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Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy
https://mail.chicagofanatics.com/viewtopic.php?f=90&t=129370
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Author:  veganfan21 [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 12:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

As of Jan 2023

Tier 1:

Burrow, Mahomes

Tier 2:

Allen, Hurts, Herbert

Tier 3:

Tua, Cousins, Lamar, Lawrence, Prescott, Rodgers

Tier 4:

Brady, Carr, Goff, Smith, Jones

Tier 5:

everyone else

Author:  RFDC [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 12:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

I would say that is pretty fair look. The only one that I would consider moving is I think Lawrence is on the verge of tier 2.

Author:  Nas [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 12:25 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Immortal Tier:
Brady

Tier 1:
Mahomes and Burrow

Tier 2:
Allen and Jackson

Tier 3:
Herbert and Hurts

Tier 4: Doesn't matter

Author:  Nardi [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 12:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

If a league has only 6 QB's worth having, it's not a league worth watching.

Author:  RFDC [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 12:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Clearly Brady is on the top tier as the GOAT.

But I think he is talking as of right now where they all stand. Brady is not near tier 1 at the moment.

Author:  Nas [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 12:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

RFDC wrote:
Clearly Brady is on the top tier as the GOAT.

But I think he is talking as of right now where they all stand. Brady is not near tier 1 at the moment.


Excluding Brady, I think there are 6 really good to great quarterbacks in the NFL. After those 6, I think the next 10 or so are interchangeable. We'll see what happens with Lawrence and others next season.

Author:  Frank Coztansa [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 12:41 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Nardi wrote:
If a league has only 6 QB's worth having, it's not a league worth watching.
We have seen Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford, Nick Foles, Matt Ryan, Jimmy G, Joe Flacco, and a degraded Peyton Manning all start a Super Bowl fairly recently. I went back ten years. None of those guys would have been top 5/6 in the league at the time.

You can get to and possibly win a Super Bowl with a tier 2, possibly even a tier 3 guy.

Author:  veganfan21 [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:05 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Frank Coztansa wrote:
Nardi wrote:
If a league has only 6 QB's worth having, it's not a league worth watching.
We have seen Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford, Nick Foles, Matt Ryan, Jimmy G, Joe Flacco, and a degraded Peyton Manning all start a Super Bowl fairly recently. I went back ten years. None of those guys would have been top 5/6 in the league at the time.

You can get to and possibly win a Super Bowl with a tier 2, possibly even a tier 3 guy.


Yep, but you probably have to have an exceptional defense/running game component. Here the last 23 years of SBs and their QBs:

Quote:
Super Bowl XXXIV
Kurt Warner | St. Louis Rams (tier 1)
Steve McNair | Tennessee Titans (tier 2)
Super Bowl XXXV
Trent Dilfer | Baltimore Ravens (no tier)
Kerry Collins | New York Giants (no tier)
Super Bowl XXXVI
Tom Brady | New England Patriots (tier 2 at this time?)
Kurt Warner | St. Louis Rams (tier 1)
Super Bowl XXXVII
Brad Johnson | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (no tier)
Rich Gannon | Oakland Raiders (tier 2?)
Super Bowl XXXVIII
Tom Brady | New England Patriots (tier 1)
Jake Delhomme | Carolina Panthers (tier 3)
Super Bowl XXXIX
Tom Brady | New England Patriots (tier 1)
Donovan McNabb | Philadelphia Eagles (tier 1ish?)
Super Bowl XL
Ben Roethlisberger | Pittsburgh Steelers (tier 3 - he was a limited rookie)
Matt Hasselbeck | Seattle Seahawks (tier 2)
Super Bowl XLI
Peyton Manning | Indianapolis Colts (tier 1)
Rex Grossman | Chicago Bears (no tier)
Super Bowl XLII
Eli Manning | New York Giants (tier 2)
Tom Brady | New England Patriots (tier 1)
Super Bowl XLIII
Ben Roethlisberger | Pittsburgh Steelers (tier 1)
Kurt Warner | Arizona Cardinals (tier 2)
Super Bowl XLIV
Drew Brees | New Orleans Saints (tier 1)
Peyton Manning | Indianapolis Colts (tier 1)
Super Bowl XLV
Aaron Rodgers | Green Bay Packers (tier 1)
Ben Roethlisberger | Pittsburgh Steelers (tier 1)
Super Bowl XLVI
Eli Manning | New York Giants (tier 2)
Tom Brady | New England Patriots (tier 1)
Super Bowl XLVII
Joe Flacco | Baltimore Ravens (tier 2)
Colin Kaepernick | San Francisco 49ers (tier 2)
Super Bowl XLVIII
Russell Wilson | Seattle Seahawks (tier 2)
Peyton Manning | Denver Broncos (tier 2)
Super Bowl XLIX
Tom Brady | New England Patriots (tier 1)
Russell Wilson | Seattle Seahawks (tier 2)
Super Bowl L
Peyton Manning | Denver Broncos (tier 3)
Cam Newton | Carolina Panthers (tier 2)
Super Bowl LI
Tom Brady | New England Patriots (tier 1)
Matt Ryan | Atlanta Falcons (tier 1)
Super Bowl LII
Nick Foles | Philadelphia Eagles (no tier)
Tom Brady | New England Patriots (tier 1)
Super Bowl LIII
Tom Brady | New England Patriots (tier 1)
Jared Goff | Los Angeles Rams (tier 2)
Super Bowl LIV
Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs (tier 1)
Jimmy Garoppolo | San Francisco 49ers (tier 3)
Super Bowl LV
Tom Brady | Tampa Bay Buccaneers (tier 1)
Patrick Mahomes | Kansas City Chiefs (tier 1)
Super Bowl LVI
Joe Burrow | Cincinnati Bengals (tier 2)
Matthew Stafford | Los Angeles Rams (tier 1)


