Happy new year, H.G.s! Let's hope 2014 is as good for the Hawks as 2013 was.
So the Hawks are off to New York to play the two suburban teams but not the Rangers, whom I guess they're saving for later. Instead, they're out in Nassau for a game with the terrible Islanders. Oh, Isles. Isles, Isles, Isles. This was a team that was supposed to contend for a playoff spot and build on last year's breakout season, in which they finished eighth and gave the Pens hell. They even traded Tavares's trusty sidekick Matt Moulson to the Sabres to get Thomas Vanek, a sign that they were ready to get real. Then what happened? They lost like four games in a row, and then ten games in a row.
So what the hell happened? Well, as amazing as their forwards are, they're kinda young at defense, and they're relying on a first-year starter and old-ass whinypants Evgeni Nabokov in goal. The really scary part is it's not even as if their games are '80s-style track meets where they were scoring as many as they'd give up. The offense has blown, too. My only guess is that when you're that bad on defense, it doesn't matter how dangerous your weapons are if you're always losing possession and always failing to get it back. There's also the fact that such an inchoate group of defensemen just can't kill penalties, which the numbers certainly bear out. It's only been the last week that they've turned a corner on offense, winning 3-0, 5-4, and 5-3, but I fear it's too little, too late for Tavares and friends, which is really sad, because Tavares is one hell of a player and he deserves better than this crap.
But you know what's crap in a good way? The Nassau Coliseum. I love that there are still a few arenas left that are just dingy old barns for watching hockey games and little else, and that's what the NVMC is. There are rumblings that the Isles are trying to get out of the Brooklyn relocation and stay in a renovated Nassau Coliseum, which would be terrific, as it would maintain the concept of a distinctly Long Island team and actually be a place where you can go to the game and see the game being played, something you couldn't do in Brooklyn if you tried. Until such time that they sneak out of the lease, this is the penultimate Hawks game in the old barn. For people here who don't watch a lot of low-level Eastern Conference (hah!) hockey, you'll note that the main camera is stationed at a low angle on the visitors' blue line, which looks a little unorthodox when the play is in the other end, but I like it. I like Edmonton's bench-side camera, and that not every place looks the same. The only one I don't like is San Jose's vertiginous perspective where you're practically looking down from an observation deck or something. But anyway, games here look odd, so recalibrate yourself a little bit.
You gotta worry about Tavares and the Olympic-snubbed Okposo, as always, but it's a bit of a drop from there to Vanek and Frans Nielsen, and then Long Island production pretty much topples off a cliff from there. The only active defenseman on the right side of +/- is Thomas Hickey, with a +1. PLUS. ONE. Goaltending is awful across the board, with Nabokov's sv% just a mere three thousandths over the unofficial Goalie Mendoza Line of .900.
Six points in the last eight are encouraging for them, with the come-from-behind against Boston particularly so, but conversely, I'm tempted to downplay the 5-4 win against recently (lake) woebegone Minnesota, to whom you really have no business giving up four goals when they're only averaging 2.1 a game. The interconference picture isn't pretty: Long Island won five of their fifteen games with the West thus far with seventeen left to go, and you can't imagine they're going to take too many more of those. This is also one of the rare times we'll see a team whose penalty kill is more incompetent than ours. A lot more incompetent. Savor it.
Guessing this is the last dance for ol' Antti Raanta before Crawford and his bad glove make their triumphant return to the crease. HE'S ON THE TEAM FOR [THIS] YEAR, though, don't worry.
Hawks: 28-7-7 (63), 24-9-9 adjusted (57), 56.772 expected Isles: 13-21-7 (33), 9-25-7 adjusted (25), 29.229 expected (pretty big gap here!)
Hawks: 3.667 scored (1st), 2.619 allowed (13th), 1.048 differential (2nd) Isles: 2.512 scored (21st), 3.293 allowed (29th), -0.780 differential (27th)
Hawks: 34/140 24.3% on the power play (3rd), 97/127 76.4% on the kill (28th) Isles: 23/134 17.2% on the power play (19th), 93/126 73.8% on the kill (30th)
Looks like the win against the Kings pushed the Hawks' PP%+PK% juuuust over 100%, which is kind of the rule of thumb for where your special teams ought to be. So that's good.
Finally, I really hit the bullseye on both songs for Islander threads, huh? Two Long Island artists, two lyrics that represent the passing of happier times and inevitable doom. That pretty much sums up the New York Islanders experience, one would have to think.
_________________ Molly Lambert wrote: The future holds the possibility to be great or terrible, and since it has not yet occurred it remains simultaneously both.
|