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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 12:59 pm 
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Glad I could ellicit such a reaction.


Again, you wanted me to bet on something, that I said wouldnt happen, if you would just have read the entire thread before posting, you could have avoided looking foolish.


I politely and calmly asked you to read it, and you when into battle mode, like you always do, without reading.


Thats all there is to it. You didnt read the entire thread, even after being told about it.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 1:08 pm 
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Chus wrote:
Since RPB is now a revisionist historian, let me clear some things up.

You made statements with which I disagreed. I didn't jump on you, I just said "wanna bet". I quoted you verbatim, and you denied saying it. Others read it the same way I did. Again, maybe you didn't mean that, and you could have easily cleared up a misunderstanding, but you chose to jump all over me, and call me pissy.

Thats not at all what happened. Anyone who can read can see you responded twice without reading the whole thread. Not sure why you cant just admit that.

Chus wrote:
We butted heads over Hawk in the Deadspin thread. We said what we had to say, and we let it die. Fast forward one week. When Samardzija commented about Hawk, I said he was cocky. It took you all of two minutes, to jump all over me, and criticze my opinion. You said, "I'm sorry, there is no way that he is cocky." It was to me. And you bashed my opinion. Something that you said was the wrong thing to do.

Im not sure Ive ever said not to bash opinion. Im sorry I disagreed with you though. Thats out of line on a message board.


Chus wrote:
The other day in the B&B thread, Theo was being discussed. You responded with a comment about Kenny. Kenny had nothing to do with the discussion. You would be all over me if I did that. I asked why you would do something that you would slam me for me doing. You responded that you didn't, even though it was clear to anybody who read it, that you did. Did I get pissy about it? No, I just ignored it.

Yeah, here's where you ignore facts and people's thoughts and drive ahead with your original thought. I picked Kenny cause he's a GM with recent WS success. dolphin understood. But apparently you cant.



Chus wrote:
If you want to play the victim card, be my guest. If you want to continue trying to sell this false idea that you are just some middle of the road, voice of reason, above all the crap, go for it. In the last month, you have showed me that you are nothing more than a thin-skinned hypocrite, who like Loho, doesn't like it when someone punches back. You are Dan Bernstein, minus the Duke education and radio gig.

Cry much?

I have not played the victim card AT ALL. That has no basis in reality.

If you think I project as a middle of the road voice of reason, thank you. Ive never said that about myself.

I did say that you seem to be the ultimate team player and you argue your teams side no matter what. Im sorry if that offended you. Its just my opinion

The Laurence line is laughable.

The line about Duke Education and Radio gig brushes up against inappropriate. Did you want to post W-2's as well?


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 1:09 pm 
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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 1:48 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
walkrman5 wrote:
The albatross on this team is Soriano. That is a super bad contract with super bad results. They are eating the Z money, Marmol's contract to a lesser degree is bad....

Hold on.

Is having a .263/.309/.453 line with 8HR and 31RBI really considered super bad? I understand that he is not fulfilling the contract since the first couple seasons, but he isn't exactly super bad.



OK...I won't argue "super bad"....but you are getting that for $19M a year...and STUCK with it for 2 more years. The guy can't run. Knee injury or whatever...he hasn't been able to run for over 2 years. He looks lazy....he acts lazy...he poses for balls hit off the wall....he throws to wrong bases, he can't get to balls that should be caught....he is undisciplined hitter....and that is your veteran in the clubhouse tutoring Castro......who by the way makes a few obvious bone head plays of his own. Birds of a feather.....Soriano is "super bad" for this team in soo many ways....and I wont let some "not so bad super bad" stats get in the way of my eye test. He fails. I get your point though but I want him off the team as soon as possible.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 1:53 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
What is recent WS success?
I'd say 5-10 years.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 3:07 pm 
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If this were the A's or Padres, I could see the need to wait on a 5-year plan. But the Cubs will (presumably) return to spending something like $130 million instead of the $88 million they are spending now. $88 million is right in the middle of the pack, so if spent more wisely, as one would expect with Theo vs Hendry, they should get to 81 wins in a couple years. And then they can strike when the iron is hot, and add $42 million in free agents which would add something like 8.4 wins of value. Hmm, now I'm rethinking my argument, beacuse while 89 wins would be enough to make the playoffs with 2 wild cards, it's not exactly a powerhouse team. A contender at least, though.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 3:13 pm 
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trickybeck wrote:
If this were the A's or Padres, I could see the need to wait on a 5-year plan. But the Cubs will (presumably) return to spending something like $130 million instead of the $88 million they are spending now. $88 million is right in the middle of the pack, so if spent more wisely, as one would expect with Theo vs Hendry, they should get to 81 wins in a couple years. And then they can strike when the iron is hot, and add $42 million in free agents which would add something like 8.4 wins of value. Hmm, now I'm rethinking my argument, beacuse while 89 wins would be enough to make the playoffs with 2 wild cards, it's not exactly a powerhouse team. A contender at least, though.



