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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 9:07 am 
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Northside_Dan wrote:
Obviously that doesn't take into account if the pitcher misses his spot and the batter turns on the ball.


And that right there is pretty much the game of baseball, who wins and who loses.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 9:08 am 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
There's not a definitive answer either way.

What is definitive is that Aaron Rogers molests pot-bellied pigs.


:lol: Now that I can agree with.

I don't think there is a definite answer either way. That is why it amuses me to see some being so cut and dry and saying this is the only answer "period".

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 9:12 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
What would you guys say if I argued that Jake Peavy was one of the 15 greatest pitchers of all time? Anyone disagree?


It would not change my opinion of you at all.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:30 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I have a simple question.

When a pitcher goes out to the mound for each inning is his ultimate goal to:
1) Stop all 3 batters from reaching base.
2) Strike out two of them.
I don't think anyone answered this question.
Just like other lame posters on this board, I am going to bump my own comments until others respond to them!

His goal should be to strike out all three and remove any chance they reach base. Failing that, the goal should be to not give up any hard hit balls.


Your loaded question trying to devalued gamescore makes no sense.



If people think that Buehrles pitch that Wise caught over the fence was a better pitch than Woods slow roller to third for a hit, I can't help them. That's just crazy.


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:32 am 
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Did this thread just lose some posts?

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:35 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
His goal should be to strike out all three and remove any chance they reach base.
Drop 3rd strike, still a chance for guys to reach base.



If people think that the game in which Kerry Wood gave up a hit and hit batter is better than a game in which a pitcher retired all 27 batters he faced, I can't help them. That's just crazy.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:40 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
His goal should be to strike out all three and remove any chance they reach base. Failing that, the goal should be to not give up any hard hit balls.
That seems to be an answer for #1.
rogers park bryan wrote:
Your loaded question trying to devalued gamescore makes no sense.
The question makes perfect sense. "The Greatest Game Ever Pitched" is because Kerry Wood averaged a little over 2 strikeouts an inning.
rogers park bryan wrote:
If people think that Buehrles pitch that Wise caught over the fence was a better pitch than Woods slow roller to third for a hit, I can't help them. That's just crazy.
The BABIP is about .300 for either.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:42 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It simply can't be that a strikeout is neutral on the batter side and preferable on the pitcher side. It doesn't make any sense.

Its absolutely that way and the explanation is ultra simple

One has a major correlation with future performance, one does not.

These stats are gauged towards future performance, not judging the past.


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:45 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
His goal should be to strike out all three and remove any chance they reach base.
Drop 3rd strike, still a chance for guys to reach base.



If people think that the game in which Kerry Wood gave up a hit and hit batter is better than a game in which a pitcher retired all 27 batters he faced, I can't help them. That's just crazy.

Right and a guy could hit a homerun and collapse and die rounding first. That would also be an out.


Just say you think probability is a bunch of garbage you do.t believe in.


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:48 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Just say you think probability is a bunch of garbage you do.t believe in.
:lol: :lol: But its not. It's only garbage when it proves you wrong;

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:50 am 
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BRick wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
If people think that Buehrles pitch that Wise caught over the fence was a better pitch than Woods ]The BABIP is about .300 for either

100% false and a great example of not looking deep enough into the numbers. Balls in play are classified. Hard hit balls have a way higher BAPIP.


You guys don't like the deep Sabr stats. I do.

Its ok, either way


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:54 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Just say you think probability is a bunch of garbage you do.t believe in.
:lol: :lol: But its not. It's only garbage when it proves you wrong

No, its never garbage in my opinion. You clearly dont understand or choose to ignore probability.


You're not doing your side any favors by hanging your hat on drop third strike possibility devaluing strikeouts




Your pretty much just trolling now in favor of the sox. Im comfortable with your ignorance though and I shant respond to such non sense.


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:57 am 
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Douchebag wrote:
Did this thread just lose some posts?

Nevermind, I forgot this argument has now moved into it's 8th thread.

This argument is just becoming silly. No one is going to cede any ground. Frank would argue that Ivan Calderon had a better death than Kevin Foster.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 10:59 am 
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Douchebag wrote:
Douchebag wrote:
Did this thread just lose some posts?

Nevermind, I forgot this argument has now moved into it's 8th thread.

This argument is just becoming silly. No one is going to cede any ground. Frank would argue that Ivan Calderon had a better death than Kevin Foster.

I'mma let you finish....but Jeremi Gonzalez had the best death of all time.....OF ALL TIME!!!!

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:05 am 
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It is hard to top that.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:05 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
You're not doing your side any favors by hanging your hat on drop third strike possibility devaluing strikeouts
You clearly don't understand or are choosing to ignore my point.

You said strikeouts "remove any chance that they (the batters) reach base"
I said that there is drop 3rd strike and there is still a chance they reach base.

My point was that a guy can still reach base if he strikes out. I even posted a picture of a very famous example of this. I never attempted to devalue a strikeout or any other out. I just said that guys can still reach base, and you couldn't understand that, said that I'm trolling and that you will not repsond to such nonsense.

What is nonsense is trying to play off the drop 3rd strike example by comparing it to a guy who drops dead during a HR trot.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:08 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
His goal should be to strike out all three and remove any chance they reach base.


