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Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams
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Author:  conns7901 [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:11 am ]
Post subject:  Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

I'll say best player on a conference finalist it was a great pick.

Best player on a second round team means he is not a bust.

If he tops out at Best player on a lottery team, ala Zach Lavine = bust.

Author:  Liberal Lion [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:13 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

conns7901 wrote:
I'll say best player on a conference finalist it was a great pick.

Best player on a second round team means he is not a bust.

If he tops out at Best player on a lottery team, ala Zach Lavine = bust.


By What year does he need to accomplish all of this?

Using this particular rationale you're saying that guys like Trae Young are currently busts then. I hope you realize this.

Author:  FavreFan [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:16 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:

Author:  Brick [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:16 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Not 1, Not 2, Not 3...

Author:  FavreFan [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:16 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

If he turns into an above average starter than he's not a bust. It's pretty much that simple.

Author:  conns7901 [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.

Author:  RFDC [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

FavreFan wrote:
If he turns into an above average starter than he's not a bust. It's pretty much that simple.

Yep. He does not need to be the best player on any team.

Author:  conns7901 [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:21 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Liberal Lion wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
I'll say best player on a conference finalist it was a great pick.

Best player on a second round team means he is not a bust.

If he tops out at Best player on a lottery team, ala Zach Lavine = bust.


By What year does he need to accomplish all of this?

Using this particular rationale you're saying that guys like Trae Young are currently busts then. I hope you realize this.


Before second contract is over.

Author:  RFDC [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.

:lol: you are just trying to set things up so you can be proven right down the road

Author:  Liberal Lion [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:22 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.


So as it stands now Trae Young and Lonzo are busts in your opinion?

Author:  conns7901 [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:24 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Liberal Lion wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.


So as it stands now Trae Young and Lonzo are busts in your opinion?


Are there second contracts done?

Author:  conns7901 [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:25 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

RFDC wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.

:lol: you are just trying to set things up so you can be proven right down the road


And you are being as vague as possible.

Author:  FavreFan [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.

That's not true. I don't think you have a good understanding of expectations for NBA players drafted #4 overall, especially in what is universally regarded as a weak draft. Let's look at the last 30 years

Number 4

Year Player School/Country – Team

2019 De’Andre Hunter – Atlanta Hawks
2018 Jaren Jackson Jr., Michigan State – Memphis Grizzlies
2017 Josh Jackson, Kansas – Phoenix Suns
2016 Dragan Bender, Israel – Phoenix Suns
2015 Kristaps Porzingis, Baloncesta Sevilla – New York Knicks
2014 Aaron Gordon, Arizona – Orlando Magic
2013 Cody Zeller, Indiana – Charlotte Bobcats
2012 Dion Waiters, Syracuse – Cleveland Cavaliers
2011 Tristan Thompson, Texas – Cleveland Cavaliers
2010 Wesley Johnson, Syracuse – Minnesota Timberwolves

2000’s

2009 Tyreke Evans, Memphis – Sacramento Kings
2008 Russell Westbrook, UCLA – Seattle Supersonics
2007 Mike Conley Jr, Ohio State – Memphis Grizzlies
2006 Tyrus Thomas, Louisiana State – Portland Trail Blazers
2005 Chris Paul, Wake Forest – New Orleans Hornets
2004 Shaun Livingston, Peoria HS (IL) – L.A. Clippers
2003 Chris Bosh, Georgia Tech – Toronto Raptors
2002 Drew Gooden, Kansas – Memphis Grizzlies
2001 Eddy Curry, Thornwood HS (IL) – Chicago Bulls
2000 Marcus Fizer, Iowa State – Chicago Bulls

1990’s

1999 Lamar Odom, Rhode Island – L.A. Clippers
1998 Antawn Jamison, North Carolina – Toronto Raptors
1997 Antonio Daniels, Bowling Green – Vancouver Grizzlies
1996 Stephon Marbury, Georgia Tech – Milwaukee Bucks
1995 Rasheed Wallace, North Carolina – Washington Bullets
1994 Donyell Marshall, Connecticut – Minnesota Timberwolves
1993 Jamal Mashburn, Kentucky – Dallas Mavericks
1992 Jim Jackson, Ohio State – Dallas Mavericks
1991 Dikembe Mutombo, Georgetown – Denver Nuggets
1990 Dennis Scott, Georgia Tech – Orlando Magic


By your definition, guys like Mike Conley and Porzingis are busts. That's ridiculous.

Author:  Liberal Lion [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

conns7901 wrote:
Liberal Lion wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.


So as it stands now Trae Young and Lonzo are busts in your opinion?


Are there second contracts done?


Neither will be the best player on a playoff team. Lonzo will be fighting to stay in the league in 2 years. Just like i thought initially.

Author:  Douchebag [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

6 rings or bust

Author:  FavreFan [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:27 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

conns7901 wrote:
RFDC wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.

:lol: you are just trying to set things up so you can be proven right down the road


And you are being as vague as possible.

RFDC is right. You're setting expectations that don't align with reality so that you can say he's a bust even if it's clear he became a good player.

Author:  conns7901 [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:30 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

FavreFan wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
RFDC wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.

:lol: you are just trying to set things up so you can be proven right down the road


And you are being as vague as possible.

RFDC is right. You're setting expectations that don't align with reality so that you can say he's a bust even if it's clear he became a good player.


Define good player.

Author:  FavreFan [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:33 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
RFDC wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.

:lol: you are just trying to set things up so you can be proven right down the road


And you are being as vague as possible.

RFDC is right. You're setting expectations that don't align with reality so that you can say he's a bust even if it's clear he became a good player.


Define good player.

I already did. My 2nd post in this thread.

