against archrival. The more I think of it the more this screams take the Illini.
Miami (ohio) +20 at Northwestern W
Cats have not shown the ability to beat anyone by 20.
Kansas -19.5 against Iowa State L
Ole Piss +6 against Alabama L
That south carolina game has really soured the oddsmakers on the Rebs. They were overrated a few weeks ago and now they are underrated.
Texas -32.5 against Colorado L
Georgia Tech +3 at Florida State W
all this bad press is going to be a distraction with a coach who is already confused...do you really trust bowden to figure out the the GT offense in a normal week?
Wisconsin +16 at Ohio State L
haven't liked OSU giving big points in almost 2 years
Baylor +25 at Oklahoma W
Iowa -8 against Michigan L

Browns +6 at Buffalo W
Bengals +8.5 at Ravens W
Falcons +2.5 at 49ers W
Patriots -3 at Broncos L
Texans-Cardinals OVER 49 PUSH

Dolphins +1.5 against Jets

Author:  Gloopan Kuratz [ Wed Oct 07, 2009 4:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

I'll take the Huskers +3.

Mizzou isn't that good.

Author:  Colonel Angus [ Wed Oct 07, 2009 6:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

10/10
Michigan St. -4

10/11
Indianapolis -3.5

10/12
NY Jets -1

Author:  Hawg Ass [ Thu Oct 08, 2009 9:30 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

scoresandodds.com

Missouri +3.5 always nice to get the better team with points - LOSS
Ole Miss +4.5
Georgia +1
Wisconsin +16
Texas A&M +4.5
Oregon -3.5
Arkansas +2.5
South Carolina -9.5

NFL
Minn -10.5
Cin +9
Cle +6

Author:  Northside_Dan [ Thu Oct 08, 2009 12:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Georgia +1.5..Tennessee is just bad

Michigan +8

Colts -4

Author:  Matt Murton's Beard [ Thu Oct 08, 2009 3:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Mizzou +3.5 tonight.

Author:  DegenerateDave [ Thu Oct 08, 2009 3:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

NFL

Minn -9.5 vs STL @ ST L - lay the points ride the purple express. (W)
Was + 3.5 vs Carolina @ Car - Carolina may be worse than Wash. (L)
Det + 10.5 vs Pitt @ Det - Detroit showed me a little something I think they stay close (W)
NE - 3 vs Den @ Den - the fairy tale ends this week (L)
Ind -3.5 vs Tenn @ Tenn - is this a misprint? (W)
NYJ - 1 vs MIA @ MIA - QB less Dolphins no chance

3-2 so far in pros with MNF still left

College

Mizz + 3.5 vs Neb @ Mizz - home dog more than 3 point line take (L)
Mich St - 3.5 vs Ill @ Ill - too good to lay off (W)
Purdue + 3.5 vs Minn @ Minn - Boilermaker Rick will be happy Purdue straight up(L)
Colorado + 32 vs Texas @ Texas - they can't be that bad can they? (W)
Wisc + 16.5 vs OSU @ Shoe - too many points for a ground control game (W)

3-2 in college this week

Worse case scenario I end up 6-5 for week, hoping for 7-4

Source: Pinnacle Sports

Author:  donspiracy [ Thu Oct 08, 2009 6:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Week 6 Miles Away From .500

Nebraska @ Missouri +3 1/2 (50)

Like Mizzou to win straight up. Gimme 6 TD's and 3 FG's, take the over.

Author:  FavreFan [ Fri Oct 09, 2009 2:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

From Pinnaclesports.

Vikings -10 over Rams - It's silly this line isnt higher. Possibly a letdown game after the MNF victory, but the Rams are so bad I dont even think thats possible. Vikings cruise 34-3.

Tampa Bay +15.5 over Eagles - This line just seems a little too high. I dont think the Eagles are a great team right now. Tampa Bay sucks, to be sure, but I think they'll keep it sorta close. Eagles 28-14.

Giants -14.5 over Oakland - They should rest Eli this week and they would still cover. Just let their RB's run for about 250 yards and Oakland wont score more than ten. Giants win 27-7.

