BD wrote:
White Sox have 7 games with TB and the Angels plus 3 more with the Royals and Indians.
Tigers have 6 with Minnesota, 4 with KC and 3 with Oakland - only 1 more road series this season.
With the way Detroit plays at home, I think it's likely they finish the season 8-2 at home, and probably no worse than 2-2 on the road, including today's game to give them a 10-4 record to end the season. The White Sox need to finish 5-3 at home this season and 3-3 on the road to finish up 8-6 and still finish up a game on the Tigers.
Huge game today.
13 games left for each team - Detroit probably has the toughest team (Oakland) but are at home, but the White Sox will likely run into some pretty good pitching with their remaining games. White Sox are home the last 7 games, but Detroit is only on the road for the last series of the season.
If Detroit finishes the season 8-2 at home and goes 2-1 on the road, that puts them at 10-3 down the stretch. There's a good chance that they go either 5-1 or 6-0 against the Twins so even if Oakland takes two in the upcoming series, I think my 10-3 record down the stretch for the Tigers is doable, but probably no worse than 9-4. If Oakland takes two out of three against the Tigers and the White Sox are finally able to take care of KC, taking two of three, everything else is probably meaningless though as the White Sox could find themselves up by 4 games with just 10 to go.
White Sox just need to avoid disaster. Detroit has to be extremely hot to win this division - even if they go 10-3, the White Sox need 8-5 to avoid a tie. That's probably doable if they can just avoid anything worse than a 3-3 road trip.