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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:04 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I don't think we needed Cutler to beat the 7-9 Seahawks playing on the road. He did have a really good game though.
An Orton lead team that year might have made the playoffs, but they would not have been the #2 seed.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:05 am 
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If you found his comeback stats, I think they would support he's been "clutch." I also recognize the word clutch can mean a lot of different things, though.


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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:06 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
If you found his comeback stats, I think they would support he's been "clutch." I also recognize the word clutch can mean a lot of different things, though.

He's been real good in the 4th quarter the last couple years. Before that, not so much, but I cant find a career rating, just year by year.


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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:07 am 
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16 fourth quarter comebacks, 20 game winning drives. Sounds clutch to me.

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/p ... r=CutlJa00


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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:10 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
Kirkwood wrote:
Bucky Chris wrote:
Inconsistent in the clutch? Doesn't he have one of the best 4th quarter stats of any QB?

Yes. His next goal should be to have good QB ratings in other 3/4 of the game.


Cool. Just referring to what Angelo said. But good one.

Angelo could be referring to different definition of clutch. Looks like he doesn't pigeon hole being clutch as 4th quarter performance.


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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:20 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
So going back to 2009, you were okay with Orton/Grossman? Just curious as to why you didn't like the trade at the time given the Bears were going nowhere with that putrid offense.
Yes, even if you had cut Orton that same day.

Hindsight only increases that being the correct answer. Is there anything that has happened during the Cutler era that you think only happens with Cutler?


I'm not sure I understand your reasoning. Hindsight is a bias that diminishes any argument's strength. Using post-2009 information on Cutler to judge the merits of the 2009 trade is working backwards to prove something retroactively. All the information at the time led many to believe Cutler was at worst an on and off pro bowl QB that could lead a team to the super bowl. Orton sucks, so lets just get that out of the way.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:24 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I don't think we needed Cutler to beat the 7-9 Seahawks playing on the road. He did have a really good game though.
An Orton lead team that year might have made the playoffs, but they would not have been the #2 seed.
How can you be so certain?

They were 10-5 with Cutler having an above average season.

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Last edited by Brick on Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:25 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:25 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
16 fourth quarter comebacks, 20 game winning drives. Sounds clutch to me.

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/p ... r=CutlJa00

I know you're smarter than to think that alone proves something.


Romo has more comebacks. Is he clutch?

Eli Manning, Matt Ryan, Philip Rivers....


They're ALL clutch I guess.


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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:29 am 
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veganfan21 wrote:
I'm not sure I understand your reasoning. Hindsight is a bias that diminishes any argument's strength. Using post-2009 information on Cutler to judge the merits of the 2009 trade is working backwards to prove something retroactively. All the information at the time led many to believe Cutler was at worst an on and off pro bowl QB that could lead a team to the super bowl.
I'm saying that nothing has happened during the Cutler era to make it obvious the trade was a good move unless you really love the win against the 7-9 Seahawks. We can and should judge the trade based on what actually happened. If Cutler had won the Super Bowl, I'm sure you and others would rightfully be talking about how great the trade was. When you win one playoff game against a 7-9 team you have to do the same.
veganfan21 wrote:
Orton sucks, so lets just get that out of the way.
Yeah. So what? Let's cut him the day of the trade. Are you upset that we missed out on the Seahawks win?

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:29 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Bucky Chris wrote:
16 fourth quarter comebacks, 20 game winning drives. Sounds clutch to me.

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/p ... r=CutlJa00

I know you're smarter than to think that alone proves something.


Romo has more comebacks. Is he clutch?

Eli Manning, Matt Ryan, Philip Rivers....


They're ALL clutch I guess.


It proves he has 16 fourth quarter comebacks and 20 game winning drives. Those are two stats that I believe are relevent when discussing such an annoying term as clutch. Clutch probably isn't worth even discussing, but if we are, those 2 stats seem to be useful. They don't prove anything. But they do mean something.


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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:34 am 
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4th quarter comebacks and GWD's are such overblown stats. Oh, they were down 3 points to start the 4th and were able to score in the first 2 minutes of the quarter? What a comeback!

Oh, they scored on their first possession of the 4th after being tied and then beat the team by 24? Game Winning Drive! CLUTCH!


Last edited by Big Chicagoan on Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:40 am, edited 1 time in total.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:35 am 
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Bucky Chris wrote:
rogers park bryan wrote:
Bucky Chris wrote:
16 fourth quarter comebacks, 20 game winning drives. Sounds clutch to me.

http://www.pro-football-reference.com/p ... r=CutlJa00

I know you're smarter than to think that alone proves something.


