From Peter Vescey's Column:
Instead of mucking up a mock draft, Jim Clibanoff, President of ClibHoops, a scouting service subscribed to by most NBA teams, has provided his insights on the Top 20 prospects. He has watched each of these players multiple times throughout their careers.
1 - Kevin Durant, F, Texas: Imminent greatness on near horizon. Lack of strength and under-developed physique is irrelevant. Unmatched offensive firepower by a player with his dimensions. Edges Greg Oden in our forecast by nose hair.
2 - Greg Oden, C, Ohio State: In a league where there are precious few pure, dominating centers, he should establish himself quickly as top defensive presence from moment he suits up. How well offense progresses will dictate what type of legacy he creates.
3 - Al Horford, F, Florida: One of most NBA-ready draftees. Figures to put superior product on the tarmac nightly. Will not back up or back down. Emerging skills make him even more appealing. A Buck Williams-Brian Grant combo?
4 - Yi Jianlian, F, China: Flaunts remarkable package - size, strength, skill, agility, versatility, liveliness. Has thrived in Chinese pro ranks and international comp. Remains to be seen how readily he will adapt to NBA game.
5 - Jeff Green, F, Georgetown: Well-rounded talent. Will fit into any setting from Jump Street. Playing in John Thompson III's Princeton-style system has tacked on 30-40 points to hoops IQ. Unlikely to become all-NBA, but perfect to complement such a type.
6 - Julian Wright, F, Kansas: Superb resourcefulness and small forward aptitude. Lack of gaudy numbers shows grasp of "team" over "individual" Shades of Boris Diaw. Lack of 3-point shot (3-16 with Jayhawks) and poor free throw accuracy (59 percent) are concern.
7 - Corey Brewer, G, Florida: Despite a H.S. junior's body, he has confirmed he knows how to "play light." Can line up at multiple positions offensively and defensively. Like Horford and Joakim Noah, would've put up much bigger numbers with other than Gators.
8 - Spencer Hawes, C, Washington: Huskies frosh may be most fundamentally sound big. Game should prosper as he adds bulk. That said, minimal minutes temper evaluator enthusiasm. Team that drafts him will need patience and long-term plan.
9 - Jason Smith, F, Colorado State: Portable talent makes him serviceable at all frontcourt slots. Similar to Keith Van Horn (19.3 points, 7.7 boards first four years). Could also end up similar to Van Horn, who was oft-maligned at end of career.
10 - Brandan Wright, F, North Carolina: Excellent package of nimbleness, speed and finesse. Still, 6-foot-9, 205-pound frame needs to enlarge. Fine upside, but "bustability" factor exists.
11 - Acie Law, G, Texas A&M: Four years with Aggies a major plus. Most ready to orchestrate pro outfit, no disrespect to Mike Conley.
12 - Joakim Noah, F/C, Florida: Though we have him lower than most, we feel he could emerge as a star role player, especially for playoff caliber team. Admire passion and energy, but does he have skills to be immediate starter?
13 - Rudy Fernandez, G, Spain: Athletic, in need of strength. Plays like Brent Barry. Double-digit scorer in Spanish League - one of world's best outside NBA - since he was 18. Contrast his overseas success with many other young internationals yet to have accomplished much at high European level.
14 - Glen Davis, F, LSU: Best viewed outside proverbial box. Instead of discounting him for what he's not (svelte, bouncy, fast), a creative coaching staff should embrace him for individuality and find ways to optimize assets.
15 - Josh McRoberts, F, Duke: Great passing acumen automatically makes him appealing to one and all. A great complementary piece rather than a true star.
16 - Rodney Stuckey, G, Eastern Washington: Some combo-backcourt prospects struggle to master either position. Well-built 6-4, 205-pounder appears adept enough to hold down both. Most project sophomore as second rounder.
17 - Morris Almond, G/F, Rice: Did virtually nothing first two years with Owls. One of country's foremost scorers from 2005-07. Not a great athlete who hangs out above rim, but smart, efficient and fills it up from all over the floor.
18 - Javaris Crittenton, G, Georgia Tech: Big point is largely undeveloped, but Yellow Jackets frosh showed pile of promise.
19 - Dominic McGuire, F, Fresno State: Arguably draft's paramount leapin' gnome. Yet to harness athleticism, but consider 6-8 forward's two triple-doubles this season at Fresno, one with points, rebounds and blocks, the other points, rebounds and assists.
20 - Mike Conley, G, Ohio State: Player who benefited most from NCAA Tourney play. Projected as good pro. Lack of experience is minor worry. Shot needs upgrade.
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