Author:  Caller Bob [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Pete Myers

Author:  Crick Ramp [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:37 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

FavreFan wrote:
conns7901 wrote:
FavreFan wrote:
If he becomes the best player on any team he's not a bust :lol:


If you are the 4th pick in the draft and can't lead a team to the playoffs at some point you are a bust.

That's not true. I don't think you have a good understanding of expectations for NBA players drafted #4 overall, especially in what is universally regarded as a weak draft. Let's look at the last 30 years

Number 4

Year Player School/Country – Team

2019 De’Andre Hunter – Atlanta Hawks
2018 Jaren Jackson Jr., Michigan State – Memphis Grizzlies
2017 Josh Jackson, Kansas – Phoenix Suns
2016 Dragan Bender, Israel – Phoenix Suns
2015 Kristaps Porzingis, Baloncesta Sevilla – New York Knicks
2014 Aaron Gordon, Arizona – Orlando Magic
2013 Cody Zeller, Indiana – Charlotte Bobcats
2012 Dion Waiters, Syracuse – Cleveland Cavaliers
2011 Tristan Thompson, Texas – Cleveland Cavaliers
2010 Wesley Johnson, Syracuse – Minnesota Timberwolves

2000’s

2009 Tyreke Evans, Memphis – Sacramento Kings
2008 Russell Westbrook, UCLA – Seattle Supersonics
2007 Mike Conley Jr, Ohio State – Memphis Grizzlies
2006 Tyrus Thomas, Louisiana State – Portland Trail Blazers
2005 Chris Paul, Wake Forest – New Orleans Hornets
2004 Shaun Livingston, Peoria HS (IL) – L.A. Clippers
2003 Chris Bosh, Georgia Tech – Toronto Raptors
2002 Drew Gooden, Kansas – Memphis Grizzlies
2001 Eddy Curry, Thornwood HS (IL) – Chicago Bulls
2000 Marcus Fizer, Iowa State – Chicago Bulls

1990’s

1999 Lamar Odom, Rhode Island – L.A. Clippers
1998 Antawn Jamison, North Carolina – Toronto Raptors
1997 Antonio Daniels, Bowling Green – Vancouver Grizzlies
1996 Stephon Marbury, Georgia Tech – Milwaukee Bucks
1995 Rasheed Wallace, North Carolina – Washington Bullets
1994 Donyell Marshall, Connecticut – Minnesota Timberwolves
1993 Jamal Mashburn, Kentucky – Dallas Mavericks
1992 Jim Jackson, Ohio State – Dallas Mavericks
1991 Dikembe Mutombo, Georgetown – Denver Nuggets
1990 Dennis Scott, Georgia Tech – Orlando Magic


By your definition, guys like Mike Conley and Porzingis are busts. That's ridiculous.

Interesting.

Author:  Chet Coppock's Fur Coat [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:50 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Of those 30 players, if Williams hits the top 12 by the end of his second contract, it was a very good pick.

Author:  Jbi11s [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 11:54 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

I enjoy a good hypothetical argument.

I’m with you Conns!!!

Author:  Brick [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 12:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

All I know is that the Bulls tanked for Patrick Williams so he better be really good.

Author:  Liberal Lion [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 12:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Brick wrote:
All I know is that the Bulls tanked for Patrick Williams so he better be really good.


He is. His floor his Kawhi.

Author:  Caller Bob [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 12:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Brick wrote:
All I know is that the Bulls tanked for Patrick Williams so he better be really good.

Image

Author:  Nardi [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 12:35 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

The 4th pick in a weak draft is already a reach. AK did the right thing thing by rolling dice. Pax would taken the dime a dozen Israeli. Just as he took the dime a dozen Carter over Porter. No one wins with dimes.

People laugh at Detroit and Charlotte. I applaud them. For fucksake, they are Detroit and Charlotte. How else can they compete in this environment of great players bunching up and choosing their own teams?

The Chicagos and the Charlottes and the Detroits HAVE to roll the dice.

Author:  Bagels [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 12:52 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Nardi wrote:

The Chicagos and the Charlottes and the Detroits HAVE to roll the dice.


its funny you're lumping Chicago in with Charlotte and Detroit

Author:  Nardi [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 12:55 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Bagels wrote:
Nardi wrote:

The Chicagos and the Charlottes and the Detroits HAVE to roll the dice.


its funny you're lumping Chicago in with Charlotte and Detroit

The franchise hasn't been driven into the ground? It was the laughingstock of the league last year.

Author:  FavreFan [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 1:00 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

Nardi wrote:
Bagels wrote:
Nardi wrote:

The Chicagos and the Charlottes and the Detroits HAVE to roll the dice.


its funny you're lumping Chicago in with Charlotte and Detroit

The franchise hasn't been driven into the ground? It was the laughingstock of the league last year.

That's true but it was entirely self inflicted. I'm sure there are moves that have turned out worse, but I can't think of a more incompetent decision in recent NBA memory than to extend Jim Boylen as head coach after he proved he was a total shitshow in the interim. It was beyond embarrassing.

Author:  Nardi [ Mon Nov 23, 2020 1:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Defining longterm success for Patrick Williams

FavreFan wrote:
Nardi wrote:
Bagels wrote:
Nardi wrote:

The Chicagos and the Charlottes and the Detroits HAVE to roll the dice.


its funny you're lumping Chicago in with Charlotte and Detroit

The franchise hasn't been driven into the ground? It was the laughingstock of the league last year.

That's true but it was entirely self inflicted. I'm sure there are moves that have turned out worse, but I can't think of a more incompetent decision in recent NBA memory than to extend Jim Boylen as head coach after he proved he was a total shitshow in the interim. It was beyond embarrassing.

Take a look at the Knicks. Their fans were sure they were the team the great players would come to. They aren't and they won't.

It's the Notre Dame syndrome.

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