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| The DaMaNa money line challenge https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=88960 |
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| Author: | Chus [ Sun Sep 07, 2014 8:54 pm ] |
| Post subject: | The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Betting every favorite on the money line was a profitable venture last year, or as Mac calls it, free money. I suspect things will return to normal this year, and this will be a losing proposition. There is usually a regression to the mean, and the boys in Vegas always adjust. Seattle -235 W New Orleans -158 L St. Louis -150 L Pittsburgh -250 W Philadelphia -525 W NY Jets -305 W Baltimore -115 L Bears -308 L Houston -170 W Kansas City -175 L New England -180 L Tampa Bay -245 L San Francisco -170 W Denver -370 W Detroit -275 W Arizona -160 W 9-7 (-431) |
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| Author: | badrogue17 [ Sun Sep 07, 2014 9:26 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Chus wrote: Betting every favorite on the money line was a profitable venture last year, or as Mac calls it, free money. I suspect things will return to normal this year, and this will be a losing proposition. There is usually a regression to the mean, and the boys in Vegas always adjust. The fuck dude, I thought that was my idea last year. Though I believe I filtered it to betting only the one or 2 prohibitive favorites every week.
Seattle -235 W New Orleans -158 L St. Louis -150 L Pittsburgh -250 W Philadelphia -525 W NY Jets -305 W Baltimore -115 L Bears -308 L Houston -170 W Kansas City -175 L New England -180 L Tampa Bay -245 L San Francisco -170 W Denver -370 Detroit Arizona |
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| Author: | Chus [ Sun Sep 07, 2014 9:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
badrogue17 wrote: Chus wrote: Betting every favorite on the money line was a profitable venture last year, or as Mac calls it, free money. I suspect things will return to normal this year, and this will be a losing proposition. There is usually a regression to the mean, and the boys in Vegas always adjust. The fuck dude, I thought that was my idea last year. Though I believe I filtered it to betting only the one or 2 prohibitive favorites every week.Seattle -235 W New Orleans -158 L St. Louis -150 L Pittsburgh -250 W Philadelphia -525 W NY Jets -305 W Baltimore -115 L Bears -308 L Houston -170 W Kansas City -175 L New England -180 L Tampa Bay -245 L San Francisco -170 W Denver -370 Detroit Arizona You inspired me to track it last year. The results were not what I expected. I believe that will change this year, as last year was an anomaly. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Mon Sep 15, 2014 2:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
week 1: 9-7 (-431) Week 2 Baltimore -146 W Carolina -125 W Buffalo -125 W Washington -230 W Tennessee -170 L NY Giants -125 L New England -170 W New Orleans -242 L Cincinnati -240 W Tampa -215 L Seattle -230 L Houston -164 W Green Bay -340 W Denver -900 W San Francisco -300 L Indianapolis -164 L week 2: 9-7 (-546) ytd: 18-14 (-977) |
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| Author: | City of Fools [ Mon Sep 15, 2014 2:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
I've won a ton of pools by picking the underdogs across the board with one or two exceptions every week. Last year WAS an anomaly. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Sun Sep 21, 2014 1:56 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
ytd: 18-14 (-977) week 3 Atlanta -280 W Buffalo -146 L Dallas -135 W Philadelphia -215 W NY Giants -120 W New Orleans -500 W Cincinnati -275 W Baltimore -125 W Detroit -125 W Indianapolis -245 W New England -900 W San Francisco -151 L Seattle -220 W Miami -250 L Carolina -200 NY Jets |
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| Author: | RFDC [ Sun Sep 21, 2014 1:57 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
City of Fools wrote: I've won a ton of pools by picking the underdogs across the board with one or two exceptions every week. Last year WAS an anomaly. Did not happen. |
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| Author: | redskingreg [ Sun Sep 21, 2014 4:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
