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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:16 pm 
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immessedup17 wrote:
WHIP is more important. It is based on what a pitcher can control. W-L is not as much as it is.

Ryan is an exception because his ridiculous amount of K's reduce the impact of the higher WHIP.

Tool.


Are there any other exceptions? Cuntface.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:20 pm 
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Curious Hair wrote:
I don't think wins are entirely meaningless, as the fundamental objective of a game is to pitch better than the opponent does, but it shouldn't play a large role in assessing what a pitcher has done.


That seems somewhat contradictory. If the fundamental objective is to pitch better than the opponent, winning percentage will illustrate how often that was accomplished.

I certainly don't believe Chris Sale is going to post a sub-3.00 ERA for his career with a losing record. In fact, I don't think such a thing has ever occurred.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:21 pm 
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By any objective measure, Chris Sale has performed great this year.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:22 pm 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
By any objective measure, Chris Sale has performed great this year.


If you're going to be truly objective, why are you refusing to consider the fact that more often than not another pitcher in the same games he has pitched has performed better?

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:24 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
By any objective measure, Chris Sale has performed great this year.


If you're going to be truly objective, why are you refusing to consider the fact that more often than not another pitcher in the same games he has pitched has performed better?

Because it completely wrong?

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:25 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
By any objective measure, Chris Sale has performed great this year.


If you're going to be truly objective, why are you refusing to consider the fact that more often than not another pitcher in the same games he has pitched has performed better?

Because it completely wrong?


If it's wrong, how does he have a losing record? Is the goal to produce a better WHIP or to allow less runs than the opponent?

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:26 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
I don't think wins are entirely meaningless, as the fundamental objective of a game is to pitch better than the opponent does, but it shouldn't play a large role in assessing what a pitcher has done.


That seems somewhat contradictory. If the fundamental objective is to pitch better than the opponent, winning percentage will illustrate how often that was accomplished.

I certainly don't believe Chris Sale is going to post a sub-3.00 ERA for his career with a losing record. In fact, I don't think such a thing has ever occurred.


So you can admit this is one of those fluky years where a pitcher performs great despite having a losing record.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:26 pm 
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It's far more interesting than tool. Which also happened to be a really bad band.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:27 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
If it's wrong, how does he have a losing record? Is the goal to produce a better WHIP or to allow less runs than the opponent?

You realize there's more to a baseball game than a pitcher?

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:29 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
By any objective measure, Chris Sale has performed great this year.


If you're going to be truly objective, why are you refusing to consider the fact that more often than not another pitcher in the same games he has pitched has performed better?


Because that has no bearing on how Chris Sale pitched.

The opposing pitcher being better does not negate the quality of Sale's game.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:32 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
By any objective measure, Chris Sale has performed great this year.


If you're going to be truly objective, why are you refusing to consider the fact that more often than not another pitcher in the same games he has pitched has performed better?

Because those pitchers are facing different offenses and the difference is vast


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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:33 pm 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Curious Hair wrote:
I don't think wins are entirely meaningless, as the fundamental objective of a game is to pitch better than the opponent does, but it shouldn't play a large role in assessing what a pitcher has done.


That seems somewhat contradictory. If the fundamental objective is to pitch better than the opponent, winning percentage will illustrate how often that was accomplished.

I certainly don't believe Chris Sale is going to post a sub-3.00 ERA for his career with a losing record. In fact, I don't think such a thing has ever occurred.


So you can admit this is one of those fluky years where a pitcher performs great despite having a losing record.


I think we may have a semantic issue here. I don't think a pitcher can perform "great" while producing a losing record. I think if you say Patrick Corbin "deserved to win", you're saying Tyson Ross "deserved to lose". Sale's overall performance is excellent. I'm not arguing that. He's just making the one mistake here or there that causes him to lose a game. It certainly doesn't help that his team has a lousy offense. But he is aware of that. It's no mystery. He's at a .18 run disadvantage vs. Kansas City. He has to pitch over that. I don't think that's too much to ask of a big stud ace, do you? If it is, maybe he isn't the big stud ace you thought he was. I'll ask this, would you rather have the Royals offense vs. Sale or the Sox offense vs. Davis? The linemakers thought it was -160 Sale.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:33 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
If it's wrong, how does he have a losing record? Is the goal to produce a better WHIP or to allow less runs than the opponent?

You realize there's more to a baseball game than a pitcher?


Yeah, there's the other pitcher.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:34 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
If it's wrong, how does he have a losing record? Is the goal to produce a better WHIP or to allow less runs than the opponent?

You realize there's more to a baseball game than a pitcher?


Yeah, there's the other pitcher.

Yes, and maybe more contributors?

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:35 pm 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Because those pitchers are facing different offenses and the difference is vast


That's wrong. WRONG. The difference is not vast in the VAST majority of cases. Last night it was .18 runs. That's tiny. Negligible. Nothing. A team cannot score a fraction of a run.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:35 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
If it's wrong, how does he have a losing record? Is the goal to produce a better WHIP or to allow less runs than the opponent?

You realize there's more to a baseball game than a pitcher?


Yeah, there's the other pitcher.

Yes, and maybe more contributors?


They're all facing one guy or the other.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:37 pm 
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Terry's Peeps wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Terry's Peeps wrote:
By any objective measure, Chris Sale has performed great this year.


If you're going to be truly objective, why are you refusing to consider the fact that more often than not another pitcher in the same games he has pitched has performed better?


Because that has no bearing on how Chris Sale pitched.

