I've been looking at these the past few weeks and they seem ridiculously accurate. So, I've decided to chart them (with no Jelly Beans involved). These are projected final scores based on the average of 10,000 game simulations and rounded. Yesterday's predictions were -

Syracuse 78
MSU 74

Kansas 80
Memphis 68

Charlotte 99
Denver 96

Actual Results -

Syracuse 78
MSU 58

Kansas 81
Memphis 68

Charlotte 100
Denver 98

Tonight's predictions -

Boston 103
Denver 95

Miami 95
Utah 93

Kentucky 75
Notre Dame 74

Spread -
Miami +1
ND +5 1/2
No line yet on Boston

So far, Day 1 Results -

Record - 3-0
Record ATS - 3-0

_________________
You know me like that.

Actual Results in (parentheses) -

Wednesday predictions -

Boston 103 (105) W & W-ATS
Denver 95 (89)
(BOS -6 1/2)

Miami 95 (111)
Utah 93 (98) W & W-ATS
(Miami -1)

Kentucky 75 (72)
Notre Dame 74 (58) W & L-ATS
(ND +5 1/2)

Thursday results -

Colts 22 (30)
Titans 21 (28) W & W-ATS
(Titans +3)

Trail Blazers 92.1 (97) W & W-ATS
Magic 91.7 (83)
It's a Tie!!
(POR +2 1/2)

Temple 72 (68)
G'town 68 (65) W & W-ATS
(Temple +2)

Weekend action -

Navy 31
Army 28
(Army +8)

Patriots 24
Bears 21
(NE -3)

Chargers 28
Chiefs 18
(Chargers -6 1/2)


This is pretty remarkable and doesn't bode well for the Beloved this weekend.

Record through Day 3 of tracking -

Overall Record - 9-0
Record against the spread - 8-1

_________________
You know me like that.

Couple other pieces of info -

Likelihood of winning the NFC North -

Bears 44%
Packers 56%

Likelihood of making the playoffs -

Falcons 99%
Saints 92%
Eagles 82%
Packers 74%
Bears 67%
St. Louis 63%
Giants 52%
Seattle 34%
TB 30%
Sangletary Francisco 4%

_________________
You know me like that.

If this keeps up, I will take a serious look at it.

I run a Yahoo Football pick 'em against the spread and I always set up some dummy pick 'em teams. One of those teams I used Accuscore for and it is in first place by a wide margin....

_________________
Ба́бушка гада́ла, да на́двое сказа́ла—то ли до́ждик, то ли снег, то ли бу́дет, то ли нет.

Don't have my paper yet. My delivery guy might be frozen. I've decided on all games where the predicted spread matches the line, I'm going with the team that is favored to win the game. It's more fun to pick a side. I decided that before the Bears game.

So, the record through Day 4 is -

Overall - 12-0
Record against the spread - 10-2

_________________
You know me like that.

Saw these for tonight but I don't have the paper yet. These are the first ones I've seen that I really question.

Indy 102
Bulls 93

Heat 87
New Orleans 98

Balt 27
Hou 23

NYG 24
Minn 22

_________________
You know me like that.

I could see AccuScore being wrong on the Bulls game.

_________________
Ба́бушка гада́ла, да на́двое сказа́ла—то ли до́ждик, то ли снег, то ли бу́дет, то ли нет.

I'm hoping I find the paper so I can see which 3 they had - just to be consistent.

_________________
You know me like that.

What's the deal with this paper. They have information you can't find online? Really great picks?

Ravens should cover the -3 against the 32nd pass defense in the NFL.

Monday predictions / (results) -

NYG 24 (21)W & L-ATS
MIN 22 (3)
(MIN +5)

BAL 27 (34) W & W-ATS
HOU 23 (28)
(BAL -3)

Manchester United 2 (1) W & W-ATS
Arsenal 1 (0)
(?? No spreads on English Premiere League soccer but Man U was favored but they won by at least what WSJ said)

Tuesday Predictions -

Denver 105
Orlando 104
(Denver +1)

Atlanta 97
Detroit 91
(Atlanta -4)

Tennessee 78
Oakland 66
(No line yet)

Record through Day 5 -

Overall 15-0
Record against the spread - 12-3

_________________
You know me like that.

so you're not counting the Bulls game because there wasn't a spread?

_________________
Ба́бушка гада́ла, да на́двое сказа́ла—то ли до́ждик, то ли снег, то ли бу́дет, то ли нет.

Doc --- If you could provide some more information about what you are tracking, how you are getting your info ("the paper"), that would be great.

Monthly subscriptions look to be $80 per month.

Are you suggesting we need a jellybean counter for Dr. Ken and his AccuScore venture?

I'm only counting games listed in the Wall Street Journal. They list 3 games each day.

The Bulls / Heat games weren't listed. I didn't get my paper yesterday and tried to find something online and found some of those games but I'm not sure it's the same thing. I was able to dig Monday's paper from my neighbor's garbage bins this morning and find the listings.

Also, to keep the experiment true, it could be that a single person is choosing the 3 games to list in the WSJ so trying to find other games would be outside the bounds set for this experiment.

As for the spreads, I will always bet the WSJ predicted winner when the projection matches the spread. As for English soccer predictions, since there are no spreads on that, if you had bet the money line, you'd have won so I give them a win.

I'm just sayin'.