I guess I'm just not sure why "one would expect" that.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 3:14 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
trickybeck wrote:
If this were the A's or Padres, I could see the need to wait on a 5-year plan. But the Cubs will (presumably) return to spending something like $130 million instead of the $88 million they are spending now. $88 million is right in the middle of the pack, so if spent more wisely, as one would expect with Theo vs Hendry, they should get to 81 wins in a couple years. And then they can strike when the iron is hot, and add $42 million in free agents which would add something like 8.4 wins of value. Hmm, now I'm rethinking my argument, beacuse while 89 wins would be enough to make the playoffs with 2 wild cards, it's not exactly a powerhouse team. A contender at least, though.



I guess I'm just not sure why "one would expect" that.


Because Hendry=Dumb and Theo=supermegaawesome

I thought that was common knowledge.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 3:19 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
I guess I'm just not sure why "one would expect" that.

Because it would be pretty hard to spend less wisely than Hendry did. I didn't think this was a controversial position to take. :?:


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 3:21 pm 
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Hank Scorpio wrote:

Because Hendry=Dumb and Theo=supermegaawesome

I thought that was common knowledge.


Well, Theo has depleted what Hendry bulit but that team is still capable of kicking the shit out of the one so carefully crafted in San Diego by the great Jed Hoyer.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 3:33 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Hank Scorpio wrote:

Because Hendry=Dumb and Theo=supermegaawesome

I thought that was common knowledge.


Well, Theo has depleted what Hendry bulit but that team is still capable of kicking the shit out of the one so carefully crafted in San Diego by the great Jed Hoyer.


I have my head in the sand about everything Theo and Jed did except for the 2 WS wins. Crawford and Lackey both were signed without Theo's knowledge and San Diego told Jed to lose on purpose. Yeah..... that sounds good.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 3:50 pm 
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Jed Hoyer in 3 seasons averaged $43 million per season in payroll (tied for lowest in MLB over that period), and still averaged 78.67 wins.

Jim Hendry in 9 seasons spent an additional $66 million per season ($109 million), and only averaged 81.44 wins.

Theo Epstein in 9 seasons spent $24 million per season above what Hendry spent ($133 million), and averaged 93.22 wins.

---

You may point out that Hendry actually had a better win/$ average than Epstein, but that's because the marginal rate decreases as you spend more (cf: Yankees get terrible win/$). Theo's marginal rate above the average payroll was far better than Hendry's.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 3:57 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
What is recent WS success?

5 years?
10 years?
15 years?






5 years or less




this thread is hilarious .... the cubs will probably win 78-80 games next year..pretty much .500 ball...

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 4:01 pm 
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mine

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 4:08 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
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Cubs .500 next season? If they can improve their outfield defense (get rid of Soriano), massively improve their patience at the plate, and Rizzo pans out, sure...

But I don't think it happens.

:lol:

I deserve that after rightfully calling you out so often in the past.

first off, deserve what? And secondly, since when is it so hard to "rightfully call me out"? You have heard my NBA thoughts, have you not?

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 6:27 pm 
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trickybeck wrote:
Jed Hoyer in 3 seasons averaged $43 million per season in payroll (tied for lowest in MLB over that period), and still averaged 78.67 wins.

Jim Hendry in 9 seasons spent an additional $66 million per season ($109 million), and only averaged 81.44 wins.

Theo Epstein in 9 seasons spent $24 million per season above what Hendry spent ($133 million), and averaged 93.22 wins.

---

You may point out that Hendry actually had a better win/$ average than Epstein, but that's because the marginal rate decreases as you spend more (cf: Yankees get terrible win/$). Theo's marginal rate above the average payroll was far better than Hendry's.