RFDC wrote: City of Fools wrote: I've won a ton of pools by picking the underdogs across the board with one or two exceptions every week. Last year WAS an anomaly. Did not happen. I've won my fair share of pools by having a manatee make my picks. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Tue Sep 23, 2014 3:50 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Chus wrote: ytd: 18-14 (-977) week 3 Atlanta -280 W Buffalo -146 L Dallas -135 W Philadelphia -215 W NY Giants -120 W New Orleans -500 W Cincinnati -275 W Baltimore -125 W Detroit -125 W Indianapolis -245 W New England -900 W San Francisco -151 L Seattle -220 W Miami -250 L Carolina -200 L NY Jets -125 L week 3: 11-5 +228 ytd: 29-19 (-749) |
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| Author: | leashyourkids [ Tue Sep 23, 2014 4:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Just to be clear, you're calculating favorites with the money line, right? I always thought in the NFL, it would be more fruitful to bet underdogs with the money line due to the unpredictability. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Tue Sep 23, 2014 4:43 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
leashyourkids wrote: Just to be clear, you're calculating favorites with the money line, right? I always thought in the NFL, it would be more fruitful to bet underdogs with the money line due to the unpredictability. Yes, this is playing every favorite, to win $100. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Sun Sep 28, 2014 3:09 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
ytd: 29-19 -$749 Washington -172 L Miami -200 W Green Bay -126 W Houston -135 W Indianapolis -345 W Baltimore -165 W NY Jets -140 L Pittsburgh -330 L San Diego -625 W San Francisco -210 W Atlanta -255 L New Orleans -145 L New England week 4: 7-5 -$342 |
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| Author: | Chus [ Mon Sep 29, 2014 10:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
ytd: 29-19 -$749 Washington -172 L Miami -200 W Green Bay -126 W Houston -135 W Indianapolis -345 W Baltimore -165 W NY Jets -140 L Pittsburgh -330 L San Diego -625 W San Francisco -210 W Atlanta -255 L New Orleans -145 L New England -140 L week 4: 7-6 -$482 ytd: 36-25 -$1231 |
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| Author: | Chus [ Mon Oct 06, 2014 7:42 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Week 5 ytd: 36-25 -$1231 Green Bay -425 W Carolina -125 W Cleveland -120 W Philadelphia -199 W NY Giants -215 W New Orleans -600 W Dallas -235 W Detroit -225 L Indianapolis -140 W Pittsburgh -260 W Denver -385 W San Francisco -225 W San Diego -314 W Cincinnati -140 L Seattle -330 |
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| Author: | Nas [ Mon Oct 06, 2014 7:48 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
So I should bet $100 on the underdog every week. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Mon Oct 06, 2014 7:58 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Nas wrote: So I should bet $100 on the underdog every week. I'm telling anybody what to bet, but I should have been tracking the moneyline dogs, as well. If I have some time this week, I will go back, and track those. I would guess that year to year, betting every dog is more profitable than betting the chalk. |
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| Author: | badrogue17 [ Mon Oct 06, 2014 8:10 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Chus wrote: Nas wrote: So I should bet $100 on the underdog every week. I'm telling anybody what to bet, but I should have been tracking the moneyline dogs, as well. If I have some time this week, I will go back, and track those. I would guess that year to year, betting every dog is more profitable than betting the chalk. ?? Looks like the chalk is profitable so far unless Im reading that wrong. |
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| Author: | Nas [ Mon Oct 06, 2014 8:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
badrogue17 wrote: Chus wrote: Nas wrote: So I should bet $100 on the underdog every week. I'm telling anybody what to bet, but I should have been tracking the moneyline dogs, as well. If I have some time this week, I will go back, and track those. I would guess that year to year, betting every dog is more profitable than betting the chalk. ?? Looks like the chalk is profitable so far unless Im reading that wrong. You're reading it wrong. |