Romo has more comebacks. Is he clutch?

Eli Manning, Matt Ryan, Philip Rivers....


They're ALL clutch I guess.


It proves he has 16 fourth quarter comebacks and 20 game winning drives. Those are two stats that I believe are relevent when discussing such an annoying term as clutch. Clutch probably isn't worth even discussing, but if we are, those 2 stats seem to be useful. They don't prove anything. But they do mean something.

They mean nothing without context. Its obviously partially a product of being behind often. Also, those guys are all better according to that stat.

Cutler's 4th quarter QB rating has been above 94 three times and below 73 three times (excepting 2011 for the injury)

Jay is who we thought he was. Sometimes great, sometimes awful. Never consistent.


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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:41 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
I'm not sure I understand your reasoning. Hindsight is a bias that diminishes any argument's strength. Using post-2009 information on Cutler to judge the merits of the 2009 trade is working backwards to prove something retroactively. All the information at the time led many to believe Cutler was at worst an on and off pro bowl QB that could lead a team to the super bowl.
I'm saying that nothing has happened during the Cutler era to make it obvious the trade was a good move unless you really love the win against the 7-9 Seahawks. We can and should judge the trade based on what actually happened. If Cutler had won the Super Bowl, I'm sure you and others would rightfully be talking about how great the trade was. When you win one playoff game against a 7-9 team you have to do the same.
veganfan21 wrote:
Orton sucks, so lets just get that out of the way.
Yeah. So what? Let's cut him the day of the trade. Are you upset that we missed out on the Seahawks win?


This can be a good trade and Cutler can underwhelm at the same time. Both are true - it was the right move that didn't lead to what we rationally thought it would at the time. Are you going to rue your decision to buy a brand new Benz to replace your 1990 Camry when the Benz inexplicably breaks down after two months of normal wear and tear? It sucks but you still make that move ten times out of ten.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:42 am 
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rogers park bryan wrote:
Jay is who we thought he was. Sometimes great, sometimes awful. Never consistent.
Which is why his teams have hovered right around 7-10 wins almost every year.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 10:44 am 
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veganfan21 wrote:
This can be a good trade and Cutler can underwhelm at the same time. Both are true - it was the right move that didn't lead to what we rationally thought it would at the time. Are you going to rue your decision to buy a brand new Benz to replace your 1990 Camry when the Benz inexplicably breaks down after two months of normal wear and tear? It sucks but you still make that move ten times out of ten.
Of course you would rue that decision to buy a car that didn't perform. Every decision we ever make seems like the right one at the time. Are you saying there are no such things as bad decisions?

Was the Rick Mirer trade the right decision too? How about the Ricky Williams trade by Ditka?

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 11:03 am 
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The 4th quarter stat also doesn't take into account the defense winning the game. We know that happened a lot during the Cutler era.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 11:11 am 
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cutler had better players around him this year, which resulted in some better play. Yes, they did have comebacks.

Does that make Jay a better player? Somewhat.

Anyway you cut this, it makes Angelo look like a real dumb guy for making any statements about this.

he was willing to sell out on Jay for 2 first rounders. If Angelo wants to tell me that didnt work out, then thats fine, he can stop commenting on the NFL than after that, because it's evidence of not just a bad pick, but a franchising changing mistake. His inability to find coaches, WR's and OL, further exemplify this.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 11:26 am 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I don't think we needed Cutler to beat the 7-9 Seahawks playing on the road. He did have a really good game though.
An Orton lead team that year might have made the playoffs, but they would not have been the #2 seed.
How can you be so certain?

They were 10-5 with Cutler having an above average season.
I am certain that the team would not have been 11-5 with Kyle Orton at the helm throwing passes to Brandon Manumaleuna, Chester Taylor, Devin Hester, Johnny Knox, Rasheid Davis, Devin Aromashodu, Greg Olsen, and Kellen Davis. Lots of bad in that list including Orton.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 11:27 am 
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Ok Frank Scorehead.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 11:29 am 
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The reason for getting Cutler was to make everyone around him better. Every decent QB can play well with a shit load of talent on offense. Cutler looked the same even with great talent around him.

It didn't work out the way we expected but I would make the same trade 10 times out of 10.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 11:30 am 
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Frank Coztansa wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
Frank Coztansa wrote:
Boilermaker Rick wrote:
I don't think we needed Cutler to beat the 7-9 Seahawks playing on the road. He did have a really good game though.
An Orton lead team that year might have made the playoffs, but they would not have been the #2 seed.
How can you be so certain?

