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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:30 pm 
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veganfan21 wrote:
The entire offense is promising; they just need a couple more weapons at WR, maybe another O-lineman, and perhaps they pick up a Sproles type, hybrid WR/RB in the draft. I see no reason to deconstruct what looks to be a promising unit that has, at most, three years to do something. Agreed on defense.
The offense has some good young talent, especially if you still count Bennett among it, but you still described 4 needs on offense and a lot of needs on defense.

You are putting a lot of faith that some of the older players on offense keep it up though.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:34 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
The entire offense is promising; they just need a couple more weapons at WR, maybe another O-lineman, and perhaps they pick up a Sproles type, hybrid WR/RB in the draft. I see no reason to deconstruct what looks to be a promising unit that has, at most, three years to do something. Agreed on defense.
The offense has some good young talent, especially if you still count Bennett among it, but you still described 4 needs on offense and a lot of needs on defense.

You are putting a lot of faith that some of the older players on offense keep it up though.


Depends on what you mean by "old." Jeffery and the rookie linemen are long-term mainstays, and I think you get 2-3 years more of good Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte before they start to decline. Bushrod is also up there at 28, but perhaps his assumed decline will be offset by the projected growth of Long and Mills.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:41 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
At the cost of $16 million + whatever a rookie qb gets paid.
Who playing quarterback gives the Bears a better chance at making the playoffs next year; Jay Cutler or "whatever rookie QB"?

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:42 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
The entire offense is promising; they just need a couple more weapons at WR, maybe another O-lineman, and perhaps they pick up a Sproles type, hybrid WR/RB in the draft. I see no reason to deconstruct what looks to be a promising unit that has, at most, three years to do something. Agreed on defense.
The offense has some good young talent, especially if you still count Bennett among it, but you still described 4 needs on offense and a lot of needs on defense.

You are putting a lot of faith that some of the older players on offense keep it up though.


The Ravens D was slightly above average last year. The Giants had the 27th ranked defense when they won. The Saints were in the 20s a few years ago.

You can get a serviceable D and win with an offense. The Bears have enough offensive talent to consider that a possibility.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:44 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
At the cost of $16 million + whatever a rookie qb gets paid.
Who playing quarterback gives the Bears a better chance at making the playoffs next year; Jay Cutler or "whatever rookie QB"?
Probably rookie QB + $16 million spent on improving other holes.

It's not like Cutler has a great track record of leading teams to the playoffs.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:45 pm 
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A rookie QB isn't going to be any more expensive than anybody else you get to be a backup.

Josh McCown is making $840k this year. Russell Wilson is making $390k.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:48 pm 
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Who playing quarterback gives the Bears a better chance at making the playoffs next year; Jay Cutler or "whatever rookie QB"?
There are only 2 choices for this question right now, Rick. I'm asking you to pick one of the above.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:50 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
A rookie QB isn't going to be any more expensive than anybody else you get to be a backup.

Josh McCown is making $840k this year. Russell Wilson is making $390k.
It's higher for qbs in the first round though.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:51 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Quote:
Who playing quarterback gives the Bears a better chance at making the playoffs next year; Jay Cutler or "whatever rookie QB"?
There are only 2 choices for this question right now, Rick. I'm asking you to pick one of the above.
The rookie QB with the added salary cap room is my answer.

Unless of course your question indicates that the Bears will then keep the salary cap space and use it to build a hotel next to Soldier Field.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:53 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
A rookie QB isn't going to be any more expensive than anybody else you get to be a backup.

Josh McCown is making $840k this year. Russell Wilson is making $390k.
It's higher for qbs in the first round though.


You shouldn't need to take a 1st round guy. With the depth, Tresty should be able to get someone he can work with. A guy like Sean Mannion might be around still in the 4th. There are a lot of QBs in this draft.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:55 pm 
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Rick with a great non answer answer, assuming things in his own way. We'll have to remember that next time he poses a question to somebody here.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 3:59 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
A rookie QB isn't going to be any more expensive than anybody else you get to be a backup.

Josh McCown is making $840k this year. Russell Wilson is making $390k.
It's higher for qbs in the first round though.