_________________
You know me like that.

Well, the Wall Street Journal got its ass handed to it last night, finally getting a game wrong. Although, the way Oakland had played Illinois and MSU, you could see they had to get one of these. I'm just crying a river that it was Bruce Pearl's group.

They've given us 6 games tonight. Bonus.

Tuesday Predictions / (Results)-

Denver 105 (111) W & W-ATS
Orlando 104 (94)
(Denver +1)

Atlanta 97 (80)
Detroit 91 (103) L & L-ATS
(Atlanta -4)

Tennessee 78 (82)
Oakland 66 (89) L & L-ATS
(Tenn -11)

Wednesday Predictions -

BOS 104
NYK 99
(BOS -3 1/2)

DAL 98
POR 90
(DAL -7)

OKC 112
HOU 102
(OKC -8)

OSU 87
Florida Gulf Coast 48
(I don't think they'll put a line on this game. So, I'll call it OSU -38 / Per Chus -38.5, so OSU is the pick)

Minny 78
Akron 56
(Minny -15)

South Florida 65
Auburn 60
(Auburn +12)

Through Day 6 -

Overall 16-2
Record against the spread 13-5

_________________
You know me like that.

It deserves extra credit for picking this game... way to go out on a limb, AccuScore/WSJ. I know you are only dealing with what they publish, but using games like this artificially inflates their record IMHO. I don't have a problem with picking these and adding them to a total as long as you are picking every single game. Once you get to the point of selecting individual games for a day, it gets sort of lame -- especially on a Wednesday. I would even buy it if they were listing all the ranked games, but they don't have the mighty Bethune-Cookman/Baylor clash in there. But North probably does it this way too, so I guess we should compare jellybeans to jellybeans...

Good work though Dr. Ken -- I am interested to see if AccuScore can keep up this margin when we get to (typically) more competitive conference play.

_________________
"All crowds boycotting football games shouldn't care who sings or takes a knee because they aren't watching." - Nas

WYC, Thursdays on the Score.

_________________
Ба́бушка гада́ла, да на́двое сказа́ла—то ли до́ждик, то ли снег, то ли бу́дет, то ли нет.

5dimes has the spread in the OSU game at 38.5

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Things are starting to get ugly. I'm just sayin'. I may soon turn my picks over to the Bookie Investment Banker.

Wednesday Predictions / (Results) -

BOS 104 (118) W & L-ATS
NYK 99 (116)
(BOS -3 1/2)

DAL 98 (103) W & L-ATS
POR 90 (98)
(DAL -7)

OKC 112 (117) W & W-ATS
HOU 102 (105)
(OKC -8)

OSU 87 (83) W & L-ATS
Florida Gulf Coast 48 (55)
(I don't think they'll put a line on this game. So, I'll call it OSU -38 / Per Chus -38.5, so OSU is the pick)

Minny 78 (66) W & L-ATS
Akron 56 (58)
(Minny -15)

South Florida 65 (61) W & T-ATS
Auburn 60 (49)
(Auburn +12)

Thursday Predictions -

Chargers 27
49ers 14
(Chargers -9)

Celtics 97
Hawks 86
(Boston -5 1/2)

Missouri 83
Oral Roberts 68
(No line yet)


Through Day 7 -

Overall 22-2
Record against the spread 14-9-1

_________________
You know me like that.

The Wall Street Journal bounces back and says, "F-U, Noisewater, make comments about my picks again and I'm going to cram the Marketplace section down your throat."

Thursday Predictions / (Results) -

Chargers 27 (34) W & W-ATS
49ers 14 (7)
(Chargers -9)

Celtics 97 (102) W & W-ATS
Hawks 86 (90)
(Boston -5 1/2)

Missouri 83 (81) W & W-ATS
Oral Roberts 68 (62)
(Mizzou -13 1/2)

Weekend Action -

BYU 31
UTEP 23
(UTEP + 11 1/2)

NIU 33
Fresno State 28
(NIU -1 1/2)
The Journal obviously has no respect for the Kill Factor.

Ohio 32
Troy 29
(Ohio +3)


Through Day 8 -

Overall 25-2
Record against the spread 17-9-1

_________________
You know me like that.

Weekend Action / (Results) -

BYU 31 (52) W & L-ATS
UTEP 23 (24)
(UTEP + 11 1/2)

NIU 33 (40) W & W-ATS
Fresno State 28 (17)
(NIU -1 1/2)
The Journal obviously has no respect for the Kill Factor.

Ohio 32 (21) L & L-ATS
Troy 29 (48)
(Ohio +3)

Monday Predictions -

Bears 20
IceKings 16
(Vikings +9)

Hawks 94
Magic 93
(Hawks +2 1/2)

Manchester City 2
Everton 1
(Manchester favored)


Through Day 9 -

Overall 27-3
Record against the spread 18-11-1

_________________
You know me like that.

Monday Predictions / (Results) -

Bears 20 (40) W & L-ATS
IceKings 16 (14)
(Vikings +9)

Hawks 94 (91) W & W-ATS
Magic 93 (81)
(Hawks +2 1/2)

Manchester City 2 (1) L & L-ATS
Everton 1 (2)
(Manchester favored)

Tuesday Predictions -

Southern Miss 31
Louisville 30
(Southern Miss +2 1/2)

Kansas State 68
UNLV 67
(UNLV +4 1/2)

Magic 94
Mavericks 92
(Mavericks +3 1/2)

Through Day 10 -

Overall 29-4
Record against the spread 19-13-1

_________________
You know me like that.