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NFL Week 7
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=51800
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Author:  Chus [ Wed Oct 20, 2010 10:04 am ]
Post subject:  NFL Week 7

14-18 -4.4

New England/San Diego under 47 (-105)

Author:  Chus [ Wed Oct 20, 2010 11:07 am ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

14-18 -4.4

New England/San Diego under 47 (-105)
Carolina ML (+135)

Author:  Chus [ Thu Oct 21, 2010 12:49 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

14-18 -4.4

New England/San Diego under 47 (-105)
Carolina ML (+135)
Washington ML (+130)
Cincinnati/Atlanta over 42.5 (-105)
Buffalo/Baltimore over 40 (-105)

Author:  Coast2Coast [ Thu Oct 21, 2010 8:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

Charliej, Fezzik's totals partner, gave out the Buffalo-Baltimore over 37 on Monday. Looks like he has some followers.

Author:  good dolphin [ Fri Oct 22, 2010 8:11 am ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

14-17-3
1-4-1

Bears -3 against Redskins l
Steelers -3 at Dolphins l
Panthers +3 against 49ers w
Seahawks -5.5 against Cardinals w
Patriots +2.5 at Chargers w
Vikings +3 at Packers l
Giants +3 at Cowboys W

4-3
18-20-3

Author:  Chus [ Fri Oct 22, 2010 8:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

Coast2Coast wrote:
Charliej, Fezzik's totals partner, gave out the Buffalo-Baltimore over 37 on Monday. Looks like he has some followers.


What do you think about Fezzik? I know that he has won the Hilton contest two years in a row. Often, there are stale lines, but it is still an impressive feat. He has many detractors over at the eog.

Author:  Coast2Coast [ Fri Oct 22, 2010 8:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

I know him. He's a nice guy and really smart in a math way. Fezzik is an actuary, a stat geek and an opportunist who can spot a bad number when he sees it. He is not a handicapper and when he tries to be, he doesn't do very well. That's probably why other bettors don't like him, because his record isn't really good on the picks he gives out. But he puts out a lot of sage advice if people would look for it. He's kind of like Phil Steele in that respect...great info, but I have little interest in his picks. You call it picking stale lines, but understanding line value seems to work for that contest more than everybody else's attempts to pick winners.

What most people don't know about Fezzik (because he never talks about it publicly) is that he makes most of his living live betting. The guy has such an educated understanding of value, it's instinctive.

Author:  Coast2Coast [ Fri Oct 22, 2010 8:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

Last week: 3-3
YTD: 11-11-1; -1.1

My power ratings and matchups this week:

http://www.mediafire.com/?rcrtsy7wj3ripv5

We'll see how sharp my numbers are because they are giving me 5 this week --- more plays than usual...

Miami +3
Washington +3, -120
Carolina +3, -120 (west coaster early start on east coast angle and also a great technical angle on winless teams coming off a bye)
New England +3, -125
NY Giants +3.5, -125 (3 weeks in a row that I have Dallas over-valued. Guess the linesmakers and I don't see the Boys at all the same.)

Author:  Chus [ Sat Oct 23, 2010 11:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

14-18 -4.4

New England/San Diego under 47 (-105)
Carolina ML (+135)
Washington ML (+130)
Cincinnati/Atlanta over 42.5 (-105)
Buffalo/Baltimore over 40 (-105)
Arizona +7 (-105)

Author:  Chus [ Sun Oct 24, 2010 9:45 am ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

14-18 -4.4

New England/San Diego under 47 (-105)
Carolina ML (+135)
Washington ML (+130)
Washington/Chicago under 41 (-115)
Cincinnati/Atlanta over 42.5 (-105)
Buffalo/Baltimore over 40 (-105)
Arizona +7 (-105)

Author:  Chus [ Sun Oct 24, 2010 10:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

14-18 -4.4

New England/San Diego under 47 (-105)
Carolina ML (+135)
Washington ML (+130)
Washington/Chicago under 41 (-115)
Cincinnati/Atlanta over 42.5 (-105)
Buffalo/Baltimore over 40 (-105)
Arizona +7 (-105)
Arizona/Seattle over 40 (+106)

Author:  Chus [ Sun Oct 24, 2010 3:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

Chus wrote:
14-18 -4.4

New England/San Diego under 47 (-105)
Carolina ML (+135)
Washington ML (+130)
Washington/Chicago under 41 (-115)
Cincinnati/Atlanta over 42.5 (-105)
Buffalo/Baltimore over 40 (-105)
Arizona +7 (-105)
Arizona/Seattle over 40 (+106)


5 for 5 to start the day

Author:  Chus [ Sun Oct 24, 2010 7:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

Chus wrote:
14-18 -4.4

New England/San Diego under 47 (-105) W
Carolina ML (+135) W
Washington ML (+130) W
Washington/Chicago under 41 (-115) W
Cincinnati/Atlanta over 42.5 (-105) W
Buffalo/Baltimore over 40 (-105) W
Arizona +7 (-105) L
Arizona/Seattle over 40 (+106) L


6-2 +4.6
20-20 +0.2

Author:  Chus [ Mon Oct 25, 2010 4:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

20-20 +0.20

NY Giants 1QTR -0.5 (+187)
NY Giants 3QTR -0.5 (+172)

Author:  Chus [ Mon Oct 25, 2010 10:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: NFL Week 7

Chus wrote:
20-20 +0.20

NY Giants 1QTR -0.5 (+187) L
NY Giants 3QTR -0.5 (+172) W


10/25: 1-1 +0.72
2010: 21-21 +0.92

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