You shouldn't need to take a 1st round guy. With the depth, Tresty should be able to get someone he can work with. A guy like Sean Mannion might be around still in the 4th. There are a lot of QBs in this draft.
I think you are putting yourself in a bad situation if you don't go in the first round. They will go fast this time. Didn't someone earlier in this thread talk about how poorly the results were past the first round?
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Take a look at the top 15 or so QBs in the league today. Only Romo was taken outside the 3rd round and the only 2 taken outside the first round were Brees (#1 pick of round 2) and Wilson (3rd).

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:01 pm 
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Kyle Orton was a 4th round pick.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:02 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Rick with a great non answer answer, assuming things in his own way. We'll have to remember that next time he poses a question to somebody here.
Come on Frank. This whole thread has been about how a cheaper and younger quarterback gives you more cap space to sign other players. You can't take it out of the equation. It is the equation.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:03 pm 
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I think they should go 2nd round. I was just giving an example of a guy that could hit even as late as 4th.

I don't think the talent dropoff is so large that you need to pick one at 20th-ish in the 1st round. I think, for this draft, you could wait and get a solid prospect in the 2nd or trade up early in the 2nd if necessary.

I'm just saying Tresty would know what he's looking for more than I would but I'm guessing a solid pocket passer.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:07 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Kyle Orton was a 4th round pick.
Exactly. We need better.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:08 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Rick with a great non answer answer, assuming things in his own way. We'll have to remember that next time he poses a question to somebody here.
Come on Frank. This whole thread has been about how a cheaper and younger quarterback gives you more cap space to sign other players. You can't take it out of the equation. It is the equation.


Yes, but you're assuming that younger, cheaper player will also be effective. That is why I think your argument partially rests on the assumption that since other teams have experienced success with young QBs, so will the Bears. That's a fallacy that you've denied, but it keeps popping up, ever so implicitly, every time you talk about having a young QB. The success of Wilson, Luck, etc., have absolutely nothing to do with the likelihood for success of anyone in the 2014 draft, let alone the next five and onward.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:10 pm 
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I didn't say anything about salary cap. I simply asked what QB gave the Bears a better chance to win next year, and BRick put his own spin on it.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:13 pm 
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veganfan21 wrote:
Yes, but you're assuming that younger, cheaper player will also be effective. That is why I think your argument partially rests on the assumption that since other teams have experienced success with young QBs, so will the Bears. That's a fallacy that you've denied, but it keeps popping up, ever so implicitly, every time you talk about having a young QB. The success of Wilson, Luck, etc., have absolutely nothing to do with the likelihood for success of anyone in the 2014 draft, let alone the next five and onward.
Of course it does. There is a ton of evidence that quarterbacks come out now ready to play. Of course I don't have a crystal ball to know how well a rookie will play. We might as well keep every player on the team since there is always a chance the replacement will be worse.

So you got me. A rookie QB may be bad. Let's sign Cutler to a 10 year deal because that will always be possible.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:14 pm 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
I didn't say anything about salary cap. I simply asked what QB gave the Bears a better chance to win next year, and BRick put his own spin on it.
Fine. I'll go with the rookie QB.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:15 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Let's sign Cutler to a 10 year deal because that will always be possible.


Let's draft 7 QBs and rotate them each series. That would be 7x better!

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:20 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
Yes, but you're assuming that younger, cheaper player will also be effective. That is why I think your argument partially rests on the assumption that since other teams have experienced success with young QBs, so will the Bears. That's a fallacy that you've denied, but it keeps popping up, ever so implicitly, every time you talk about having a young QB. The success of Wilson, Luck, etc., have absolutely nothing to do with the likelihood for success of anyone in the 2014 draft, let alone the next five and onward.
Of course it does. There is a ton of evidence that quarterbacks come out now ready to play. Of course I don't have a crystal ball to know how well a rookie will play. We might as well keep every player on the team since there is always a chance the replacement will be worse.

So you got me. A rookie QB may be bad. Let's sign Cutler to a 10 year deal because that will always be possible.


Technically Wilson's success, for example, has nothing to do with how a rookie QB will do. The rookie may or not be good, but that's independent of Wilson's experience, or even his existence. One does not need to happen in order to have the other happen.

I never implied or stated that, since we don't know how a new QB will do, let's sign Cutler to avoid drafting a dud. I did say, however, that it'd be ideal to hold on to Cutler for the time being while drafting another, only because we know Cutler's "floor," and that would be good insurance should the new QB turn out to be a bust.

