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Quick Bathroom Reading: 2016 One-Run Games W/L
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Author:  Don Tiny [ Wed Jan 18, 2017 4:02 pm ]
Post subject:  Quick Bathroom Reading: 2016 One-Run Games W/L
Somebody took this info (http://www.baseball-reference.com/games ... ch&submit=) showing each team's records in however many one-run games they played, then flipped the W/L totals of said games to see what effect, if any, it had on each team's standings.

(for example, the Coob played 45 one-run games ... they won 22 and lost 23 ... so flipping that around would've given them one extra win ... tee-hee)

Helps to illustrate how important grinding out those one-run wins can be over the course of a season ... or in Game 7 of the World Series #2016. :D

Actually, now that I look at it closer, it seems that the White Sox would've played a one-off playoff game for the final wildcard spot (I believe they were 6-6 vs each other in 2016).

Anyway, here's the revised data (bold is for teams that would've improved their record):

AL EAST
Red Sox 97-65 (+4)
Blue Jays 93-69 (+4)
Orioles 84-78 (-5)
Rays 82-80 (+14)
Yankees 72-90 (-12)

AL CENTRAL
Indians 87-74 (-7)
White Sox 84-78 (+6)
Royals 83-79 (+2)
Tigers 77-84 (-9)
Twins 73-89 (+14)

AL WEST
Mariners 86-76 (+0)
Astros 81-81 (-3)
Angels 77-85 (+3)
Athletics 72-90 (+3)
Rangers 70-92 (-25)

NL EAST
Nationals 88-74 (-7)
Mets 84-78 (-3)
Marlins 81-80 (+2)
Braves 69-92 (+1)
Phillies 66-96 (-5)

NL CENTRAL
Cubs 104-57 (+1)
Cardinals 85-77 (-1)
Pirates 79-82 (+1)
Brewers 78-84 (+5)
Reds 73-89 (+5)

NL WEST
Dodgers 89-73 (-2)
Giants 86-76 (-1)
Rockies 83-79 (+8)
Padres 80-82 (+12)
Diamondbacks 64-98 (-5)
Author:  denisdman [ Wed Jan 18, 2017 4:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Quick Bathroom Reading: 2016 One-Run Games W/L
The impact is smaller than I would have predicted.....
Author:  Don Tiny [ Wed Jan 18, 2017 4:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Quick Bathroom Reading: 2016 One-Run Games W/L
denisdman wrote:
The impact is smaller than I would have predicted.....

It would've changed the AL postseason picture significantly ... not just the WS/Orioles gimmick, but also instead of the Rangers being in, the Mariners would've. That seems rather significant to me. Also, no Mets but instead the Cardinals.
Author:  denisdman [ Wed Jan 18, 2017 4:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Quick Bathroom Reading: 2016 One-Run Games W/L
Don Tiny wrote:
denisdman wrote:
The impact is smaller than I would have predicted.....

It would've changed the AL postseason picture significantly ... not just the WS/Orioles gimmick, but also instead of the Rangers being in, the Mariners would've. That seems rather significant to me. Also, no Mets but instead the Cardinals.


I should have clarified. It doesn't move the win loss needle a lot for most teams. Over 162 games, most teams just experienced a minimal impact.
Author:  Apologist [ Fri Feb 10, 2017 3:01 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Quick Bathroom Reading: 2016 One-Run Games W/L
It's kind of a skewed exercise, because those teams that lose a lot of one-run games aren't very good and have shit bullpens.
Notice the biggest "losers" like NYY and Cleveland have elite bullpens.
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