:lol: :lol:

I knew it couldn't be Theo's fault. :lol:

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 9:56 pm 
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JORR, you can laugh all you want you know what TB is saying about diminishing returns is true.

And RE theo vs Hendry...Dies anyone on this board think any gm is good? I mean who do you think is good, JORR?



I think Theo probably got a lot more respect on this board before last year.



I mean is it crazy to say a guy who won twp WS is better than Hendry? Hendry had a huge payroll and didnt win it all or even get to postseason consistently like Theo did.


And a good portion of the moves he made for the 08 97 wins ended up crippling the team with two many years and no trade clauses


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:07 pm 
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Yeah it's so strange. All of a sudden Hendry is better than Theo? Because Theo is a now Cub and Hendry is now not? That seems to be the only basis for such an opinion.

Some of the Boston meatballs were no better. They ran a guy out of town because he put together a great team that managed to collapse in the final month and win "only" 90 games.

And it's not like we've been attributing some kind of magical omnipotence to Theo here. It's laughable that you think the argument that he's obviously better than Hendry is laughable.


Last edited by trickybeck on Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:09 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
JORR, you can laugh all you want you know what TB is saying about diminishing returns is true.


Are you saying that wasn't 100% spin, Bryan?

rogers park bryan wrote:
And RE theo vs Hendry...Dies anyone on this board think any gm is good? I mean who do you think is good, JORR?


I have no idea who is "good". What I'm pretty sure of is that the popular guys writing about such stuff are coming at it in a completely self-serving way. For example, they decide Player A is good and should be drafted first. If a GM thinks otherwise, he's the moron rather than them simply being guys who don't know shit.

Larry Himes selected Jack McDowell, Robin Ventura, Frank Thomas, Alex Fernandez. It's pretty tough to put together a better run of first rounders than that. But he got run out of places too.

The fan really doesn't know any more than he ever did. He just thinks he does because he reads Baseball America.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:12 pm 
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trickybeck wrote:
Yeah it's so strange. All of a sudden Hendry is better than Theo? Because Theo is a now Cub and Hendry is now not? That seems to be the only basis for such an opinion.

Some of the Boston meatballs were no better. They ran a guy out of town because he put together a great team that managed to collapse in the final month and win "only" 90 games.


How can a "great team" collapse? That's the kind of "Theo can do no wrong" bullshit I'm talking about. I think Kenny Williams puts together a great team every year. Unfortunately, sometimes they collapse.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:13 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
JORR, you can laugh all you want you know what TB is saying about diminishing returns is true.


Are you saying that wasn't 100% spin, Bryan?

How was it spin? I openly pointed out a numerical value that you probably would have never brought up if I didn't. And then addressed why it didn't matter. The guy averaged 93 wins over 9 seasons. So you think Hendry is better than Theo? I just don't get it. And I'm not a "popular guy writing about it" or about which players I think are good. I'm just looking at the results, even though it's admittedly a superficial analysis because I don't have all day to spend in this.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:16 pm 
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can't even compare that turd hendry to theo....theo was in the A.L. east and hendry was in the N.L. central... friedman is the best g.m. in baseball...

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:17 pm 
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trickybeck wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
JORR, you can laugh all you want you know what TB is saying about diminishing returns is true.


Are you saying that wasn't 100% spin, Bryan?

How was it spin? I openly pointed out a numerical value that you probably would have never brought up if I didn't. And then addressed why it didn't matter. The guy averaged 93 wins over 9 seasons. So you think Hendry is better than Theo? I just don't get it. And I'm not a "popular guy writing about it" or about which players I think are good. I'm just looking at the results, even though it's admittedly a superficial analysis because I don't have all day to spend in this.


But you've already admitted that he didn't get the same value per dollar as Hendry and then spun it as to why that doesn't matter. Whatever. I don't think Hendry is "better" or "worse" than Theo Epstein. But I do think that anyone who actually believes Theo Epstein is going to come in here and work miracles is going to be as sorely disappointed as they were when Baylor, Baker, and Piniella couldn't work them.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:19 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
trickybeck wrote:
Yeah it's so strange. All of a sudden Hendry is better than Theo? Because Theo is a now Cub and Hendry is now not? That seems to be the only basis for such an opinion.