The opposing pitcher being better does not negate the quality of Sale's game.


Sale's effort only exists within the context of the game he and the other guy actually pitched. It's not a simulation.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:39 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
They're all facing one guy or the other.

So, we eliminate the defense, the offense of the pitcher, the quality of the bullpen, the other variables way outside the control of the pitcher?
Interesting. I don't get it but ok.
To accurately compare pitchers, and to determine quality, I would find the stats in this order of increasing value:

WHIP
K/9
BB/9
H/9
W/L

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:40 pm 
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That's silly.

There is no way you believe Sale pitched a bad game because he lost 1-0.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:41 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

Sale's effort only exists within the context of the game he and the other guy actually pitched. It's not a simulation.

Incorrect. His efforts are completely independant of the game the other guy pitched.
not related.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:44 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
They're all facing one guy or the other.

So, we eliminate the defense, the offense of the pitcher, the quality of the bullpen, the other variables way outside the control of the pitcher?
Interesting. I don't get it but ok.
To accurately compare pitchers, and to determine quality, I would find the stats in this order of increasing value:

WHIP
K/9
BB/9
H/9
W/L


Sure, all those things come into play. But the margins here are razor thin. The worst team wins 60 games. The worst leftfielder makes most of the plays. Of course there isn't a perfect statistic that we can wrap around a guy with a bow. Every WHIP is created vs. different batters on different days in different parks with different hitter's backgrounds and different plate umpires.

For a starter, I want to see his W/L percentage first. For a reliever I want to see his WHIP and K/9.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:47 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
For a starter, I want to see his W/L percentage first.

I guess all I can say is that I disagree completely.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:48 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

Sale's effort only exists within the context of the game he and the other guy actually pitched. It's not a simulation.

Incorrect. His efforts are completely independant of the game the other guy pitched.
not related.


I think you are incorrect, but we have no scientific way to prove it either way.

If that's really the case though, they should just let teams pick when they want to use the pitcher's effort. The Sox could elect to use Sale's game today to get the 2-1 win and salvage a game from this series while assigning Santiago's effort to yesterday's game for the 4-0 loss.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:49 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
For a starter, I want to see his W/L percentage first.

I guess all I can say is that I disagree completely.


Okay. I'm not really trying to convince you. Just explaining the way I see it. Your viewpoint is clearly the one currently in fashion.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:50 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
If that's really the case though, they should just let teams pick when they want to use the pitcher's effort. The Sox could elect to use Sale's game today to get the 2-1 win and salvage a game from this series while assigning Santiago's effort to yesterday's game for the 4-0 loss.

:scratch:

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:51 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
If that's really the case though, they should just let teams pick when they want to use the pitcher's effort. The Sox could elect to use Sale's game today to get the 2-1 win and salvage a game from this series while assigning Santiago's effort to yesterday's game for the 4-0 loss.

:scratch:


I know. It seems kind of silly, doesn't it?

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:54 pm 
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Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
If that's really the case though, they should just let teams pick when they want to use the pitcher's effort. The Sox could elect to use Sale's game today to get the 2-1 win and salvage a game from this series while assigning Santiago's effort to yesterday's game for the 4-0 loss.

:scratch:


I know. It seems kind of silly, doesn't it?

What I'm saying is I don't understand the point you're trying to make.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 10:59 pm 
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I think two different presumptions are at work here.

1) The quality of a pitcher's effort in a given game depends on the final numbers he produces, irrespective of whether or not he gets the W, since earning a W or L is not directly under his control as the pitching numbers are.

2) The quality of a pitcher's effort is determined through the end result of the mano a mano match-up between the opposing pitcher, each of whom is trying to limit the opposing team to less runs scored than the other pitcher.

If this is more or less accurate, then it seems JORR is coming from the POV #2. Although I am beginning to slowly understanding JORR's perspective, I still don't get how, even if a pitcher loses a game, how the L is indicative of the quality of his start. I see the L (or W) as the result of a micro-analysis of a given game (e.g. in that specific game, pitcher X failed limit the opposing team to less runs than the other pitcher), while the more complex stats demonstrate a more macro view. In other words, I'll concede JORR's point about how a pitcher can pitch wonderfully for the better part of 7-9 innings, but lose the "game management" battle on just a single pitch. But if someone like Sale's year is just really him losing a series game management battles, many of which can be the result of just a single pitch or two, is it then fair to use that game to game, micro-level analysis against him when it comes to judging, in a more macro scale, his pitching quality over the long run?

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Sun Jul 28, 2013 11:15 pm 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:

Sale's effort only exists within the context of the game he and the other guy actually pitched. It's not a simulation.

Incorrect. His efforts are completely independant of the game the other guy pitched.
not related.


This.

Sale has no control on how his opponent pitches that day.

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 Post subject: Re: 20 games under .500
PostPosted: Mon Jul 29, 2013 6:48 am 
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Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
Darkside wrote:
Joe Orr Road Rod wrote:
If that's really the case though, they should just let teams pick when they want to use the pitcher's effort. The Sox could elect to use Sale's game today to get the 2-1 win and salvage a game from this series while assigning Santiago's effort to yesterday's game for the 4-0 loss.

:scratch:


I know. It seems kind of silly, doesn't it?

What I'm saying is I don't understand the point you're trying to make.


The point I'm making is that if you really feel a starting pitcher's effort is totally unrelated to other events within a game, you shouldn't be too upset if MLB decided to take the radical step of allowing teams to apply pitchers' performances in whichever games they desired. Of course, that seems utterly ridiculous. And it is.

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