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2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=24&t=98758		 Page 1 of 2
Author:  Reared on the Score [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:10 am ]
Post subject:  2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
You have been warned.
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/fantasy/dc/
Author:  Arlington Hts Archie [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Image

Image
Author:  redskingreg [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Heyward at 2.6? Have they seen his body?
Author:  Brick [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:24 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
White Sox closing the gap with the Cubs.
Author:  312player [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
White Sox closing the gap with the Cubs.





And you call Bernie a dreamer, :drunken:
Author:  billypootons [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
i thought the bit was dan reads pecota projections.. terry says " ya..... that sounds about right".... so without terry there is no one else who can fill that role and the bit will be bad!
Author:  good dolphin [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:31 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
If Arrietta pulls those kind of numbers, they will not be a 97 win team even with everyone hitting 30+ HR
Author:  Hayden Fry's Mustache [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
If you don't subscribe to Joe Sheehan's newsletter, do it. It's what smart baseball fans do. You will need it in order to follow along when Danny Boy reads it word for word on the air.
Author:  rogers park bryan [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:36 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
good dolphin wrote:
If Arrietta pulls those kind of numbers, they will not be a 97 win team even with everyone hitting 30+ HR

What numbers?

Im not seeing the breakdowns by player


Odds are against any team winning 97 two years in a row
Author:  redskingreg [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:43 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
KC in dead last at 76-86 :scratch:
Author:  rogers park bryan [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
redskingreg wrote:
KC in dead last at 76-86 :scratch:

Guess it was all Cueto and Zobrist.
Author:  Arlington Hts Archie [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:52 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
PECOTA is notoriously pessimistic in their projections.
Author:  Arlington Hts Archie [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:55 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Image

Image
Author:  Brick [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 11:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
:lol: Abreu > Rizzo
Author:  sjboyd0137 [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
The annual PECOTA show?

Keep it.

I'd rather listen to 5 hours of CTE talk...
Author:  Hatchetman [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:09 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
sjboyd0137 wrote:
I'd rather listen to 5 hours of CTE talk...


CTE patients would be better at predicting baseball records.
Author:  good dolphin [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
It's perfectly logical that Hammel and Hendricks will be better than Rodon
Author:  Rod [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
WHY. IS. DAVID. ROSS. ON THIS TEAM? If they got rid of him they would be the perfect team. Everybody at least a replacement player.
Author:  badrogue17 [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Hatchetman wrote:
sjboyd0137 wrote:
I'd rather listen to 5 hours of CTE talk...


CTE patients would be better at predicting baseball records.

:lol: :lol:
Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:56 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
redskingreg wrote:
KC in dead last at 76-86 :scratch:

Last year they had them at 72-90 4th place :?:
Author:  redskingreg [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Walt Williams Neck wrote:
redskingreg wrote:
KC in dead last at 76-86 :scratch:

Last year they had them at 72-90 4th place :?:


It's like Hub and the Chiefs. One of these years, they will be right.
Author:  rogers park bryan [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 12:58 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
good dolphin wrote:
It's perfectly logical that Hammel and Hendricks will be better than Rodon

Different leagues.
Author:  Walt Williams Neck [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 1:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Also surprised that with all the acquisitions that Theo made they have them winning 5 less games than last year :shock:
Author:  Regular Reader [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 1:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Adam Eaton with a higher WAR than Heyward?

Heyward & his new millions with a substantially lower WAR than his second year teammate without a position (to hear some tell it)? To think some wanted to ridicule USA Today for their equally pie in the sky rankings.

Theo must be slipping.
Author:  Arlington Hts Archie [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 1:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Regular Reader wrote:
Adam Eaton with a higher WAR than Heyward?

Heyward & his new millions with a substantially lower WAR than his second year teammate without a position (to hear some tell it)? To think some wanted to ridicule USA Today for their equally pie in the sky rankings.

Theo must be slipping.

i have no idea what is included in prospectus WARP figure. i'm not sure bernstein know either.

educated guess, but i believe it's calculated strictly off stick production.

if the warp considered baserunning and fielding i imagine the number would favor heyward. probably the same with rizzo vs abreu.
Author:  Hatchetman [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 1:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
They probably don't think Heyward will be a ++ defender in CF like he is in RF.
Author:  Regular Reader [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 1:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Hatchetman wrote:
They probably don't think Heyward will be a ++ defender in CF like he is in RF.


But I'd be hard pressed to prefer Eaton at the plate or in the field over Heyward.
Author:  Hatchetman [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 1:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Eaton's offensive numbers have been better the past two years. PECOTA is just based off historic numbers.
Author:  Rod [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 1:36 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
Regular Reader wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
They probably don't think Heyward will be a ++ defender in CF like he is in RF.


But I'd be hard pressed to prefer Eaton at the plate or in the field over Heyward.


Eaton has been a better hitter than Heyward so far. People expect more of Heyward. Not sure that will happen.
Author:  Beardown [ Tue Feb 16, 2016 1:37 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: 2/16 - Dan reads PECOTA standings projections
PECOTA chrages. I'll never understand how it's legal for B&B or anybody else to give it away for free.

Granted, I'm sure you could also steal it off the internet as well. I steal handicapping publications off the internet (So I'm a thief too) But with that you don't know who's providing it. With B&B it's clear they are the ones giving something of value away for free and thus costing the PECOTA people.

I guess the reverse argument is B&B are giving them a free advertisement. But so what if they're giving you the info.
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