Some of the Boston meatballs were no better. They ran a guy out of town because he put together a great team that managed to collapse in the final month and win "only" 90 games.


How can a "great team" collapse? That's the kind of "Theo can do no wrong" bullshit I'm talking about. I think Kenny Williams puts together a great team every year. Unfortunately, sometimes they collapse.

On Sept 3rd they were 84-54. That's a .609 winning percentage, or a 99-win pace. They ended up winning 90 games, in by far the best division in baseball. None of this isn't a "Theo can do no wrong" justification. For example, you could argue that he's good with big-money budgets, but we have no idea how he would do with a medium payroll, because he never has had to do that in the past. And that would be valid. But you're guilty of the "We have no reason to believe Theo is any good" argument. Of course he have reason to believe he's good. It's called his past performance. Nobody was ever making the argument that "Theo can do no wrong." That's all in your little head. The argument that you decided to contend was that he's better than Hendry.


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:20 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
But you've already admitted that he didn't get the same value per dollar as Hendry and then spun it as to why that doesn't matter. Whatever. I don't think Hendry is "better" or "worse" than Theo Epstein. But I do think that anyone who actually believes Theo Epstein is going to come in here and work miracles is going to be as sorely disappointed as they were when Baylor, Baker, and Piniella couldn't work them.

WTF? Where are you getting this "miracle" bullshit from. A .500 record on an $88 million dollar budget after 2 years is not a "miracle."


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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:22 pm 
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trickybeck wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
trickybeck wrote:
Yeah it's so strange. All of a sudden Hendry is better than Theo? Because Theo is a now Cub and Hendry is now not? That seems to be the only basis for such an opinion.

Some of the Boston meatballs were no better. They ran a guy out of town because he put together a great team that managed to collapse in the final month and win "only" 90 games.


How can a "great team" collapse? That's the kind of "Theo can do no wrong" bullshit I'm talking about. I think Kenny Williams puts together a great team every year. Unfortunately, sometimes they collapse.

On Sept 3rd they were 84-54. That's a .609 winning percentage, or a 99-win pace. They ended up winning 90 games, in by far the best division in baseball. None of this isn't a "Theo can do no wrong" justification. For example, you could argue that he's good with big-money budgets, but we have no idea how he would do with a medium payroll, because he never has had to do that in the past. And that would be valid. But you're guilty of the "We have no reason to believe Theo is any good" argument. Of course he have reason to believe he's good. It's called his past performance. Nobody was ever making the argument that "Theo can do no wrong." That's all in your little head. The argument that you decided to contend was that he's better than Hendry.


So is Cashman better than Epstein?

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:23 pm 
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what are you two debating? 93 wins get you into the post season almost every year..81 wins never does.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:24 pm 
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trickybeck wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
But you've already admitted that he didn't get the same value per dollar as Hendry and then spun it as to why that doesn't matter. Whatever. I don't think Hendry is "better" or "worse" than Theo Epstein. But I do think that anyone who actually believes Theo Epstein is going to come in here and work miracles is going to be as sorely disappointed as they were when Baylor, Baker, and Piniella couldn't work them.

WTF? Where are you getting this "miracle" bullshit from. A .500 record on an $88 million dollar budget after 2 years is not a "miracle."


He's not going to get a .500 record on an $88 million budget. He's created the worst team in the history of the worst franchise since WWII on an $88 million budget. That .500 record is in your little head.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:24 pm 
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312player wrote:
what are you two debating? 93 wins get you into the post season almost every year..81 wins never does.


This year it might start due to the 5th PO spot.

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PostPosted: Mon Jun 04, 2012 10:29 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Elmhurst Steve wrote:
I believe both of you are wrong.

No, I think you agree with me and are just restating what said.

Elmhurst Steve wrote:
Patience.. 2014 or 2015 they should be turning the corner and looking like the team they should be at that point.

Yep, pretty much what I said.

Being .500 next year isnt a big deal. But they should be better.



Not at all in agreement. The Cubs will NOT be a .500 club next year, nor should they be. Without Dempster and Garza, the rotation will be awful save for Sammy-if he continues as he has thus far this season. Rizzo may help a bit, but the offense is too atrocious at this point for one guy to make a huge difference. No-they will be nowhere near .500 next season.

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