New England -3 over Denver - I kinda felt like an idiot dismissing Denver last week like Dallas should have been some feared opponent. Their defense seems to be legit, Orton's playing well, and everything is going great. I still dont see how they can beat New England. I feel like Denver might be proving me wrong all season. I actually have a $20 bet with a buddy of mine on this game. He took Denver straight up, NE wins 21-13.

Houston +5.5 over Cardinals - Arizona hasnt shown it should be favored by this much over a team like Houston. I think Houston wins this outright, 31-28.

Colts -3.5 over Titans - The Titans are just bad right now. Terrible. Manning looks as good as ever. Colts 31-10.

Jets +1 over the Dolphins - One bad week against a top-tier team on the road and suddenly they wont beat the Dolphins? I'm not buying it. This will be a low-scoring game. Jets win 13-10.

Author:  DegenerateDave [ Fri Oct 09, 2009 3:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

FF - we are agreeing way too much - makes it hard to gain ground on you. lol.

What are your thoughts on Detroit + 10.5? Doesn't that seem a bit much to you?

Author:  FavreFan [ Fri Oct 09, 2009 3:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Kinda. Im staying away from that and the Chiefs game. Dallas isnt good, but I refuse to pick with the Chiefs untill they give me reason to do so. The Steelers defense isnt as good as last year, and they have showed a propensity for letting up in the second half. I can see a 27-20 game that wasnt as close as the score would indicate. However, I feel they should win by 2+ TD's. Pittsburgh is a team I will probably not pick for or against too often this year. Same with the Chargers. I dont have them figured out at all yet.

Author:  DegenerateDave [ Fri Oct 09, 2009 3:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

FavreFan wrote:
Kinda. Im staying away from that and the Chiefs game. Dallas isnt good, but I refuse to pick with the Chiefs untill they give me reason to do so. The Steelers defense isnt as good as last year, and they have showed a propensity for letting up in the second half. I can see a 27-20 game that wasnt as close as the score would indicate. However, I feel they should win by 2+ TD's. Pittsburgh is a team I will probably not pick for or against too often this year. Same with the Chargers. I dont have them figured out at all yet.


I almost went with you on the Giants big over the Raidahs but with a gimpy Eli I stayed away. I am not a big fan of Carr - but even Carr should be able to direct them to a three touchdown win over Oakland.

Author:  Chus [ Fri Oct 09, 2009 3:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Louisiana Tech +10.5

Author:  muman89 [ Fri Oct 09, 2009 6:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

From The Greek

NCAA

LSU +7 1/2 vs Florida At home, Tigers keep this one close, Tebow or no Tebow

Auburn/Arkansas Under 64 1/2 Plenty of points on both sides, but not enough to cover the total

Mich St./Illinois Under 54 1/2 New QB for the Illini, still not enough offense

Georgia Tech/Florida St. Under 55 1/2 Calls for Bowden to move on continue, Noles struggle


NFL

Vikings -10 @ Rams Vikes beat up the lousy Rams with point after point in this one

Giants -15 vs Raiders Eli or no Eli, Raiders might not put up any points anyway

49ers -2 1/2 vs Falcons Tough test for Atlanta, Singletary's bunch win this one at home

Colts -3 1/2 @ Titans Titans are still bad, Colts are still really good

Author:  Bud Dude [ Fri Oct 09, 2009 8:57 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Maryland +12.5 over Wake Frst

WF beat Elon by 28, all other games within double digits. Maryland hangs in this one.

Navy -11 over Rice

Rice is rebuilding this year. Navy keeps on rolling.

Idaho +4.5 over SJ State

Idaho has covered all 5 games as a dog this year and won 4 of those SU. Good enough for me.

Author:  Brick [ Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Michigan State -4 vs. Illinois -My guy(Irish Boy) tells me McGee sucks and I believe him.
Purdue +3 vs. Minnesota -Purdue is better than the record they have. Things start to come together here.
Wisconsin + 16 vs. Ohio State -Wisconsin is strong enough to keep this close
Michigan +8 vs. Iowa -Tate Forcier keeps them close, even if it is late.

All from sportsbook.com

Author:  reents [ Fri Oct 09, 2009 10:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Pinnacle Sports

Boston College +13.5 vs Virginia Tech- I think BC may have figured out their offense from last week's win and if the weather's good, should be a good close game.

