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| odd of Sox finishing 12-0 https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=6877 |
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| Author: | doug - evergreen park [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 2:35 pm ] |
| Post subject: | odd of Sox finishing 12-0 |
Coast? what do you think? |
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| Author: | Matt Murton's Beard [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 2:39 pm ] |
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200-1 |
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| Author: | Spinnin' Bucket [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 3:55 pm ] |
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More like 4000 to 1. Doug, I thought you were an engineer. Where are your math skills? |
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| Author: | Matt Murton's Beard [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 3:57 pm ] |
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"Obviously you're not a golfer" -big lebowski |
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| Author: | doug - evergreen park [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 3:58 pm ] |
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Engineer, yes.... Oddsmaker, no. |
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| Author: | Spinnin' Bucket [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 5:06 pm ] |
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Doug, Still comes down to math, my friend. True odds of hitting 12 in a row are 1 out of 4096 (2 to the 12th power). This is assuming your chances of winning each game are 50%. Even if you factored under the Sox season-to-date winning percentage of 56%, you would come up with a figure of 1 out of 3657. Considering the bullpen is worthless, they finish the season at Minnesota, and you’d likely see Santana if the race tightened again, I’d say your back closer to the 4000-1 mark. But if it makes you feel better, the odds are 3-1 that they win 12 in a row. Go Sox... |
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| Author: | doug - evergreen park [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 6:36 pm ] |
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o.k....fine. you're right. i've forgotten my math. that's what happens when all you do is y=mx+b all day. i make water run downhill, on paper..... but, i didn't mean it like that.... |
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| Author: | doug - evergreen park [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 9:21 pm ] |
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| Author: | donspiracy [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 10:33 pm ] |
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Doug, thanks for the marriage happiness formula. Too bad they all have the same endpoint. Broken, miserable, and hopefully still alive to tell the tale. All women are crazy, but they have all the pussy. |
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| Author: | Spaulding [ Tue Sep 19, 2006 11:03 pm ] |
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I've always been a big fan of the quadratic formula. Coach - That could get messy. Anyone can piss on the floor but it takes a champion to crap on the ceiling. |
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