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Super Bowl https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=55266 |
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Author: | good dolphin [ Sun Jan 23, 2011 10:33 pm ] |
Post subject: | Super Bowl |
Started as Packers -2.5 and went up to 3. Sound familiar? Steelers will make the Pack 1 dimensional. That I know for sure. |
Author: | Irish Boy [ Sun Jan 23, 2011 10:43 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
I'm always suspicious about easy money, but the Steelers there seems way too easy. |
Author: | Keyser Soze [ Sun Jan 23, 2011 10:48 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Scorehead thinks the line is wrong. |
Author: | Ugueth Will Shiv You [ Sun Jan 23, 2011 10:49 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Too easy of a pick if that is accurate. |
Author: | good dolphin [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 9:53 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
I don't see it as easy money. Still, I think the Steelers WR run through those CB jams that make them so impressive against the Bears. I also think the Packers can be run on. On the other hand the Steeler OL is as bad as the Bears so the Packers will be blitzing. |
Author: | Chus [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 10:12 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Yesterday morning, 5dimes had all four potential super bowl match-ups with point spreads, and the Steelers were a two point favorite over the Packers. What changed between then and now? And why is this total at 46? These are the two best defenses in the league. The Pack have given up 141 points over their last 11. |
Author: | good dolphin [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 10:33 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Pouncey being potentially out is important but not 4-5 points. |
Author: | Keyser Soze [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 10:45 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Where did you get those numbers, GD? This is what Rosenbloom wrote in the Trib this morning. Green Bay opened as a 1-point underdog Sunday against Pittsburgh in the Super Bowl, but Packers backers quickly bet their team to 2 1/2-point favorites at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas. "They just kept betting Green Bay and we had to keep moving the line,'' said John Avello, director of sports and race operations at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas. "I'm just trying to find the right number.'' Oh yeah, and tell me again that Vegas wanting 50/50 is a myth. |
Author: | Irish Boy [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 10:51 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Keyser Soze wrote: Where did you get those numbers, GD? This is what Rosenbloom wrote in the Trib this morning. Green Bay opened as a 1-point underdog Sunday against Pittsburgh in the Super Bowl, but Packers backers quickly bet their team to 2 1/2-point favorites at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas. "They just kept betting Green Bay and we had to keep moving the line,'' said John Avello, director of sports and race operations at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas. "I'm just trying to find the right number.'' Oh yeah, and tell me again that Vegas wanting 50/50 is a myth. They lost hundreds of millions of dollars on the Patriots/Giants Super Bowl because they shaded the Giants. There's too much money in one game for them to fuck around any more. This isn't a Thursday night college basketball game. |
Author: | Keyser Soze [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 11:10 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
So you're saying point spreads are based on public perception only for big games? |
Author: | Irish Boy [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 11:13 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Keyser Soze wrote: So you're saying point spreads are based on public perception only for big games? I'm saying the books are gun shy, and that the Super Bowl brings in so much more money than any other game that they won't take chances. It's a completely unique event. Even for the CFB national championship game, the books moved the line away from the team taking in more money. That's a chance they won't take with the Super Bowl (anymore). There's too much to lose. |
Author: | good dolphin [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 5:12 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Keyser Soze wrote: Where did you get those numbers, GD? This is what Rosenbloom wrote in the Trib this morning. Green Bay opened as a 1-point underdog Sunday against Pittsburgh in the Super Bowl, but Packers backers quickly bet their team to 2 1/2-point favorites at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas. "They just kept betting Green Bay and we had to keep moving the line,'' said John Avello, director of sports and race operations at the Wynn Resort in Las Vegas. "I'm just trying to find the right number.'' Oh yeah, and tell me again that Vegas wanting 50/50 is a myth. I saw someone post it on therxforum. |
Author: | Chus [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 5:48 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Regular Season: 51-52 +0.71 Playoffs: 6-5 +1.64 YTD: 57-57 +2.35 Pittsburgh ML (+120) |