Minnesota -3 vs Purdue- All you hear is how close Purdue keeps games and should be commended, I hope Minnesota blows them out, so we don't have to hear how close Purdue keeps the games.

Pittsburgh -7 vs UConn- I like what I see from Pitt and Uconn is not the same team from last year.

Alabama -4.5 vs Ole Miss- ALabama has the better defense and the offense can score and I like Bama to roll in this one.

Stanford -1 vs Oregon State- I like this Stanford team, don't know what you get in Oregon State, and Stanford stays undefeated in the Pac 10.

Georgia +1.5 vs Tennesee- I think Georgia is the better team and they get points, as long as they can get up for a noon game, should add another loss to the Kiffin's.

Georgia Tech +3 vs Florida State- I like Tech for the straight out win here, will be intresting to see how the Seminole players play for Bowden, but Tech has a good defense and running the ball a little better with Dwyer healthier now.

Oklahoma -28 vs Baylor- This would be a good game if Baylor still had Griffin, he gone, may take a while for Bradford to get it going, but the D will help the Sooners and could shut them out.

Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Sat Oct 10, 2009 8:41 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

The Ohio State University -16 ova the Badgers who haven't played anyone
Navy -11 ova Rice
Ol Miss+4.5 ova Bama love the home dog here
Kansas/Iowa St under 57 stormy weather
BYU/UNLV ova 63 the Can't stop the Runnin'....UNLV gave up ova 500 yds on the ground?

Author:  snake pliskin [ Sat Oct 10, 2009 11:38 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

what a bitch this year

fresno st -9.5 v hawaii
revenge from last year OT loss

wisc v osu under 48.5
wisc struggles to get double digits

ucla +3.5 v oregon
home team getting points
both qb's hurt
also going under 45.5

more losers later

Author:  newper [ Sat Oct 10, 2009 11:54 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Might as well start my comeback now :)

Arizona -3 underrated, should be able to eek out a win here
San Jose St -3.5 if people watched the minor divisions, they would know this is good
Kentucky +10 anything happens in the SEC
Texas Tech -16.5 weren't these guys supposed to be a top 5 team last year?
Oregon -3.5 I love anything with a duck

Author:  snake pliskin [ Sat Oct 10, 2009 12:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

round two gonna get hot
jets -2 v miami
one bad game why the short line

seattle -1 v jags
lots of travel and hasselback will light it up

atl v san fran
take under 41
all D san fran gives up 13.5 a game

colts v tenn take ovr 46
indy averages 26.5 a game
and tenn tries to keep up


san jose st -4.5 v idaho
sjst is 11-3 ats
idaho been luck last 3 games

Author:  schmitty1121 [ Sat Oct 10, 2009 4:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

LSU +10
Falcons +2.5
Patriots -3

Author:  Northside_Dan [ Sat Oct 10, 2009 4:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Northside_Dan wrote:
Georgia +1.5..Tennessee is just bad



And this is why I don't really bet. Wow.

Author:  Killer V [ Sat Oct 10, 2009 6:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

From pinnacle:

CIN +9
NE -3
IND -3.5
NYJ -1
JAX +1

Author:  reents [ Sat Oct 10, 2009 11:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Pinnacle Sports

Texans and Cardinals over 50- Texans got the offense going last week and Cardinals will want to respond after the loss to the Colts.

Vikings -10 vs Rams- I know a road team after a Monday night game, but the Vikings have a defense, can run the ball, and a quarterback that looks a little good.

Colts -3.5 vs Titans- Some of the Titans D may be out, should be eassy pickins for Manning.

Author:  Bud Dude [ Sun Oct 11, 2009 10:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

Seattle -1 over Jax

Big win for Jax last week. Now they travel across the country to play a desperate Seattle team with their starting QB back.

Washington +5.5 over Carolina

Line has gone up 2pts. I know Washington isn't too good but I will take the pts against an 0-3 team.

Over 44 Pitt/Det

Cant see Pitt not reaching the 30's. Detroit doesn't have to score much to get the over here.

Author:  Bud Dude [ Sun Oct 11, 2009 1:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Pick Winners CFB, NFL Week 5

San Fran Pk over Atlanta

Looks like alot of Atlanta love with this line down to a PK. SF D plays tough and they go to 4-1.

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