The risk of drafting someone, as you know, is him turning out to be a bust, but given that the Bears have a "win now" offense, it makes more sense to avoid that risk by simply holding on to a known commodity while grooming a prospect. Going the other way, I would have no problems drafting a rookie and saying goodbye to Cutler if the Bears were tearing the whole thing down. But they're not, so that changes the calculus a bit.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:25 pm 
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As an aside, I always read that screen name as vegasfan and picture you as a real partier which is quite different than when I look closer and then read the real name.

My brain still does it every time.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:25 pm 
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Jesus wept, 10 fucking pages?

Franchise Cutler as he will be the stopgap until a top draft pick is brought in at QB to replace him. Bears are not going to the SB with Cutler. I'm over him. I believe Trestman wants a rookie QB to cultivate and to learn the offense without any pre-conceived ideas or physical ticks.

The defense will need to be rebuilt with FA's and some draft picks. Focus on the safeties, DE's and CB's. They're all old and/or just suck. The majority of the money needs to be spent here and not on some gimpy, shitty, underperforming journeyman QB like the one the Bears have now.

Cutler had such potential, but it was wasted here in his first two years under Lovie and fuckface Martz.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:26 pm 
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Country Bumpkin wrote:
Jesus wept, 10 fucking pages?



Well, 3 or 4 of those consisted of the worst discussion of models this board has ever seen.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:30 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Country Bumpkin wrote:
Jesus wept, 10 fucking pages?



Well, 3 or 4 of those consisted of the worst discussion of models this board has ever seen.


Amen.

Hey at least we're not discussing the shitsack football team from Champaign-Urbana (my alma mater as well). :P

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:33 pm 
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Country Bumpkin wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Country Bumpkin wrote:
Jesus wept, 10 fucking pages?



Well, 3 or 4 of those consisted of the worst discussion of models this board has ever seen.


Amen.

Hey at least we're not discussing the shitsack football team from Champaign-Urbana (my alma mater as well). :P


The Bears could draft Nathan Scheelhaase.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:35 pm 
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Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Country Bumpkin wrote:
Dr. Kenneth Noisewater wrote:
Country Bumpkin wrote:
Jesus wept, 10 fucking pages?



Well, 3 or 4 of those consisted of the worst discussion of models this board has ever seen.


Amen.

Hey at least we're not discussing the shitsack football team from Champaign-Urbana (my alma mater as well). :P


The Bears could draft Nathan Scheelhaase.


Why does U of I even try to play football? It's so embarrassing.

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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:37 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: Cutler out 6-8 weeks
PostPosted: Tue Oct 22, 2013 4:38 pm 
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veganfan21 wrote:
Technically Wilson's success, for example, has nothing to do with how a rookie QB will do. The rookie may or not be good, but that's independent of Wilson's experience, or even his existence. One does not need to happen in order to have the other happen.
I don't know what you are saying here. It's simply evidence of how college players are more prepared than ever. It's a pretty obvious point that Wilson won't physically affect the performance of a rookie.
veganfan21 wrote:
I never implied or stated that, since we don't know how a new QB will do, let's sign Cutler to avoid drafting a dud. I did say, however, that it'd be ideal to hold on to Cutler for the time being while drafting another, only because we know Cutler's "floor," and that would be good insurance should the new QB turn out to be a bust.
You seem very concerned that the next QB will be a bust and you seem to be arguing you shouldn't take the risk even when many other organizations have done it to success. If you are that averse to the risk then just sign Cutler for 5 years and be pretty sure he won't suck.
veganfan21 wrote:
The risk of drafting someone, as you know, is him turning out to be a bust, but given that the Bears have a "win now" offense, it makes more sense to avoid that risk by simply holding on to a known commodity while grooming a prospect. Going the other way, I would have no problems drafting a rookie and saying goodbye to Cutler if the Bears were tearing the whole thing down. But they're not, so that changes the calculus a bit.
Unless something happens that changes things, the Bears are far from "win now" mode, especially with a new coach and a new GM. I think we'll be looking back at the end of the year wishing the rebuilding would have started sooner rather than wanting to extend the "win now" mode another year.

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