Irish Boy wrote:
Good to hear, especially given the agent.
A little bit off-topic, but it seems to fit here: First round contracts, especially for picks 1-10, don't seem to be fitting with the actual value for the pick. It seems as though every team with the first three picks every year is desparately trying to trade down because of the high risk associated with the contracts. And who could blame them? The #! pick represents a huge portion of your cap space, and look at the #! picks for the past 15 years:
Drew Bledsoe
Dan Wilkinson
Ki-Jana Carter (!)
Keyshawn Johnson
Orlando Pace
Peyton Manning
Tim Couch (!)
Courtney Brown (!)
Michael Vick (!?)
David Carr (!)
Carson Palmer
Eli Manning (!?)
Alex Smith
Mario Williams
JaMarcus Russell
Almost every pick, post-Manning, has been a bad one. Even some of the earlier picks turned out pretty poorly for their draft slot: players like Wilkinson, Bledsoe, and Keyshawn never lived up to expectations. And the contracts are only getting bigger at the top. At what point will the market begin to correct itself? And will we soon see a day where teams are deliberately letting their pick lapse so as top pick up a guy at #4 or #5 so as not to pay #1 money?
I would guess that most good GM's in the league would agree with you. Unless you have the number 1 or 2 pick and a game changing RB or QB is available, it isn't worth it. Calvin Johnson was the best player in this years draft, but I doubt he will be that much better then Roy Williams for the Lions while he gets big money.
Even offensive lineman that high are no guarantee. Take a look at Robert Gallery.