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BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=24&t=78576
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Author:  Aggravated Sox Fan Bob [ Thu Apr 18, 2013 12:47 pm ]
Post subject:  BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Has Bernstein watched enough of OAF DUNN yet? Does our STATHEAD Danny still think STRIKEOUTS are not necessarily bad?????

Author:  Curious Hair [ Thu Apr 18, 2013 12:51 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

You and CGS both disappear for weeks, months, and then just carpet-bomb the whole board with THOUGHTS. At least you generally stick around to reply to the replies, though.

Author:  Aggravated Sox Fan Bob [ Thu Apr 18, 2013 1:22 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

I'll be back more frequently.

Carpet Bombing is FUN, though. The Sox give me endless material, but it is always the same!!!

Author:  rogers park bryan [ Thu Apr 18, 2013 1:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Curious Hair wrote:
You and CGS both disappear for weeks, months, and then just carpet-bomb the whole board with THOUGHTS. At least you generally stick around to reply to the replies, though.

I asked him to come back

Author:  Hatchetman [ Thu Apr 18, 2013 1:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

My dad's almost 90. He rambles on incoherently, but I don't complain. Gotta respect your elders.

Author:  jimmypasta [ Thu Apr 18, 2013 1:30 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Hatchetman wrote:
My dad's almost 90. He rambles on incoherently, but I don't complain. Gotta respect your elders.


Let me know when you start!

Author:  cluv8484 [ Thu Apr 18, 2013 1:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Image

Author:  good dolphin [ Fri Apr 19, 2013 9:41 am ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Aggravated Sox Fan Bob wrote:
Has Bernstein watched enough of OAF DUNN yet? Does our STATHEAD Danny still think STRIKEOUTS are not necessarily bad?????


I get what you are saying but would the .110 average be any better if they were all groundouts to the right side instead of strikeouts?

Author:  Aggravated Sox Fan Bob [ Sun Apr 21, 2013 8:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

I am sick and tired of watching all these MLB hitters STRIKE THE FUCK OUT.

The game is a FUCKING BORE!!!!!

Thank God Bernstein is fascinated by STATS.
He obviously watches little or no Baseball.

Bernstein is the goof who called Batting Average OLD SCHOOL. An OVERRATED Statistic.

Author:  Aggravated Sox Fan Bob [ Sun Apr 21, 2013 8:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Hatchetman wrote:
My dad's almost 90. He rambles on incoherently, but I don't complain. Gotta respect your elders.

What's Spieg's excuse when he talks Baseball? Kid keeping him awake at night?

Author:  Rod [ Sun Apr 21, 2013 9:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Aggravated Sox Fan Bob wrote:
I am sick and tired of watching all these MLB hitters STRIKE THE FUCK OUT.

The game is a FUCKING BORE!!!!!

Thank God Bernstein is fascinated by STATS.
He obviously watches little or no Baseball.

Bernstein is the goof who called Batting Average OLD SCHOOL. An OVERRATED Statistic.


Yeah, the strikeouts are definitely going to become a problem for the game, if they haven't already. I'm pretty sure fans don't want to pay grand whore prices just to watch highly paid players swing and miss. I would expect some type of adjustment to the strikezone in the near future.

Author:  Franky T [ Sun Apr 21, 2013 9:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

In the Cards/Philly game tonight, tie game with a runner on second and no outs. The Cards bunt the runner to third. Thus, giving up one of Danny's precious outs - no doubt he would be yelling about this decision. After a walk, Allen Craig hits a sharp ground ball to short which gets past Rollins and scores the run.

So the bunt moves the guy to 3rd which brings the infield in two steps which is JUST enough to sneak the hit by the SS. That's too complicated for the metrics to factor in, but it's real.

Of course the counter argument is that sacrificing reduces total run probability for the inning.

Baseball is a complex game with many nuances. It isn't as black and white as Danny wants the stats to make it. Terry (I think) understands this but just doesn't seem to care to enough to make an argument anymore.

Author:  Curious Hair [ Sun Apr 21, 2013 10:11 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Franky T wrote:
Danny's precious outs

Earl Weaver was the first person to call your 27 outs "precious." It suited his teams well. Of course, his teams' hitting were built for on-base percentage and home runs whereas the Cardinals are built for punch-and-judy stuff. On the pitching side, the Cardinals--at least under Dave Duncan--were built to induce grounders rather than strikeouts. You could argue both approaches are more volatile, as they require more moving parts and run the risk of more things going wrong.

Author:  Franky T [ Sun Apr 21, 2013 10:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Curious Hair wrote:
Franky T wrote:
Danny's precious outs

Earl Weaver was the first person to call your 27 outs "precious." It suited his teams well. Of course, his teams' hitting were built for on-base percentage and home runs whereas the Cardinals are built for punch-and-judy stuff. On the pitching side, the Cardinals--at least under Dave Duncan--were built to induce grounders rather than strikeouts. You could argue both approaches are more volatile, as they require more moving parts and run the risk of more things going wrong.


Saying the Cardinals are built for "punch-and-judy stuff" is simply wrong. But, whatever.

The point of my post wasn't to discuss the Cardinals offense, but to point out that simply regurgitating fangraphs statistics can't capture the essence of the game.

Author:  good dolphin [ Mon Apr 22, 2013 8:43 am ]
Post subject:  Re: BASEBALL STATHEAD BERNSTEIN

Franky T wrote:
In the Cards/Philly game tonight, tie game with a runner on second and no outs. The Cards bunt the runner to third. Thus, giving up one of Danny's precious outs - no doubt he would be yelling about this decision. After a walk, Allen Craig hits a sharp ground ball to short which gets past Rollins and scores the run.

So the bunt moves the guy to 3rd which brings the infield in two steps which is JUST enough to sneak the hit by the SS. That's too complicated for the metrics to factor in, but it's real.

Of course the counter argument is that sacrificing reduces total run probability for the inning.

Baseball is a complex game with many nuances. It isn't as black and white as Danny wants the stats to make it. Terry (I think) understands this but just doesn't seem to care to enough to make an argument anymore.


He and statheads recognize playing for one run situations.

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