Coast2Coast wrote:
Say what you will about Thomas Jones being a second-tier running back, but the bottom line of that trade is that the Bears are one knee sprain away from Adrian Peterson as their starting running back. It takes TWO good backs to make it through an NFL season. More than one-half of the starting running backs in the NFL are injured every year. (Some years, it's 3/4). The Bears traded away that very necessary insurance policy...for what...a third round pick? That may be fair "market value", but the opportunity cost of losing Jones is huge. Look ahead to December and ask yourself if you want to go into the playoffs with AP as your starting running back. That's a gamble I would have never taken unless I had another proven, durable back in whom I was confident in giving the ball 200 times a season. I wouldn't put AP in that class.
I agree that RB is thin, and the position worries me, but an extended contract for Jones would simply mean too much money under the cap at the RB position. Like it or not, Benson is making 4th-pick money, and at some point you need to use that player, especially if you feel he has a much higher ceiling than your starter. Couple that with the fact that Jones has no interest in playing second fiddle, and he simply had to go.
No, I don't relish the thought of starting Adrian Peterson, but as a third-down back he'll be fine. For most teams, even RB by committee teams, losing a starting RB is devastating, because the second guy is unable to carry the full workload successfully. But it's all about managed risk- under any cap situation, a team needs to decide where it is going to allocate that risk. Jerry Angelo has decided that the probability of the running attack losing steam, or Benson going down injured, is better than the alternative of starting a 29-year old Thomas Jones while not starting your high draft pick for another year, along with not being able to resign key defensive players and/or Rex Grossman (should he have a good year.) I think that's the best possible decision. In an NFL without cap considerations, and where both players are happy to give up rushes to the other, you don't make that trade. But that wasn't the situation, and a third-rounder is about what you can expect for a Thomas Jones.