cpguy wrote:
Should they tear this bitch down?
Trade Dunn, trade Konerko??
Both have value and they desperately need young talent...
Konerko obviously would have to approve a trade to any team first, so that's going to be kind of an obstacle. I am not sure where he would want to go, but his home is out in Arizona, so I'm guessing that direction, if any, and probably would want to be on a team with a shot of winning another WS. He'd have to DH or play 1B, and those are spots which are generally already filled on WS potential teams. Plus he only is under contract for one more year, and most of that money is deferred anyhow, so it doesn't make a ton of sense for the Sox to move him. I don't think any team is going to be giving up a lot of young talent for a 37 year old slugger, especially one who has shown signs of tailing off this year... his OBP since August is barely 300. I think you let him play out this last year for the Sox and potentially retire... with the importance this guy has had to the franchise, I can't imagine the front office even asking him if he would be open to a trade.
Dunn you have under contract for two more years at 15M a piece. He will be 33 and maybe will bat .200. This year really only looks good compared to the previous year with the exception of HRs. But the Cell is relatively HR friendly anyhow, so if he beats his previous totals by 2 or 3, I don't think that is going to make up for the 50 or so dropped points in OBP. I think this is a hard sell at 15M a year... you might be able to pick up some prospects for the guy, but I think you'd also need to pay some of the contract. Even then, he's a really unique player (almost the definition of a TTO guy) that a lot of GMs are going to pass on. And he can't play defense -- he's serviceable at first, but you can't play him regularly in the OF any longer. I don't see a lot of buyers here.
Rios has three years left... 12.5 M for the '13 and '14 seasons, and then a team option at 13.5 M with a 1 M buyout. Additionally, if they trade him, his salary is increased by 0.5M. His numbers this year have been great for him, especially compared to the previous year. He'll only be 32 next year, and you only have to pay him for a year after that, so you are in good shape there. I would guess this would come down to a decision that the '11 year was an aberration and you'd be getting numbers in line with this year. He can still play the corner OFs fairly well, and I don't think you'd see a huge backlash from the fanbase if they did move him. As an OF, I think you have more places that you could move him to, and could actually get a fair trade and reduce payroll.
I think you probably make A.J. an offer, but maybe won't end up resigning him. His power numbers are way up this year, but he's going to be 36 and he still has no arm throwing to 2nd. Youkilis is going to walk -- this isn't the team to give him 13M. I still think his acquisition was the best GM move of the year across MLB.... you got him for nothing and he replaced an obvious, glaring hole in your lineup. I still don't know what they are going to do next year at 3B, but I'd be surprised if Youk was the answer there. All of your other starters are young enough that they make no money, so you keep them all.... of course, you'd be open to trades for these guys, but you're not really going to get anything for them.
Pitching wise, you have to take the buyout on Peavy for 4M as opposed to giving him 22M. Danks is going to cost you 14.2M over the next four years. I don't think you can move him during the injury year, but maybe if he comes back with a good '13 campaign, you look at doing it then. He's only 28 next year, so he should be a moveable piece. Floyd has a 9.5M option... I don't really want to sign that one... he might be the definition of an average starting pitcher. I think that the Sox do have a lot of legitimate young pitching talent. Sale is probably untouchable, but I'd listen to offers for the other guys. Again, most of them cost you nothing so there's no urgency to move them, but I wouldn't turn down having a conversation about it.