They were 10-5 with Cutler having an above average season.
I am certain that the team would not have been 11-5 with Kyle Orton at the helm throwing passes to Brandon Manumaleuna, Chester Taylor, Devin Hester, Johnny Knox, Rasheid Davis, Devin Aromashodu, Greg Olsen, and Kellen Davis. Lots of bad in that list including Orton.


Grossman took a team to the SB that featured Berrian.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 11:36 am 
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Nas wrote:
Grossman took a team to the SB that featured Berrian.
... and Orton, who was horrible as a rookie, went 10-5 too.

In terms of record, the teams with Orton/Grossman have outperformed the Cutler teams. But, Frank is certain the Bears couldn't have had the dream season of 2010 without Cutler.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 12:00 pm 
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Nas wrote:
Grossman took a team to the SB that featured Berrian.
False.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 12:13 pm 
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His play in the Saints game was a reason why the Bears got there. Along with his start. The point you're making kind of discredits your Cutler argument. The defense was the reason why the Bears won nearly every game for almost a decade.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:40 pm 
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Boilermaker Rick wrote:
veganfan21 wrote:
This can be a good trade and Cutler can underwhelm at the same time. Both are true - it was the right move that didn't lead to what we rationally thought it would at the time. Are you going to rue your decision to buy a brand new Benz to replace your 1990 Camry when the Benz inexplicably breaks down after two months of normal wear and tear? It sucks but you still make that move ten times out of ten.
Of course you would rue that decision to buy a car that didn't perform. Every decision we ever make seems like the right one at the time. Are you saying there are no such things as bad decisions?

Was the Rick Mirer trade the right decision too? How about the Ricky Williams trade by Ditka?


You didn't buy a car that you knew would not perform - that would be a bad decision. You bought a car that could objectively be proven to provide reliable service for a very long time.

Trading for Cutler while knowing via advanced knowledge that he'd never translate his obvious talent into sustained success would be a bad decision. Since that sort of intel was obviously not available at the time, it's invalid to use that knowledge to retroactively criticize the trade.

I don't know or remember the trades in your post. Trades or acquisitions cannot only be judged by results, they also have to be judged against the knowledge and circumstances of the time. Otherwise there really is no thinking involved in hindsight heavy proclamations: premodern scholars were wrong about geocentrism, scouts were wrong about Len Bias' life expectancy - this is all self-evident and makes for lazy thinking, to the extent thinking is involved at all.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 1:50 pm 
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veganfan21 wrote:
You didn't buy a car that you knew would not perform - that would be a bad decision. You bought a car that could objectively be proven to provide reliable service for a very long time.
So it's not a bad decision if at the time you don't think it's a bad decision. Got it.
veganfan21 wrote:
Trading for Cutler while knowing via advanced knowledge that he'd never translate his obvious talent into sustained success would be a bad decision. Since that sort of intel was obviously not available at the time, it's invalid to use that knowledge to retroactively criticize the trade.
There were plenty of question marks on Cutler back then. You may not have seen them but the very fact that Denver was so quick to give up on him was one on it's own.
veganfan21 wrote:
I don't know or remember the trades in your post. Trades or acquisitions cannot only be judged by results, they also have to be judged against the knowledge and circumstances of the time.
You don't remember the Rick Mirer trade? How old are you?
veganfan21 wrote:
Otherwise there really is no thinking involved in hindsight heavy proclamations: premodern scholars were wrong about geocentrism, scouts were wrong about Len Bias' life expectancy - this is all self-evident and makes for lazy thinking, to the extent thinking is involved at all.
Obviously, an event like the death of a player is a different thing. I'm not sure what an incorrect scientific theory has to do with anything.

Are you honestly saying that the Cutler trade was a good trade because Jerry Angelo thought it was a good trade at the time he made it? That seems to basically mean every trade ever made was good, unless some GM is so dumb they are doing a trade they know is bad just because they like being fired.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 2:12 pm 
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Nas wrote:
His play in the Saints game was a reason why the Bears got there.
False. 2 TDs and 120+ yards from Thomas Jones is why the Bears won that game. The safety helped as well. Rex had a 70 rating and threw for less than 150 yards IIRC.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 2:45 pm 
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Pull up the game thread or read the recap.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 2:53 pm 
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11-26 144 yards, 1 TD, 73.2 rating.

Thomas Jones ran the ball 8 plays in a row in the 2nd quarter to give the Bears a 16-0 lead. Rex had lead them to three field goals prior.

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 Post subject: Re: Jerry Angelo
PostPosted: Tue Feb 11, 2014 2:54 pm 
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Rex was real good in the Seahawks game


CHI C/ATT YDS AVG TD INT SACKS
Grossman 17/31 232 7.5 2 0 1-13
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