Author: | good dolphin [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 6:04 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
I like that pick. I don't know which way I'm going yet, but I don't think the line ends up being at play in this one. Better question: AFC or NFC this weekend? |
Author: | Scorehead [ Mon Jan 24, 2011 8:38 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Keyser Soze wrote: Scorehead thinks the line is wrong. Your right. I think the best head coach & the best organization in the NFL beats the Packers by at least 10 points. No way the Steelers should be dogs. |
Author: | newper [ Wed Jan 26, 2011 1:03 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Irish Boy wrote: They lost hundreds of millions of dollars on the Patriots/Giants Super Bowl because they shaded the Giants. There's too much money in one game for them to fuck around any more. This isn't a Thursday night college basketball game. QFT -- you don't dick around with the SB line. |
Author: | NSJ [ Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:24 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
As of this morning: 101 Pittsburgh Steelers +2½ +110 44½ O -110 U -110 102 Green Bay Packers -2½ -130 I'm taking GB -2.5. |
Author: | Chus [ Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:34 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
NSJ wrote: As of this morning: 101 Pittsburgh Steelers +2½ +110 44½ O -110 U -110 102 Green Bay Packers -2½ -130 I'm taking GB -2.5. You can get Green Bay at 2.5 with juice of -105 or -110 just about everywhere. |
Author: | HOVA [ Wed Jan 26, 2011 10:43 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Put your money on the Packers |
Author: | Keyser Soze [ Wed Jan 26, 2011 11:18 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
Irish Boy wrote: Keyser Soze wrote: So you're saying point spreads are based on public perception only for big games? I'm saying the books are gun shy, and that the Super Bowl brings in so much more money than any other game that they won't take chances. It's a completely unique event. Even for the CFB national championship game, the books moved the line away from the team taking in more money. That's a chance they won't take with the Super Bowl (anymore). There's too much to lose. There is expected to be $10 billion gambled on the super bowl but 1% of that will go through Vegas. That's still a lot of money but not enough for Vegas to change business as usual. |
Author: | Bud Dude [ Wed Jan 26, 2011 1:10 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
At Oddsmaker the Pack is 1.5 with a total of 44.5 SB totals always a little higher since most tend to bet the over. |
Author: | NSJ [ Fri Jan 28, 2011 1:37 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
From Bodog: * How long will it take Christina Aguilera to sing the National Anthem? -- Over/Under: 1 minute 50 seconds * How long will Christina Aguilera hold the note "Brave" at the end of the National Anthem? -- Over/Under: 6 seconds * How Many Times will FOX show Jerry Jones on TV during the Game? -- Over/Under: 3 * How Many Times will FOX mention Brett Favre on TV during the Game? -- Over/Under: 2.5 * Will a punt hit the scoreboard during the game? -- Yes: 10/1 * Will a Steelers player do the Aaron Rodgers Championship Belt Celebration during the game? Yes: EVEN No: -140 * How many current NFL Players will be arrested during Super Bowl Week? Over 0.5: +150 Under 0.5: -200 |
Author: | NSJ [ Fri Jan 28, 2011 2:00 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
From an SI link: The chronological breakdown of Christina Aguilera's National Anthem history, as provided by YouTube, is as follows: 1992 Stanley Cup Finals: 1 minute, 37 seconds Random Anthem in Anaheim (date unknown): 1 minute, 21 seconds 2004 NBA All-Star Game: 1 minute, 49 seconds 2005 Pittsburgh Penguins game: 1 minute, 45 seconds 2010 NBA Finals Game 6: 1 minute, 52 seconds 2010 NBA Finals Game 7: 1 minute, 54 seconds Due to the upward trend in her anthems (mostly), and the propensity to hold notes a little longer when performing the sports' world's single biggest event, our bet is definitely on OVER 1 minute, 50 seconds at Bodog (-125), and while we're at it, we'll take that UNDER on 1 minute, 56 seconds (-120) over at BetUS and hope to middle this anthem. |
Author: | Player312 [ Fri Jan 28, 2011 2:07 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
if u like pittsburgh then u be better off taking them on money line... I like pack to cover .. 27-20 |
Author: | good dolphin [ Fri Jan 28, 2011 2:08 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
HOVA wrote: Put your money on the Packers That's my lean right now and the over. |
Author: | good dolphin [ Fri Jan 28, 2011 2:39 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
If you are playing the Packers then I would think Rogers at +150 to be the MVP is the way to go for a prop. No single WR will outshine him and the Pack is going to need to throw to win. I don't think any single defensive player is going to stand out as the Steelers will try to run so there won't be any spectucular defensive stats as far as picks and sacks. |
Author: | Ugueth Will Shiv You [ Mon Jan 31, 2011 10:30 am ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
I just read that the first TD prop bet is Kuhn at 15 to 1. |
Author: | HOVA [ Sun Feb 06, 2011 10:57 pm ] |
Post subject: | Re: Super Bowl |
HOVA wrote: Put your money on the Packers Hopefully you all took my advice. |
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