23 SB games, 46 QBs.

Tier breakdown for the 46 QBS:

Tier 1: 22/46
Tier 2: 15/46
Tier 3: 4/46
No tier: 5/46

Author:  Nardi [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Frank Coztansa wrote:
Nardi wrote:
If a league has only 6 QB's worth having, it's not a league worth watching.
We have seen Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford, Nick Foles, Matt Ryan, Jimmy G, Joe Flacco, and a degraded Peyton Manning all start a Super Bowl fairly recently. I went back ten years. None of those guys would have been top 5/6 in the league at the time.

You can get to and possibly win a Super Bowl with a tier 2, possibly even a tier 3 guy.

Absolutely. There are more than 6 guys worth having. Nas' tier 4 , "it doesn't matter", I'll chalk it up to a hot take.

Author:  Frank Coztansa [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:13 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

veganfan21 wrote:
Yep, but you probably have to have an exceptional defense/running game component.
Right, I don't necessarily disagree. But if you're playing in the Super Bowl, with rare exceptions, you have at least a middle of the road defense. If you have a top tier QB, you likely have a good run/short passing game anyway because having a Burrow or Brady type opens up so many more options.

You're not going to have a dynasty and you're not likely to make more than one SB with a tier 3-4 QB. But you can make one and win one.

If the Bears build a good D and Fields ends up no more than tier 3, but they win LIX or LX? I'm not gonna complain.

Author:  veganfan21 [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Yep. If look at all the games above and the tiers I placed the QBs in, you really only start to see tier 1 QBs dominate post- 2008 ish. I guess that makes sense with the trends we've witnessed over the past 15 years that favor passing teams.

Author:  Nas [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:21 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Nardi wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Nardi wrote:
If a league has only 6 QB's worth having, it's not a league worth watching.
We have seen Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford, Nick Foles, Matt Ryan, Jimmy G, Joe Flacco, and a degraded Peyton Manning all start a Super Bowl fairly recently. I went back ten years. None of those guys would have been top 5/6 in the league at the time.

You can get to and possibly win a Super Bowl with a tier 2, possibly even a tier 3 guy.

Absolutely. There are more than 6 guys worth having. Nas' tier 4 , "it doesn't matter", I'll chalk it up to a hot take.


I was being kind to Herbert and Hurts with my Tier 3. I think Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, and Jackson are the only quarterbacks that can carry a team.

Rodgers, Murray, Stafford, Cousins, Dak, Carr, Goff, Lawrence, and Watson would be in that next tier. They're fine to have, but they're also interchangeable in a lot of ways. None of good enough to carry your team beyond a playoff appearance. They need a lot of help and a lot of breaks.

Author:  veganfan21 [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:24 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Forgot about Watson, have to massage the tiers to find a place for him.

Author:  Frank Coztansa [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:32 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Nas wrote:
I think Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, and Jackson are the only quarterbacks that can carry a team.
Soon, my friend.

Image

Author:  Nardi [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:34 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Nas wrote:
Nardi wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Nardi wrote:
If a league has only 6 QB's worth having, it's not a league worth watching.
We have seen Jared Goff, Matthew Stafford, Nick Foles, Matt Ryan, Jimmy G, Joe Flacco, and a degraded Peyton Manning all start a Super Bowl fairly recently. I went back ten years. None of those guys would have been top 5/6 in the league at the time.

