Chicago Fanatics Message Board :: View topic

you have balls taking an under in a prime time game...overs have hit at something like 25-5

good dolphin wrote:

you have balls taking an under in a prime time game...overs have hit at something like 25-5

Miami and Buffalo's recent history shows close, low scoring games. That means a lot more to me, than statistics from games from eight weeks ago, involving different teams. Four of the last five games between these two teams fell below tonight's total. The game that didn't, was 23-21.

Both teams are banged up on offense. The total is falling, as it is down to 41. I will take being on the right side of a move any day of the week. It could be a head fake, to get a better number to pound later, but I will roll the dice.

Chus wrote:

good dolphin wrote:

you have balls taking an under in a prime time game...overs have hit at something like 25-5

rather than just a random statistic, I think there is something to the quality of play on Thursday nights and with the league favoring offenses, it shouldn't surprise that defenses take the biggest hit

If you are looking at line movement, the spread moved from 6 down to 4

YTD: 25-30 -8.65

Buffalo/Miami under 42.5 (-110) W
Cleveland -3 (-125) L
Green Bay -6 (-105) W
Seattle +1.5 (-110) L
Seattle/Kansas City under 42 (-110) L
New Orleans -7 (-110) L
Oakland +10.5 (-115) W
Arizona -2 (-110) W
Detroit/Arizona under 41 (-110) W
Denver/St. Louis over 49.5 (-110) L
Washington -6.5 (-115) L

Author:	Chus [ Wed Nov 12, 2014 10:21 pm ]
Post subject:	NFL Week 11
YTD: 25-30 -8.65 Buffalo/Miami under 42.5 (-110) W Cleveland -3 (-125) Green Bay -6 (-105) Seattle +1.5 (-110) Seattle/Kansas City under 42 (-110) New Orleans -7 (-110) Oakland +10.5 (-115) Arizona -2 (-110) Detroit/Arizona under 41 (-110) Denver/St. Louis over 49.5 (-110) Washington -6.5 (-115) Week 14: Bears -3 (-115) vs Dallas

Author:	good dolphin [ Thu Nov 13, 2014 11:57 am ]
Post subject:	Re: NFL Week 11
you have balls taking an under in a prime time game...overs have hit at something like 25-5

Author:	Chus [ Thu Nov 13, 2014 12:13 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: NFL Week 11
good dolphin wrote: you have balls taking an under in a prime time game...overs have hit at something like 25-5 Miami and Buffalo's recent history shows close, low scoring games. That means a lot more to me, than statistics from games from eight weeks ago, involving different teams. Four of the last five games between these two teams fell below tonight's total. The game that didn't, was 23-21. Both teams are banged up on offense. The total is falling, as it is down to 41. I will take being on the right side of a move any day of the week. It could be a head fake, to get a better number to pound later, but I will roll the dice.

Author:	good dolphin [ Thu Nov 13, 2014 4:12 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: NFL Week 11
Chus wrote: good dolphin wrote: you have balls taking an under in a prime time game...overs have hit at something like 25-5 Miami and Buffalo's recent history shows close, low scoring games. That means a lot more to me, than statistics from games from eight weeks ago, involving different teams. Four of the last five games between these two teams fell below tonight's total. The game that didn't, was 23-21. Both teams are banged up on offense. The total is falling, as it is down to 41. I will take being on the right side of a move any day of the week. It could be a head fake, to get a better number to pound later, but I will roll the dice. rather than just a random statistic, I think there is something to the quality of play on Thursday nights and with the league favoring offenses, it shouldn't surprise that defenses take the biggest hit If you are looking at line movement, the spread moved from 6 down to 4

Author:	good dolphin [ Thu Nov 13, 2014 5:01 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: NFL Week 11
21-14 +11.2 Bills +4.5 1* L Browns -3 1* L Bears -3 1* W Eagles +6 3* L Cardinals -1 2* W Colts -3 2* L 2-4 -4.5 23-16 +6.7

Chicago Fanatics Message Board https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/

NFL Week 11 https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=129&t=90356	Page 1 of 1

Author:	Chus [ Thu Nov 13, 2014 5:29 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: NFL Week 11
good dolphin wrote: Chus wrote: good dolphin wrote: you have balls taking an under in a prime time game...overs have hit at something like 25-5 Miami and Buffalo's recent history shows close, low scoring games. That means a lot more to me, than statistics from games from eight weeks ago, involving different teams. Four of the last five games between these two teams fell below tonight's total. The game that didn't, was 23-21. Both teams are banged up on offense. The total is falling, as it is down to 41. I will take being on the right side of a move any day of the week. It could be a head fake, to get a better number to pound later, but I will roll the dice. rather than just a random statistic, I think there is something to the quality of play on Thursday nights and with the league favoring offenses, it shouldn't surprise that defenses take the biggest hit If you are looking at line movement, the spread moved from 6 down to 4 Taking the dog is probably the play, but I missed the 6, so I will just ride the under. I have a feeling the over is going to get pounded soon, so if you like the over, grab it now.

Author:	good dolphin [ Mon Nov 17, 2014 3:08 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: NFL Week 11
heavily considering that under for tonight

Author:	Chus [ Mon Nov 17, 2014 6:46 pm ]
Post subject:	Re: NFL Week 11
Chus wrote: YTD: 25-30 -8.65 Buffalo/Miami under 42.5 (-110) W Cleveland -3 (-125) L Green Bay -6 (-105) W Seattle +1.5 (-110) L Seattle/Kansas City under 42 (-110) L New Orleans -7 (-110) L Oakland +10.5 (-115) W Arizona -2 (-110) W Detroit/Arizona under 41 (-110) W Denver/St. Louis over 49.5 (-110) L Washington -6.5 (-115) L Tennessee +7.5 (-115) W 6-6 -0.80 YTD: 31-36 -9.45 Week 14: Bears -3 (-115) vs Dallas[/quote]

Page 1 of 1	All times are UTC - 6 hours [ DST ]
Powered by phpBB® Forum Software © phpBB Group https://www.phpbb.com/