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| Author: | badrogue17 [ Mon Oct 06, 2014 8:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Nas wrote: badrogue17 wrote: Chus wrote: Nas wrote: So I should bet $100 on the underdog every week. I'm telling anybody what to bet, but I should have been tracking the moneyline dogs, as well. If I have some time this week, I will go back, and track those. I would guess that year to year, betting every dog is more profitable than betting the chalk. ?? Looks like the chalk is profitable so far unless Im reading that wrong. You're reading it wrong. YTD he's up $1200 betting favorites no 
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| Author: | pittmike [ Mon Oct 06, 2014 8:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
I thought that was a minus not hyphen before 1251. |
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| Author: | Nas [ Mon Oct 06, 2014 8:27 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
badrogue17 wrote: YTD he's up $1200 betting favorites no A + is good and a - is bad. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Mon Oct 06, 2014 9:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Nas wrote: badrogue17 wrote: YTD he's up $1200 betting favorites no A + is good and a - is bad. Unless it's a diagnosis from your doctor. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Tue Oct 07, 2014 3:04 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Week 5 ytd: 36-25 -$1231 Green Bay -425 W Carolina -125 W Cleveland -120 W Philadelphia -199 W NY Giants -215 W New Orleans -600 W Dallas -235 W Detroit -225 L Indianapolis -140 W Pittsburgh -260 W Denver -385 W San Francisco -225 W San Diego -314 W Cincinnati -140 L Seattle -330 W week 5: 13-2 +935 ytd: 49-27 -$296 |
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| Author: | Chus [ Mon Oct 13, 2014 7:05 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
ytd: 49-27 -$296 week 6 Indianapolis -135 W Denver -460 W Cleveland -130 W Tennessee -215 W Atlanta -190 L Green Bay -124 W Minnesota -125 L Cincinnati -305 PUSH Buffalo -120 L Baltimore -180 W San Diego -350 W Seattle -474 L Arizona -248 W Philadelphia -125 W San Francisco -200 W week 6: 10-4-1 +$91 ytd: 59-31-1 -$205 Seahawks go down as almost 5/1 favorites, which would wipe out the first five weeks, if you bet the biggest favorite on the board each week, or free money as Mac calls it. |
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| Author: | denisdman [ Mon Oct 13, 2014 7:08 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Money line just doesn't feel right for football. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Mon Oct 13, 2014 7:19 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
denisdman wrote: Money line just doesn't feel right for football. You have to take value where you find it. |
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| Author: | denisdman [ Mon Oct 13, 2014 7:31 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
Chus wrote: denisdman wrote: Money line just doesn't feel right for football. You have to take value where you find it. Wholly agree. It just seems weird to play it that way. I love grabbing the points....love home dogs. I'll be out in Vegas early next month, Bears/Packers weekend. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Sun Oct 19, 2014 3:29 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
ytd: 59-31-1 -$205 New England -506 W Indianapolis -190 W Washington -260 W Bears -170 L Cleveland -215 L Seattle -300 L Green Bay -295 W Baltimore -305 W Buffalo -305 W Detroit -130 W San Diego -170 L Dallas -224 W Arizona -190 W Denver W Pittsburgh W week 7: 11-4 +$245 ytd: 70-35-1 +$40 |
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| Author: | Chus [ Mon Nov 03, 2014 10:48 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
ytd: 70-35-1 +$40 week 8 Denver -410 W Detroit -180 W Tampa -119 L New England -245 W Kansas City -350 W Seattle -270 W NY Jets -161 L Miami -320 W Houston -181 W Baltimore -151 L Philadelphia -121 L Indianapolis -250 L Cleveland -290 W New Orleans -125 W Dallas -450 L week 8: 9-6 -352 ytd: 79-41-1 -312 Biggest favorite on the board goes down again. Mac's free money isn't so free. |
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| Author: | Chus [ Mon Nov 03, 2014 10:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | Re: The DaMaNa money line challenge |
ytd: 79-41-1 -312 week 9 New Orleans -180 W Miami -140 W Cincinnati -475 W Cleveland -325 W Washington -115 L Philadelphia -135 W Kansas City -425 W Dallas -125 L San Francisco -550 L Denver -165 L Seattle -904 W Pittsburgh -130 W Indianapolis W week 9: 9-4 -55 ytd: 88-45-1 -367 |
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