That's ridiculous. It's like saying your goal should be trading a contract for a $7 billion dollar profit today. Goals should never be impossible.

A pitcher's goal is to allow less runs than the pitcher(s) he is facing in a given game. Very simple.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:09 am 
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This discussion is about pitching. Not home runs or sacrifice flies.

If you don't think it is harder to get 3 outs by striking out all three batters vs. getting them to ground out, fly out, or even strike out...you never pitched before.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:13 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It simply can't be that a strikeout is neutral on the batter side and preferable on the pitcher side. It doesn't make any sense.

Its absolutely that way and the explanation is ultra simple

One has a major correlation with future performance, one does not.

These stats are gauged towards future performance, not judging the past.


That's claptrap, Bryan. Every time Dunn strikes out he takes away the approximately 30% chance that he would have gotten a hit had he put the ball in play. I understand the value of Dunn. He walks far more than most and an inordinate amount of his hits go over the fence. But that doesn't change the fact that a batted ball is preferable to a strikeout for a hitter.

The same thing works in reverse. It's preferable for Wood to strike a batter out than it is for Buehrle to allow a ground ball. At least in a vacuum. Over the course of a game there are other considerations, like pitch counts, etc.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:14 am 
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doug - evergreen park wrote:
This discussion is about pitching. Not home runs or sacrifice flies.

If you don't think it is harder to get 3 outs by striking out all three batters vs. getting them to ground out, fly out, or even strike out...you never pitched before.


If that's the case, isn't it better to take the easier route?

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:38 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
doug - evergreen park wrote:
This discussion is about pitching. Not home runs or sacrifice flies.

If you don't think it is harder to get 3 outs by striking out all three batters vs. getting them to ground out, fly out, or even strike out...you never pitched before.


If that's the case, isn't it better to take the easier route?


I'm glad you agree that its more difficult.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:44 am 
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doug - evergreen park wrote:
If you don't think it is harder to get 3 outs by striking out all three batters vs. getting them to ground out, fly out, or even strike out...you never pitched before.
What does striking out 3 batters have to do with anything? Of course striking out 3 batters is more difficult. If someone did that, they'd be better than someone who got 3 normal outs.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:44 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
His goal should be to strike out all three and remove any chance they reach base.


That's ridiculous. It's like saying your goal should be trading a contract for a $7 billion dollar profit today. Goals should never be impossible.

A pitcher's goal is to allow less runs than the pitcher(s) he is facing in a given game. Very simple.

I disagree with your assessment, sir

My goal at work is to make 0 errors. Its hard but I've had some perfect years in that respect. Its daunting and rare but it is still the goal


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:45 am 
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Frank, look up what pct of strikeouts reach base.


Its like people arguing batter strikeout are bad because "If you put the ball in play; anything can happen."

The % is so minimal it doesn't make a difference


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:49 am 
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Once again you are missing my point. I don't care how small the % is, its still possible. You said, and I quote, remove all chance they reach base. That is false.


You seem to think that I am the one posting nonsense, and you compared a drop 3rd strike to a guy dropping dead after hitting a home run.
laugh out loud!

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:50 am 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
It simply can't be that a strikeout is neutral on the batter side and preferable on the pitcher side. It doesn't make any sense.

Its absolutely that way and the explanation is ultra simple

One has a major correlation with future performance, one does not.

These stats are gauged towards future performance, not judging the past.


That's claptrap, Bryan. Every time Dunn strikes out he takes away the approximately 30% chance that he would have gotten a hit had he put the ball in play. I understand the value of Dunn. He walks far more than most and an inordinate amount of his hits go over the fence. But that doesn't change the fact that a batted ball is preferable to a strikeout for a hitter.

The same thing works in reverse. It's preferable for Wood to strike a batter out than it is for Buehrle to allow a ground ball. At least in a vacuum. Over the course of a game there are other considerations, like pitch counts, etc.

I just answered this to Frank. The numbers don't support it. The number of times an error is made is not enough to trade power fir cintact


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:51 am 
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The achievement of striking out 20+ is a more difficult task....in my world and statistically.
The stats prove that it is a rarer occurrence than a no hitter or perfect game.
Why is this so hard to understand?

Thankfully, only 12 days until NFL camp and we can put all this baseball nonsense to bed until late October.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 11:56 am 
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Frank wrote:
I don't care how small the % is

and therein lies the ignorance
/




[quote="Frank"]You said, and I quote, remove all chance they reach base. That is false [\quote]
So your point is when I said all, I should have said 99.9%?

Noted. Solid contrubution there


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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 12:04 pm 
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Roger, guys reach base on drop 3rd strike. It happens. You know it and I know it. A pitcher can strike out 27 guys on 81 pitches and he still needs help keeping those guys off the bases. Keep in mind here you are the one comparing a drop 3rd strike to a guy dropping dead in the middle of a HR trot. Solid contribution there. :lol:


I'm sorry you are twisted enough to believe that a guy who gave up a hit and had a hit batsman had a better game than a pitcher who went out there and retired all 27 batters who came to the plate that day.

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PostPosted: Fri Jul 13, 2012 12:09 pm 
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Assuming none of us played in college, who here in this discussion pitched varsity in high school?

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