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NFL Week 3

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Chus

Post subject: NFL Week 3

Posted: Wed Sep 17, 2014 6:53 pm

Joined: Fri Mar 31, 2006 3:29 pm
Posts: 34795
pizza_Place: Al's Pizza

YTD: 8-8 -0.80

Green Bay -2 (-120)
Tennessee/Cincinnati under 43 (-115)

Week 4: New England +2 (-115) vs Kansas City
Week 6: Pittsburgh +1 (-115) vs Cleveland
Week 8: Green Bay +3.5 (-115) vs Saints
Week 14: Bears -3 (-115) vs Dallas

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
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donspiracy

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 10:36 am

Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 12:57 am
Posts: 20709
Location: Westmont
pizza_Place: Tony Weed's
1039 Oliver Ave, Aurora
(630) 892-2772

Bears @ Jets started as a Pick 'em and is now Jets -3 in most places. All that NYC money must think the Jets are for real. See the Bears winning easy straight up

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Beardown wrote:

I'm declaring a victory without research.

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Kirkwood

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 11:00 am

Joined: Wed Jun 06, 2012 7:43 pm
Posts: 20537
pizza_Place: Joes Pizza

donspiracy wrote:

Bears @ Jets started as a Pick 'em and is now Jets -3 in most places. All that NYC money must think the Jets are for real. See the Bears winning easy straight up

Joe Public is on the Bears.

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donspiracy

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 11:21 am

Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 12:57 am
Posts: 20709
Location: Westmont
pizza_Place: Tony Weed's
1039 Oliver Ave, Aurora
(630) 892-2772

Kirkwood wrote:

donspiracy wrote:

Bears @ Jets started as a Pick 'em and is now Jets -3 in most places. All that NYC money must think the Jets are for real. See the Bears winning easy straight up

Joe Public is on the Bears.

Bears at +3 is the lock of the year.

_________________
CSFMB: Home of the small minded

Beardown wrote:

I'm declaring a victory without research.

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Kirkwood

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 12:02 pm

Joined: Wed Jun 06, 2012 7:43 pm
Posts: 20537
pizza_Place: Joes Pizza

As of today, of the 16 NFL games this week 3, the majority of tickets are:

9 - Favorite
7 - Underdog

That's pretty interesting. Sure, a couple of dogs are like here and there but this weeks seems unusual.

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good dolphin

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Thu Sep 18, 2014 4:53 pm

Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2005 2:35 pm
Posts: 82242

6-2 +9.5

Buccaneers +6.5 1* L
Bears +3 3* W

1-1 +1.9

7-3 +11.4

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

Last edited by good dolphin on Tue Sep 23, 2014 10:01 am, edited 2 times in total.

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Chus

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2014 7:15 am

Joined: Fri Mar 31, 2006 3:29 pm
Posts: 34795
pizza_Place: Al's Pizza

Chus wrote:

YTD: 8-8 -0.80

Green Bay -2 (-120) L
Tennessee/Cincinnati under 43 (-115) W

week 3: 1-1 -0.20
YTD: 9-9 -1.00

Bears +8.5/over 38 (-110)

Week 4: New England +2 (-115) vs Kansas City
Week 6: Pittsburgh +1 (-115) vs Cleveland
Week 8: Green Bay +3.5 (-115) vs Saints
Week 14: Bears -3 (-115) vs Dallas

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Top

good dolphin

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2014 3:59 pm

Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2005 2:35 pm
Posts: 82242

I was unavailable last week and this weekend so plays were limited. I jumped that Bear +3 early this morning thinking it was a gift. It's down to 1 right now.

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

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donspiracy

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2014 7:11 pm

Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 12:57 am
Posts: 20709
Location: Westmont
pizza_Place: Tony Weed's
1039 Oliver Ave, Aurora
(630) 892-2772

good dolphin wrote:

I was unavailable last week and this weekend so plays were limited. I jumped that Bear +3 early this morning thinking it was a gift. It's down to 1 right now.

All the chasers coming in. I am not suprised the number is getting bought down.

_________________
CSFMB: Home of the small minded

Beardown wrote:

I'm declaring a victory without research.

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Chus

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2014 7:16 pm

Joined: Fri Mar 31, 2006 3:29 pm
Posts: 34795
pizza_Place: Al's Pizza

The sharp money in Vegas is on the Jets.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

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donspiracy

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2014 7:19 pm

Joined: Thu Mar 16, 2006 12:57 am
Posts: 20709
Location: Westmont
pizza_Place: Tony Weed's
1039 Oliver Ave, Aurora
(630) 892-2772

Chus wrote:

The sharp money in Vegas is on the Jets.

So what are the odds of Jets winning by two and both sides coming in if somebody also bought the Bears at +3?

Vegas think the Jets got this??

_________________
CSFMB: Home of the small minded

Beardown wrote:

I'm declaring a victory without research.

Top

Chus

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Mon Sep 22, 2014 7:27 pm

Joined: Fri Mar 31, 2006 3:29 pm
Posts: 34795
pizza_Place: Al's Pizza

donspiracy wrote:

Chus wrote:

The sharp money in Vegas is on the Jets.

So what are the odds of Jets winning by two and both sides coming in if somebody also bought the Bears at +3?

Sometimes, the big bettors in Vegas will hit one side early, with the hopes of driving the number the other way. Sharps can move lines in one bet. Then, their whole syndicate will pound the side that they really wanted, at a better number.

donspiracy wrote:

Vegas think the Jets got this??

That's what I have been reading today. They aren't always right.

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Top

Chus

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Tue Sep 23, 2014 3:47 pm

Joined: Fri Mar 31, 2006 3:29 pm
Posts: 34795
pizza_Place: Al's Pizza

Chus wrote:

YTD: 9-9 -1.00

Bears +8.5/over 38 (-110) W

YTD: 10-9 +0.00

Week 4: New England +2 (-115) vs Kansas City
Week 6: Pittsburgh +1 (-115) vs Cleveland
Week 8: Green Bay +3.5 (-115) vs Saints
Week 14: Bears -3 (-115) vs Dallas

_________________
Good people drink good beer - Hunter S. Thompson

<º)))><

Waiting for the time when I can finally say
That this has all been wonderful, but now I'm on my way

Top

good dolphin

Post subject: Re: NFL Week 3

Posted: Tue Sep 23, 2014 4:50 pm

Joined: Thu Feb 17, 2005 2:35 pm
Posts: 82242

I find that anticipating what Vegas wants as a dangerous method of playing. I trust my thoughts but I will temper them with other analysis

_________________
O judgment! Thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.

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NFL Week 3

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