You can get to and possibly win a Super Bowl with a tier 2, possibly even a tier 3 guy.

Absolutely. There are more than 6 guys worth having. Nas' tier 4 , "it doesn't matter", I'll chalk it up to a hot take.


I was being kind to Herbert and Hurts with my Tier 3. I think Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, and Jackson are the only quarterbacks that can carry a team.

Rodgers, Murray, Stafford, Cousins, Dak, Carr, Goff, Lawrence, and Watson would be in that next tier. They're fine to have, but they're also interchangeable in a lot of ways. None of good enough to carry your team beyond a playoff appearance. They need a lot of help and a lot of breaks.

Getting to tier 3 is an accomplishment. I'm just trying to be rational here, so there has to be a tier 4. Otherwise, the Bears have never had a QB who mattered, along with bunches of other teams. If your entire football fandom's basket of eggs is based on tier 1 and 2, it's an empty basket and a sad fandom.

Author:  Regular Reader [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:38 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

veganfan21 wrote:
Forgot about Watson, have to massage the tiers to find a place for him.

Rub Mac Jones right on off…any tier.

Author:  Nas [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:39 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Frank Coztansa wrote:
Nas wrote:
I think Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, and Jackson are the only quarterbacks that can carry a team.
Soon, my friend.

Image


I pray that you're right.

Author:  Ca||er Bob [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Nardi wrote:
it's an empty basket and a sad fandom.

Image

Author:  This Ends in Antioch [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:42 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy


Author:  Urlacher's missing neck [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:44 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Nas wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Nas wrote:
I think Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, and Jackson are the only quarterbacks that can carry a team.
Soon, my friend.

Image


I pray that you're right.


He's getting that work in already. I saw a story on the new team president visiting the facility only to find it was really a story praising Fields and his eternal work ethic as he was crushing a workout in the gym. Not as good as the vacation treadmill piece but there is plenty of time for them to write a dozen or so of those before camp starts.

Author:  This Ends in Antioch [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:46 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Urlacher's missing neck wrote:
Nas wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Nas wrote:
I think Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, and Jackson are the only quarterbacks that can carry a team.
Soon, my friend.

Image


I pray that you're right.


He's getting that work in already. I saw a story on the new team president visiting the facility only to find it was really a story praising Fields and his eternal work ethic as he was crushing a workout in the gym. Not as good as the vacation treadmill piece but there is plenty of time for them to write a dozen or so of those before camp starts.

Is there a video of him getting out of his car at Halas Hall before the sun comes up, well before anybody else is working (aside from the media guy taking the video)?

Author:  Caller Bob [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 1:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Urlacher's missing neck wrote:
Nas wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Nas wrote:
I think Mahomes, Burrow, Allen, and Jackson are the only quarterbacks that can carry a team.
Soon, my friend.

Image


I pray that you're right.


He's getting that work in already. I saw a story on the new team president visiting the facility only to find it was really a story praising Fields and his eternal work ethic as he was crushing a workout in the gym. Not as good as the vacation treadmill piece but there is plenty of time for them to write a dozen or so of those before camp starts.


Better than the "No DeVante makes the Packers better"pieces?

Author:  veganfan21 [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 2:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Regular Reader wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
Forgot about Watson, have to massage the tiers to find a place for him.

Rub Mac Jones right on off…any tier.


That's Daniel - Mac will compete with Mitch for best journeyman backup in the next 1-2 years.

Author:  Regular Reader [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 3:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

I’d still pause on the Daniel Jones love. Six seven games aren’t enough imo.

Author:  veganfan21 [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 3:31 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Regular Reader wrote:
I’d still pause on the Daniel Jones love. Six seven games aren’t enough imo.


No love from me, just saying I see him on the Smith, Carr, Goff, etc., level.

Author:  Seacrest [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 6:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

This Ends in Antioch wrote:



Can't tackle. :lol:

Author:  IkeSouth [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 6:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

i think qbs have gotten better over the past few decades but the defenses got betterer

Author:  312player [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 8:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

Ain't nobody taking lamar jackson over Hurts.

Author:  312player [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 8:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

veganfan21 wrote:
Regular Reader wrote:
I’d still pause on the Daniel Jones love. Six seven games aren’t enough imo.


No love from me, just saying I see him on the Smith, Carr, Goff, etc., level.


I do too, he had the worst WRs in the league

Author:  Nas [ Mon Jan 23, 2023 8:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Reorganizing the QB Hierarchy

312player wrote:
Ain't nobody taking lamar jackson over Hurts.


Everyone would. Don't let an injured fantasy season cloud your judgment. Hurts couldn't carry an offense if his life depended on it.

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