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jimmypasta
PostPosted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 12:25 pm 
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The Bears have been hiring the "anti-Ditka" since they let him go. What has it got them?

Next Bears head coach going into next season:




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Hatchetman
PostPosted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 12:45 pm 
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Lets say Tressman thought the true odds of Gould hitting that FG were 80%.
What are odds the next running play goes for a loss, penalty, or turnover? I dunno, but it could be around 20%.

Not yet convinced this was a terrible decision. But willing to be convinced.

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FavreFan
PostPosted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 12:51 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
Lets say Tressman thought the true odds of Gould hitting that FG were 80%.
What are odds the next running play goes for a loss, penalty, or turnover? I dunno, but it could be around 20%.

Not yet convinced this was a terrible decision. But willing to be convinced.

I don't feel like trying to figure it out myself or look it up on a website, but the more aggressive coaching decisions are almost always statistically correct. Playing not to lose is almost always the best way to lose, statistically.

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Hatchetman
PostPosted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 12:53 pm 
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Statistically speaking, you are wrong, but I don't want to show you the stats. :lol:

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Nas
PostPosted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 12:55 pm 
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FavreFan wrote:
Hatchetman wrote:
Lets say Tressman thought the true odds of Gould hitting that FG were 80%.
What are odds the next running play goes for a loss, penalty, or turnover? I dunno, but it could be around 20%.

Not yet convinced this was a terrible decision. But willing to be convinced.

I don't feel like trying to figure it out myself or look it up on a website, but the more aggressive coaching decisions are almost always statistically correct. Playing not to lose is almost always the best way to lose, statistically.


I generally agree.

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FavreFan
PostPosted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 12:56 pm 
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Hatchetman wrote:
Statistically speaking, you are wrong, but I don't want to show you the stats. :lol:

Show me. Nothing I said was wrong.

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Hatchetman
PostPosted: Mon Dec 02, 2013 12:57 pm 
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you show me yours first.

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