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Official 2015 Win Total Prediction
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Author:  good dolphin [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 8:13 am ]
Post subject:  Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

83

I cannot trust the back end of the rotation. Samardzija and Quintana are good pitchers but they have never stepped up to win games for their teams. I'm not completely sold on the bullpen and I'm concerned with Robertson's injury. This could end up being a very good offense but there are too many guys who traditionally start their year slowly. 10 wins is a big jump in win totals from year to year and I think it is being too optimistic to expect more.

Abreu will lead the league in batting average. Michah Johnson will push for ROY.

Author:  Juiced [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 9:19 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

76 Wins. Not sold on Robertson. Samardzija sucks and having a bad defense will hurt Rodon's W/L record. Rodon will push for ROY, not M.J. Will this be the year Sale breaks?

Author:  SomeGuy [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 9:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

89

Book it.

Author:  IMU [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 9:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

84.

Abreu will have another good year, but not as good as last.
Quintana and Samardzija will regress a bit.
Avisail will do better.
Eaton will be about the same.
Sale will make almost 30 starts.
Laroche and Melky will hit a decent amount of home runs.

Author:  conns7901 [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 9:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

78

Author:  Rod [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 9:30 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

I don't think you can get away with Johnson at second in today's low scoring game. I expect him to be playing center in AAA at some point this season. Maybe Sanchez has won the second base job already.

Author:  rogers park bryan [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 9:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

94

Everything comes together

Author:  Frank Coztansa [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 10:05 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I don't think you can get away with Johnson at second in today's low scoring game.
Sure you can. If Johnson ends up being an issue on offense, its because other guys are not producing.

I completely understand dolphin's 83, same as I can RPB's 94.

I am going to say 87 wins. The bullpen and defense are vastly improved. Those two areas alone probably cost the Sox at least 10-12 wins last year. Whether that 87 is good for the WC/Division obviously remains to be seen.

Author:  Rod [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 10:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

Frank Coztansa wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I don't think you can get away with Johnson at second in today's low scoring game.
Sure you can. If Johnson ends up being an issue on offense, its because other guys are not producing.


I don't think there are any issues with Johnson's offense. He can slap it and is fast enough to get on at a high rate. He just can't play a reasonable second base.

Author:  Brick [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 10:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

Before last year, I said how 87 wins or a playoff appearance were needed in 2015.

So, I'll go with 87.

Author:  Kirkwood [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 10:24 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

96 wins.

rozner picked them to go to the alcs. rozner is never wrong.

Author:  America [ Thu Apr 02, 2015 11:05 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

87. The AL Central is a gauntlet this year, Cleveland will be a problem.

I'm more worried about Micah's defense than offense. Sanchez is a very good 2B.

Author:  bigfan [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 7:09 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

good dolphin wrote:
83

I cannot trust the back end of the rotation. Samardzija and Quintana are good pitchers but they have never stepped up to win games for their teams. I'm not completely sold on the bullpen and I'm concerned with Robertson's injury. This could end up being a very good offense but there are too many guys who traditionally start their year slowly. 10 wins is a big jump in win totals from year to year and I think it is being too optimistic to expect more.

Abreu will lead the league in batting average. Michah Johnson will push for ROY.


Many, if not all of the computer model projections have the Sox at 77 wins. If that does happen...BY ANY MEANS....its a slap in the face of the Sox organization.

2 wagering aspects of this.
- Predction Machine actually has that 77 W prediction as the strongest win totals in MLB
- If I had to wager, I would say Over 77 WINS, but I am not

Author:  jimmypasta [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 7:52 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

Image

Author:  SomeGuy [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 8:47 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

jimmypasta wrote:
Image


2005

Author:  Apologist [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 10:20 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

83.

No team in the ALC will win or lose or more than 86 games.

Author:  Hatchetman [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 10:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

Computers don't account for past injuries. 83 wins

Author:  America [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 10:58 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

Apologist wrote:
83.

No team in the ALC will win or lose or more than 86 games.

The Twins will be a doormat this season. Or at least should, I never really count them out.

Author:  Apologist [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 11:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

I actually forgot about them. :oops: I meant the 4 presumed contenders.

Author:  Gloopan Kuratz [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 1:50 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

90

Author:  bigfan [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 2:29 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

Hatchetman wrote:
Computers don't account for past injuries. 83 wins

Actually, they do.

Author:  Hatchetman [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 4:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

bigfan wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
Computers don't account for past injuries. 83 wins

Actually, they do.


Do explain! How many WAR is a sore back worth?

Author:  Regular Reader [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 4:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

88 wins. Verlander will lead the older Tigers straight to the trainer's table with him, KC will fall to 76 wins, Cleveland is a mirage and the Twins will blow.

Make that 90 wins.

Author:  Apologist [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 7:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

bigfan wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
Computers don't account for past injuries. 83 wins

Actually, they do.

These must be the same computers that are telling you that Kris Bryant is more valuable than Babe Ruth.

Author:  newper [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 7:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

good dolphin wrote:
83

hehe... sack machine.

Lets go for 88.

Author:  Scooter [ Fri Apr 03, 2015 10:17 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

161-1

Author:  Kirkwood [ Fri Oct 02, 2015 8:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

Kirkwood wrote:
96 wins.

rozner picked them to go to the alcs. rozner is never wrong.

yikes.

i drank the kool-aid. never again.

Author:  Brick [ Fri Oct 02, 2015 8:39 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Before last year, I said how 87 wins or a playoff appearance were needed in 2015.

So, I'll go with 87.
So close.

Author:  IMU [ Fri Oct 02, 2015 9:05 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

IMU wrote:
84.

Abreu will have another good year, but not as good as last.
Quintana and Samardzija will regress a bit.
Avisail will do better.
Eaton will be about the same.
Sale will make almost 30 starts.
Laroche and Melky will hit a decent amount of home runs.

Sorry Sox fans :(

I was right about Abreu, Samardzija and Eaton. Close on Sale.

I was wrong about Avisail, LaRoche, Melky.

Author:  BD [ Fri Oct 02, 2015 10:11 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Official 2015 Win Total Prediction

IMU wrote:
IMU wrote:
84.

Abreu will have another good year, but not as good as last.
Quintana and Samardzija will regress a bit.
Avisail will do better.
Eaton will be about the same.
Sale will make almost 30 starts.
Laroche and Melky will hit a decent amount of home runs.

Sorry Sox fans :(

I was right about Abreu, Samardzija and Eaton. Close on Sale.

I was wrong about Avisail, LaRoche, Melky.


Eaton has had a strong year after a bad start. I think I saw he has a .359 OBP and a .285 average.

Quintana turned out to have a better ERA than Sale.

This time has so many holes though, there's no way they are going to be able to fill most of these without creating new ones (like moving Quintana).

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