Kirkwood wrote:
play on volatility.
the allure of "new" and upside is intoxicating to losing bettors. 100+ years of baseball indicates rookies rarely step in and dominate. let alone a team depending on multiple rookies. the under is the play.
yep. this guy's prolly a shill for the books. Quick analysis of the Cubs schedule and they'll have enough trouble treading water vs last year's
record than besting it by 10 wins.
Quote:
Cubs were 33-43 in the division in 2014. any ground they make up there, 38-38?, goes out the window in inter-league play this season.
Cubs caught the AL East in an historically down year for the AL East; still only managing a 9-11 record against the AL East in the depths of their doldrums.
Cubs have to take on a rejuvenated AL Central this season in inter-league play. Tigers, AL 2014 World Series reps Royals, White Sox ('course) and the Terry "po'd at theo" Francona led Indians.
AL traditionally thumps the NL 2 to 1 win/loss ratio in inter-league play; expect the Cubs 2015 inter-league record to follow that template.
Cubs went 73-89 overall. 42-54 in the division/inter-league combined. So 31-35 against the rest of the NL in 2014. Even if they pull up to .500/near .500 against the rest of th NL, that's only another 3-4 wins. Give em another win or two (at most) NET vs the division/inter-league combined and Cubs are looking at 77-79 wins--if Arrieta doesn't regress, Jay Lester doesn't get injured, Rondon doesn't get blown up etc, etc,etc.
Take the under.
And the Cubs are 82.5 at most books. White Sox at 81.5.