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| Southern Mizz https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=65792 |
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| Author: | bigfan [ Fri Dec 23, 2011 3:15 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Southern Mizz |
Last night played Boise and won pretty big. Did so as they have one of the best QBs in the nation and they lit it up. Going with the same theory tonight. Austin Davis, Southern Miss QB, this past summer he won accuracy award at the Manning QB camp. But out Luck, RGIII and Moore. Throws a long ball, not a PT Willis type. |
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| Author: | Hawg Ass [ Fri Dec 23, 2011 3:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
That's all well and good and I agree, but the game is tomorrow night. |
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| Author: | bigfan [ Fri Dec 23, 2011 3:21 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
My bad, but next game on the table. Nothing tonight in Bowl world, which surprises me? Friday night before long hOliday weekend. How about a Holiday Bowl?> |
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| Author: | Hawg Ass [ Fri Dec 23, 2011 3:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
Agreed, the bars are going to be packed tonight and there will nothing to have up on the tube when I am tired of talking to people. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Fri Dec 23, 2011 4:55 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
I like it a lot more at -6 when I got it, vs. the 8.5's and 9's that are available now. |
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| Author: | Coast2Coast [ Fri Dec 23, 2011 9:11 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
uh oh. I took 9 with Reno. Looks like I've got the wrong side. |
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| Author: | bigfan [ Fri Dec 23, 2011 11:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
Coast2Coast wrote: uh oh. I took 9 with Reno. Looks like I've got the wrong side. COAST, where Ya beeen? |
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| Author: | Chus [ Sat Dec 24, 2011 9:21 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
Coast2Coast wrote: uh oh. I took 9 with Reno. Looks like I've got the wrong side. A 7 point differential will make us both winners. |
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| Author: | Coast2Coast [ Sat Dec 24, 2011 4:56 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
Confirmed Billy Walters is on Nevada, and his action has pushed this back to 7. This one looks like and feels like a classic BW setup. The early line move of a few points was large enough that he likely was involved, buying the 6.5s up early on. Word got out he was in the mix, the books over-reacted, the momentum and rumors of "BW on Southern Miss" caused other inside Vegas bettors to pile on and the line gets to 9. He then comes over the top on game day with a much larger bet on the other side. I suspect we will see this again during the bowl season. The early move is not necessarily the same as the last move. Watch college hoops every day. He does this a few times a day in hoops. Seems there are a few times every day where a 2 point move early in the day becomes a 3 point move the other way just before tip. None of this is to say which is the right side. He wins about 54-55% in his good years. But when you bet maybe a few hundred thousand or more per game and over $100 million in a football season, while setting up middles of a few points, the profit for a season is 7-8 figures. Not to mention the entertainment value for the rest of us watching him yo-yo the lines. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Sun Dec 25, 2011 9:42 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
Chus wrote: Coast2Coast wrote: uh oh. I took 9 with Reno. Looks like I've got the wrong side. A 7 point differential will make us both winners. How prophetic. |
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| Author: | bigfan [ Sun Dec 25, 2011 11:47 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Southern Mizz |
They cant run the ball all night, then they get first downs to end the game! Was not so impressed with the hype around Davis and his accuracy. |
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