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The staggering effect of what happens in conference championship games with teams who have dominated on the scoreboard the last two seasons is eye-opening, to say the least.

Our database confirms the notion, finding that teams in conference title games who managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 9-19-2 ATS since the inception of these championship games.

This week finds Florida State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Stanford going up against tough odds.

Worse, when favored by 17 or less points, and playing off a win, these ’pips’ dip to 1-13-2 ATS in these title game roles.

bigfan wrote:

Stats like these are useless. How does something that happened with other teams in previous years, have anything to do with these games?

This is the kind of thinking that gets people like Mac in trouble.

bigfan wrote:

Chus wrote:

bigfan wrote:

NIU = L
Okla St = L
Marshall= L

Gotta say I like Miss, Mich St and Utah St...all would fall into this 'troubled thinking", Miss was a Dog, now is PK I saw

Author:	bigfan [ Thu Dec 05, 2013 10:52 am ]
Post subject:	Vegasinsider info
The staggering effect of what happens in conference championship games with teams who have dominated on the scoreboard the last two seasons is eye-opening, to say the least. Our database confirms the notion, finding that teams in conference title games who managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 9-19-2 ATS since the inception of these championship games. This week finds Florida State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Stanford going up against tough odds. Worse, when favored by 17 or less points, and playing off a win, these ’pips’ dip to 1-13-2 ATS in these title game roles.

Author:	Kirkwood [ Thu Dec 05, 2013 11:03 am ]
Post subject:	Re: Vegasinsider info
bigfan wrote: The staggering effect of what happens in conference championship games with teams who have dominated on the scoreboard the last two seasons is eye-opening, to say the least. Our database confirms the notion, finding that teams in conference title games who managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 9-19-2 ATS since the inception of these championship games. This week finds Florida State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Stanford going up against tough odds. Worse, when favored by 17 or less points, and playing off a win, these ’pips’ dip to 1-13-2 ATS in these title game roles. Stanford doesn't dominate the scoreboard. In that 9-19-2 stat, were all those teams favored? This "trend" fits Ohio State perfectly. Sparty will give them a game.

Author:	Chus [ Thu Dec 05, 2013 6:27 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Vegasinsider info
bigfan wrote: The staggering effect of what happens in conference championship games with teams who have dominated on the scoreboard the last two seasons is eye-opening, to say the least. Our database confirms the notion, finding that teams in conference title games who managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 9-19-2 ATS since the inception of these championship games. This week finds Florida State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Stanford going up against tough odds. Worse, when favored by 17 or less points, and playing off a win, these ’pips’ dip to 1-13-2 ATS in these title game roles. Stats like these are useless. How does something that happened with other teams in previous years, have anything to do with these games? This is the kind of thinking that gets people like Mac in trouble.

Author:	312player [ Thu Dec 05, 2013 10:37 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Vegasinsider info
I like spartans n duke..been riding seminoles since week 3 but not this time. Braxton miller bl0ws, msu could win outright. i like mizzou but auburn scares me with these last minute wins. ill probably play mizzou.

Author:	bigfan [ Fri Dec 06, 2013 8:48 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Vegasinsider info
Chus wrote: bigfan wrote: The staggering effect of what happens in conference championship games with teams who have dominated on the scoreboard the last two seasons is eye-opening, to say the least. Our database confirms the notion, finding that teams in conference title games who managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 9-19-2 ATS since the inception of these championship games. This week finds Florida State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Stanford going up against tough odds. Worse, when favored by 17 or less points, and playing off a win, these ’pips’ dip to 1-13-2 ATS in these title game roles. Stats like these are useless. How does something that happened with other teams in previous years, have anything to do with these games? This is the kind of thinking that gets people like Mac in trouble. Over good enough

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Vegasinsider info https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=83576	Page 1 of 1

Author:	bigfan [ Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:11 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Vegasinsider info
Chus wrote: bigfan wrote: The staggering effect of what happens in conference championship games with teams who have dominated on the scoreboard the last two seasons is eye-opening, to say the least. Our database confirms the notion, finding that teams in conference title games who managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 9-19-2 ATS since the inception of these championship games. This week finds Florida State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Stanford going up against tough odds. Worse, when favored by 17 or less points, and playing off a win, these ’pips’ dip to 1-13-2 ATS in these title game roles. Stats like these are useless. How does something that happened with other teams in previous years, have anything to do with these games? This is the kind of thinking that gets people like Mac in trouble. NIU = L Okla St = L Marshall= L Gotta say I like Miss, Mich St and Utah St...all would fall into this 'troubled thinking", Miss was a Dog, now is PK I saw

Author:	Chus [ Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:16 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Vegasinsider info
bigfan wrote: Chus wrote: bigfan wrote: The staggering effect of what happens in conference championship games with teams who have dominated on the scoreboard the last two seasons is eye-opening, to say the least. Our database confirms the notion, finding that teams in conference title games who managed to win 19 or more of their last 22 games are just 9-19-2 ATS since the inception of these championship games. This week finds Florida State, Northern Illinois, Ohio State and Stanford going up against tough odds. Worse, when favored by 17 or less points, and playing off a win, these ’pips’ dip to 1-13-2 ATS in these title game roles. Stats like these are useless. How does something that happened with other teams in previous years, have anything to do with these games? This is the kind of thinking that gets people like Mac in trouble. NIU = L Okla St = L Marshall= L Gotta say I like Miss, Mich St and Utah St...all would fall into this 'troubled thinking", Miss was a Dog, now is PK I saw The fact that a few games hit, doesn't change the reality that it is faulty logic to pick a game based on something that happened in previous years, with different teams. Vegas casinos are built with money from people who had foolproof systems.

Author:	bigfan [ Sat Dec 07, 2013 6:21 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: Vegasinsider info
I dont think anyone said it was foolproof, but it seemed to have a solid basis. People bet the faves in these games and the NIU game was a perfect example. Despite BG having better O stats and better D stats, 91% of the money went to NIU. As I said, I just went Over, but the ML was a great call. I do think the hype of the games exaggerate the ability of some teams. Very similar to week 1 and 2 of NCAA tourney, names are wagered and skill is almost ignored.

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