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| NCAA Week 9 https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=52108 |
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| Author: | Chus [ Wed Oct 27, 2010 11:48 am ] |
| Post subject: | NCAA Week 9 |
2010: 16-20-3 -6.36 Maryland -5.5 (-105) |
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| Author: | Coast2Coast [ Wed Oct 27, 2010 10:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NCAA Week 9 |
Last week: 0-3 YTD: 11-20, -13.0 Wow. What a lousy college season so far. My college record is starting to look like Stu Gotz's in that contest we had a few years back. Fortunately, there is more season left, there are games on Sunday...and hoops starts in two weeks. USC +7, -120 Will it be the fourth Saturday in a row for the home dog to knock off #1? The Kiffins had a bye week to prepare and both Trojan losses were only by field goals. USC has not been a home dog in 9 years. You think maybe the Trojans will be reminded of that a few times this week? And as good as Oregon's O is, USC has a better D. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Wed Oct 27, 2010 11:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NCAA Week 9 |
Coast2Coast wrote: ...and hoops starts in two weeks. Time to kill the books. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Thu Oct 28, 2010 5:37 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NCAA Week 9 |
2010: 16-20-3 -6.36 Maryland -5.5 (-105) North Carolina State +4 (+103) Florida State/North Carolina State under 59 (-108) |
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| Author: | Chus [ Thu Oct 28, 2010 11:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NCAA Week 9 |
Chus wrote: 2010: 16-20-3 -6.36 Maryland -5.5 (-105) North Carolina State +4 (+103) W Florida State/North Carolina State under 59 (-108) W 2-0 +2.03 18-20-3 -4.33 Maryland -5.5 (-105) |
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| Author: | Chus [ Fri Oct 29, 2010 11:17 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NCAA Week 9 |
18-20-3 -4.33 Maryland -5.5 (-105) Purdue +17 (-102) |
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| Author: | Coast2Coast [ Sat Oct 30, 2010 10:44 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NCAA Week 9 |
Stanford -Washington over 63.5 Iowa -6.5 vs. Michigan State A lot of public money coming in on Mich. State, but line not moving. Hmmmmm. MSU may be undefeated, but I see value in this number. When Iowa played at Michigan it was -3.5. When MSU played at Mich, MSU was +4. At that point in time, Iowa was 7.5 higher than MSU in power ratings..which would translate to 10.5 at Iowa. WHen Iowa played Wisconsin at home it was -6. When MSU played at home vs. Wisconsin, MSU was +3. Based on those two games, Iowa was 3 higher than Wis and MSU was 6 lower than Wis. That makes Iowa 9 higher than MSU or 12 if the game were at Iowa. So now, after Iowa loses to Wis, the difference is only 3.5 in power ratings? I could see one or two points total moves in the Iowa and MSU PRs, but this is a 5.5 point move. Yes MSU is undefeated and yes they may have been undervalued, but looks like too much of a move to me. And leaving the number at the classic dog trap number of 6.5 suggests to me the books are taking a position on Iowa. So am I. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Tue Nov 02, 2010 8:20 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: NCAA Week 9 |
Chus wrote: 18-20-3 -4.33 Maryland -5.5 (-105) W Purdue +17 (-102) L week 9: 1-1 -0.02 2010: 19-21-3 -4.35 |
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