Abreu by a wide margin.

Rizzo is 12 years younger than Abreu.
I'll take Rizzo

I'd go Rizzo given the apparent age difference. Plus Rizzo will have some value once the bat slows down cuz he can still draw a walk.

I believe the question is most homeruns, I am fairly confident the walks won't matter.

All depends on if Abreu's back goes out and he turns into Joe Crede.

Does anyone think Rizzo will finish with a higher career OPS?

Rizzo will be 25 in August. Abreu is 27.

Rizzo is in the lead currently, and advanced metrics say Abreu won't keep the pace up.

A high percentage of "just enough" home runs directly coincides with career years in HR count, as proven by the long documented history of home run analysis throughout the years.

24 year old athlete or 36 year old DH? I'll take the the 24 year old.

Rizzo has a head start and he's younger. Considering I was the first to vote for Rizzo it looks like IMU voted for Abreu.

It's much more likely that Rizzo is having a career year than it is for Abreu.

What makes you say that?

We have a history on Rizzo. This year is remarkably different than any other year he has played. I'm not saying he will fall back to those numbers but as of today you have to look at this year as being so different that there is a danger that this is his career year.

Abreu may very well have been this good the past few years. There really is no reason to think what Abreu is doing is an anomaly. Just like with anyone, he may decline in the future but there really isn't a good case for it since it is most likely that he is simply this good. He also dealt with an injury and a big adjustment to the major leagues this year. It's pretty remarkable what he has overcome this year. While he may not be better next year, things are shaping up for him to have a much more stable situation.

In summary, we have no reason to think this isn't just a normal year for Abreu.